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Validation of a histology-independent prognostic gene signature for early stage, non-small cell lung cancer including stage IA patients

ABSTRACT: Background: Patients with early stage non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) may benefit from treatments based on more accurate prognosis. A 15-gene prognostic classifier for NSCLC was identified from mRNA expression profiling of tumor samples from the NCIC CTG JBR.10 trial. Here, we assessed its value in an independent set of cases. Methods: Expression profiling was performed on RNA from frozen, resected tumor tissues corresponding to 181 Stage I and II NSCLC cases collected at University Health Network (UHN181). Kaplan-Meier methodology was used to estimate three year overall survival probabilities and the prognostic effect of the classifier was assessed using log-rank testing. Cox proportional hazards model evaluated the signature's effect adjusting for clinical prognostic factors. Results: Expression data of the 15-gene classifier stratified UHN181 cases into high and low-risk subgroups with significantly different overall survival (HR=1.92, 95% CI: 1.15-3.23, p=0.012). Its strength as a prognostic classifier was superior to stage alone (HR=1.52, 95% CI: 0.90-2.55, p-value=0.11). In subgroup analysis, this classifier predicted survival in 127 Stage I patients (HR=2.17, 95% CI: 1.12-4.20, p=0.018) and the smaller subgroup of 48 Stage IA patients (HR=5.61, 95% CI: 1.19-26.45, p=0.014. The signature was prognostic for both adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma cases (HR= 1.76, p-value=0.058; HR= 4.19, p-value=0.045, respectively). Conclusions: The prognostic accuracy of a 15-gene classifier was validated in an independent cohort of 181 early stage NSCLC samples including Stage IA cases and in different NSCLC histologic subtypes.

ORGANISM(S): Homo sapiens

PROVIDER: GSE50081 | GEO | 2013/12/22

SECONDARY ACCESSION(S): PRJNA215955

REPOSITORIES: GEO

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Project description:Background: Accurate survival stratification in early-stage NSCLC could inform the use of adjuvant therapy. We developed a clinically-implementable mortality risk score incorporating distinct tumor microenvironmental gene expression signatures and clinical variables. Methods: Gene expression profiles from 1106 non-squamous NSCLCs were used for generation and internal validation of a 9-gene molecular prognostic index (MPI). Expression of the MPI genes was determined within sorted tumor cell subpopulations. A quantitative PCR (qPCR) assay was developed and validated on an independent cohort of FFPE tissues. A prognostic score using clinical variables was generated using Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) data and combined with the MPI. Results: The MPI stratified stage I patients into prognostic categories in four independent validation datasets, including three microarray and one FFPE qPCR cohorts (HR=2.4, 95% CI, 1.8-3.3, P=7x10-9 in the largest microarray cohort; and HR=2.5, 95% CI 1.1-6.0, P=.03 in stage I patients of the qPCR validation cohort). Prognostic genes were expressed in distinct tumor cell subpopulations and expression of genes implicated in cellular proliferation and stem cells portended poor outcomes, while expression of genes involved in normal lung differentiation and immune infiltration was associated with superior survival. Integrating the MPI with clinical variables conferred greatest prognostic power (HR=3.3, 95% CI 2.4-4.6; P=2x10-15 in the largest microarray cohort; and HR=3.6, 95% CI 1.5-8.8, P=.003 in stage I patients of the qPCR validation cohort). Finally, the MPI was prognostic irrespective of somatic alterations in EGFR, KRAS, TP53, and ALK. Conclusion: The MPI incorporates genes expressed in the tumor and its microenvironment, and designates risk of death for patients with early-stage non-squamous NSCLC. The MPI can be implemented clinically using qPCR assays on FFPE tissues and a composite model integrating the MPI with clinical variables provides the most accurate risk stratification.

