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Ndairou2020 - early-stage transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in Wuhan


ABSTRACT: We propose a compartmental mathematical model for the spread of the COVID-19 disease with special focus on the transmissibility of super-spreaders individuals. We compute the basic reproduction number threshold, we study the local stability of the disease free equilibrium in terms of the basic reproduction number, and we investigate the sensitivity of the model with respect to the variation of each one of its parameters. Numerical simulations show the suitability of the proposed COVID-19 model for the outbreak that occurred in Wuhan, China

DISEASE(S): Covid-19

SUBMITTER: Kausthubh Ramachandran  

PROVIDER: BIOMD0000000958 | BioModels | 2021-07-14

REPOSITORIES: BioModels

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Publications

Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission dynamics with a case study of Wuhan.

Ndaïrou Faïçal F   Area Iván I   Nieto Juan J JJ   Torres Delfim F M DFM  

Chaos, solitons, and fractals 20200427


We propose a compartmental mathematical model for the spread of the COVID-19 disease with special focus on the transmissibility of super-spreaders individuals. We compute the basic reproduction number threshold, we study the local stability of the disease free equilibrium in terms of the basic reproduction number, and we investigate the sensitivity of the model with respect to the variation of each one of its parameters. Numerical simulations show the suitability of the proposed COVID-19 model f  ...[more]

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