Project description:Importance: Severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH) is a highly lethal disease with a 3-month mortality up to 50%. Corticosteroids are the current standard of care although nearly 40% of the patients do not respond and accurate pre-treatment predictors of survival are lacking. Objective: To develop a prognostic score based on molecular and clinical variables before initiation of corticosteroids. Design, Setting, and Participants: Gene expression profiling of fixed liver biopsy obtained for diagnosis of severe AH assessed in 3 independent cohorts (1 prospective cohort for prognostic gene signature and integrative score derivation, and 2 retrospective cohorts for validation). Samples were obtained from 4 European and 1 US medical centers between July 2006 and February 2015. Exposures: Biopsy proven severe AH patients treated with corticosteroids. Main Outcome Measures: Identification of a gene signature combined with a validated clinical index to develop an integrative prognostic score of survival without death or liver transplantation in a derivation cohort (n=71). Prognostic performance of the score was validated in an independent multi-center validation cohort 1 (n=48). Finally, the score was implemented in an FDA-approved clinical diagnostic platform (NanoString) and tested in another independent validation cohort 2 (n=20). Results: A prognostic score, integrating a 123-gene signature and the model for end-stage liver disease (gs-MELD score), was defined in the derivation cohort, in which poor- and good-prognosis patients were discriminated with a cut-off value of 2.66 at 3 months (event-free survival rates of 32% vs. 76%, respectively, p<.001) and 6 months (26% vs. 65%, respectively, p<.001). In the validation cohort 1, the score similarly discriminated poor- and good-prognosis patients at 3 months (43%, [95% CI, 26%-70%] vs. 96% [95% CI, 89%-100%], respectively, p<.001, c-index of 0.83 [95% CI, 0.66-0.99]) and 6 months (34% [95% CI, 18%-61%] vs 84% [95% CI, 72%-100%], respectively, p<.001, c-index of 0.80 [95% CI, 0.66-0.94]), and outperformed other existing clinical indices. The NanoString-based gs-MELD score remained predictive of 3- (p=.03) and 6-month (p=.009) even-free survival in the validation cohort 2. Conclusion and Relevance: The gs-MELD score, incorporating clinically applicable gene signature test and the MELD score, enables pre-treatment survival prediction in severe AH patients.

Project description:Background and Aims: Staging inadequately predicts metastatic risk in colon cancer patients. We used a gene expression profile derived from invasive murine colon cancer cells that were highly metastatic in an immunocompetent mouse model to identify colon cancer patients at risk for recurrence in a phase I, exploratory biomarker study. Methods: 55 colorectal cancer patients from Vanderbilt Medical Center (VMC) were used as the training dataset and 177 patients from the Moffitt Cancer Center were used as the independent dataset. The metastasis-associated gene expression profile developed from the mouse model was refined using comparative functional genomics in the VMC gene expression profiles to identify a 34-gene classifier associated with high risk of metastasis and death from colon cancer. A recurrence score derived from the biologically based classifier was tested in the Moffitt dataset. Results: A high score was significantly associated with increased risk of metastasis and death from colon cancer across all pathological stages and specifically in stage II and stage III patients. The recurrence score was shown to independently predict risk of cancer recurrence and death in both univariate and multivariate models. For example, among stage III patients, a high score translated to increased relative risk for cancer recurrence (hazard ratio = 4.7 (95% CI=1.566-14.05)). Furthermore, the recurrence score identified stage III patients whose five-year recurrence-free survival was >88% and for whom adjuvant chemotherapy did not provide improved survival. Conclusion: Our biologically based gene expression profile yielded a potentially useful classifier to predict cancer recurrence and death independently of conventional measures in colon cancer patients. Experiment Overall Design: Gene expression array differences between highly invasive mouse colon cancer cells and non-invasive colon cancer cells were used to develop a metastasis gene expression profile. It was refined using gene expression data from 55 patient (VMC) samples and trained using 177 patient (Moffitt) samples.

Project description:Background: Accurate survival stratification in early-stage NSCLC could inform the use of adjuvant therapy. We developed a clinically-implementable mortality risk score incorporating distinct tumor microenvironmental gene expression signatures and clinical variables. Methods: Gene expression profiles from 1106 non-squamous NSCLCs were used for generation and internal validation of a 9-gene molecular prognostic index (MPI). Expression of the MPI genes was determined within sorted tumor cell subpopulations. A quantitative PCR (qPCR) assay was developed and validated on an independent cohort of FFPE tissues. A prognostic score using clinical variables was generated using Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) data and combined with the MPI. Results: The MPI stratified stage I patients into prognostic categories in four independent validation datasets, including three microarray and one FFPE qPCR cohorts (HR=2.4, 95% CI, 1.8-3.3, P=7x10-9 in the largest microarray cohort; and HR=2.5, 95% CI 1.1-6.0, P=.03 in stage I patients of the qPCR validation cohort). Prognostic genes were expressed in distinct tumor cell subpopulations and expression of genes implicated in cellular proliferation and stem cells portended poor outcomes, while expression of genes involved in normal lung differentiation and immune infiltration was associated with superior survival. Integrating the MPI with clinical variables conferred greatest prognostic power (HR=3.3, 95% CI 2.4-4.6; P=2x10-15 in the largest microarray cohort; and HR=3.6, 95% CI 1.5-8.8, P=.003 in stage I patients of the qPCR validation cohort). Finally, the MPI was prognostic irrespective of somatic alterations in EGFR, KRAS, TP53, and ALK. Conclusion: The MPI incorporates genes expressed in the tumor and its microenvironment, and designates risk of death for patients with early-stage non-squamous NSCLC. The MPI can be implemented clinically using qPCR assays on FFPE tissues and a composite model integrating the MPI with clinical variables provides the most accurate risk stratification.

Dataset Information

A Novel Metabolic Signature To Predict the Requirement of Dialysis or Renal Transplantation in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease

Publications

A Novel Metabolic Signature To Predict the Requirement of Dialysis or Renal Transplantation in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease.

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