Project description:Introduction: Effective predictive biomarkers for selection of patients benefiting from adjuvant platinum-based chemotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) are needed. Based on a previously validated methodology, molecular profiles of predicted sensitivity in two patient cohorts are presented. Methods: The profiles are correlations between in vitro sensitivity to cisplatin and vinorelbine and baseline mRNA expression of the 60 cell lines in the National Cancer Institute panel. An applied clinical samples filter focused the profiles to clinically relevant genes. The profiles were tested on 1) snap-frozen tumors from 133 patients with completely resected stage 1B-2 NSCLC randomized to adjuvant cisplatin and vinorelbine (ACV, n=71) or no adjuvant treatment (OBS, n=62) [GSE14814] and 2) formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) pre-treatment tumors from 95 patients with completely resected stage 1A-3B NSCLC receiving adjuvant cisplatin and vinorelbine. Results: The combined cisplatin and vinorelbine profiles showed: 1) univariate Hazard Ratio (HR) for sensitive versus resistant of 0.265 (95% CI:0.079-0.889, p=0.032) in the ACV cohort and a HR of 0.28 in a multivariate model (95% CI:0.08-1.04, p=0.0573); 2) significant prediction at 3 year survival from surgery in univariate (HR=0.138 (95% CI:0.035-0.537), p=0.004) and multivariate analysis (HR=0.14 (95% CI:0.030-0.6), p=0.0081). No discrimination was found in the OBS cohort (HR=1.328, p=0.60). The cisplatin predictor alone had similar figures with 1) univariate HR of 0.37 (95% CI:0.12-1.15, p=0.09) in the ACV cohort and 2) univariate HR of 0.14 (95% CI:0.03-0.59, p=0.0076) to three years. Functional analysis on the cisplatin profile revealed a group of upregulated genes related to RNA splicing as a part of DNA damage repair and apoptosis. Conclusions: Profiles derived from snap-frozen and FFPE NSCLC tissue were prognostic and predictive in the patients that received cisplatin and vinorelbine but not in the cohort that did not receive adjuvant treatment.

Project description:Background: With the incidence of papillary thyroid carcinoma rising worldwide, the decision about lobectomy versus total thyroidectomy will become relevant for an increasing number of patients. There exists no reliable biomarker for metastatic potential or tendency of recurrence that could assist in the risk stratification of patients. Objective: To develop a gene expression classifier for metastatic potential by measuring RNA expression in the primary tumor at the time of cancer surgery. Further, to investigate the ability of the gene expression classifier to identify metastatic and recurrent cases. Method: Genome-wide expression analyses. The development cohort consisted of freshly frozen tissues from 38 patients collected between the years 1986 and 2009. Validation was performed on a consecutive cohort of formalin fixated paraffin embedded surgical tissue specimens from 183 patients treated at Odense and Aarhus University Hospitals. Results: A 17 gene classifier (ADAMTS1, ANTXR1, C7, CXCL12, EBF1, FBLN2, FOSL2, GGT5, GPR124, JAM3, LRIG1, NDRG1, PRRX1, ROBO1, SORL1, TCF4, and ZEB1) was identified based on the expression values of these genes in the groups with and without metastasis in the development cohort. The 17 gene classifier for regional and/or distant metastasis identified was tested against the clinical status in the validation cohort. Sensitivity was 51.6% (95% CI 41.2%-61.8) and specificity 61.6 % (95% CI 50.5%-71.9%). Further, the Kaplan-Meyer method was used to estimate whether the classifier was useful as a prognostic marker for recurrences. Log-rank testing failed to identify any significance (p=0.32). Conclusion: A 17 gene classifier for metastatic potential was developed, and the results showed a clear biological difference between groups. However, through validation, the prognostic significance of this classifier could not be shown in identifying metastatic cases or in the ability of dichotomizing patients according to risk of recurrence after primary treatment. 38 patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma from a consecutive cohort of patients, no replicates

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Validation of a histology-independent prognostic gene signature for early stage, non-small cell lung cancer including stage IA patients

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