Tracking CDK1 dynamics with a novel biosensor mouse and clinical cohorts to predict CDK4/6 inhibitor sensitivity in ER+ breast cancer
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ABSTRACT: High-risk estrogen receptor positive (ER+) early breast cancer (EBC) is now managed with a combination of endocrine therapies and cyclin-dependent kinase (CDK) 4/6 inhibitors, reflecting the shift towards targeted approaches for patients with aggressive ER+ disease. Among the critical markers for high-risk EBC are high tumour grade and lymph node involvement, but currently there are no standard molecular markers in clinical practice to select these patients. In the advanced setting, ER status remains the sole molecular determinant for application of CDK4/6 inhibitors and endocrine therapies. CDK1 activity lies immediately downstream of the CDK4/6 axis, but has not been investigated as a prognostic marker for ER+ breast cancer. Here, we integrate real-time imaging of a Cdk1 activity biosensor in transgenic mice alongside high-resolution analysis of clinical cohorts to establish CDK1 as a determinant of progression and therapeutic sensitivity. Using the Cdk1 activity biosensor mouse crossed with the MMTV-PyMT;MMTV-Cre model, we imaged breast lesions and visualised in real-time Cdk1 upregulation in situ during the transition to invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC). Clinically, we identified that pCDK1T161 is specifically upregulated in IDC, and that pCDK1Y15 is prognostic of poor relapse-free survival in stage 1 disease. Critically, we uncovered a dynamic mechanism of CDK4/6 inhibitor-mediated escape. We observed that while CDK4/6 inhibition initially suppresses CDK1, activity rebounds via an adaptive response within 3 days. Analysis of the NeoPalAna trial indicates that while neoadjuvant palbociclib and anastrozole induce dynamic CDK1 regulation globally, non-responders are characterized by a failure to completely suppress CDK1 levels during treatment, or engage this early adaptive response. Furthermore, we modelled CDK4/6 inhibitor resistance in vivo and in vitro, finding that CDK4/6 inhibitor-resistant cells recovered basal CDK1 expression in vitro, and endocrine and CDK4/6 inhibitor non-responsive tumours exhibited elevated Cdk1 activity in vivo. We validated this finding in a longitudinal patient cohort where CDK1 expression was significantly increased in CDK4/6 inhibitor non-responsive tumours. Our data suggest that CDK1 is a robust biomarker for poor prognosis in early disease, and a useful indicator of adaptive responses to CDK4/6 inhibition, including the emergence of resistance. This highlights the potential of CDK1 not only as a prognostic marker but also as an alternative tool to monitor the effectiveness of CDK4/6-directed therapies and identify patients at risk of treatment failure.
ORGANISM(S): Homo sapiens
PROVIDER: GSE341330 | GEO | 2026/09/23
REPOSITORIES: GEO
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