Projections of Lung Cancer Incidence by 2035 in 40 Countries Worldwide: Population-Based Study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The global burden of lung cancer (LC) is increasing. Quantitative projections of the future LC burden in different world regions could help optimize the allocation of resources and provide a benchmark for evaluating LC prevention and control interventions.

Objective

We aimed to predict the future incidence of LC in 40 countries by 2035, with an emphasis on country- and sex-specific disparities.

Methods

Data on LC incidence from 1978 to 2012 were extracted from 126 cancer registries of 40 countries in Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Volumes V-XI and used for the projection. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) per 100,000 person-years and the number of incident cases were predicted through 2035, using the NORDPRED age-period-cohort model.

Results</

SUBMITTER: Luo G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9984998 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature