Multi-temporal ecological niche modeling for bird conservation in the face of climate change scenarios in Caatinga, Brazil

ABSTRACT:

Background

Global shifts in climatic patterns have been recorded over the last decades. Such modifications mainly correspond to increased temperatures and rainfall regime changes, which are becoming more variable and extreme.

Methods

We aimed to evaluate the impact of future changes in climatic patterns on the distribution of 19 endemic or threatened bird taxa of the Caatinga. We assessed whether current protected areas (PAs) are adequate and whether they will maintain their effectiveness in the future. Also, we identified climatically stable areas that might work as refugia for an array of species.

Results

We observed that 84% and 87% of the bird species of Caatinga analyzed in this study will face high area losses in their predicted range distribution areas in

SUBMITTER: Goncalves G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9979838 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature