Prediction of the Risk Distributions for Anopheles sinensis, a Vector for Malaria in Shanghai, China.

ABSTRACT: Malaria is a parasitic disease caused by Plasmodium, and Anopheles sinensis is a vector of malaria. Although malaria is no longer indigenous to China, a high risk remains for local transmission of imported malaria. This study aimed to identify the risk distribution of vector An. sinensis and malaria transmission. Using data collected from routine monitoring in Shanghai from 2010 to 2020, online databases for An. sinensis and malaria, and environmental variables including climate, geography, vegetation, and hosts, we constructed 10 algorithms and developed ensemble models. The ensemble models combining multiple algorithms (An. sinensis: area under the curve [AUC] = 0.981, kappa = 0.920; malaria: AUC = 0.959, kappa = 0.800), with the best out-of-sample performance, were used to identify impo

SUBMITTER: Tong YX 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9978570 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature