Dataset Information

Artificial intelligence-estimated biological heart age using a 12-lead electrocardiogram predicts mortality and cardiovascular outcomes.

ABSTRACT:

Background

There is a paucity of data on artificial intelligence-estimated biological electrocardiography (ECG) heart age (AI ECG-heart age) for predicting cardiovascular outcomes, distinct from the chronological age (CA). We developed a deep learning-based algorithm to estimate the AI ECG-heart age using standard 12-lead ECGs and evaluated whether it predicted mortality and cardiovascular outcomes.

Methods

We trained and validated a deep neural network using the raw ECG digital data from 425,051 12-lead ECGs acquired between January 2006 and December 2021. The network performed a holdout test using a separate set of 97,058 ECGs. The deep neural network was trained to estimate the AI ECG-heart age [mean absolute error, 5.8 ± 3.9 years; R-squared, 0.7 (r = 0.84, p < 0.05)].

Findings

In the Cox proportional hazards models, after adjusting for relevant comorbidity factors, the patients with an AI ECG-heart age of 6 years older than the CA had higher all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 1.60 [1.42-1.79]) and more major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) [HR: 1.91 (1.66-2.21)], whereas those under 6 years had an inverse relationship (HR: 0.82 [0.75-0.91] for all-cause mortality; HR: 0.78 [0.68-0.89] for MACEs). Additionally, the analysis of ECG features showed notable alterations in the PR interval, QRS duration, QT interval and corrected QT Interval (QTc) as the AI ECG-heart age increased.

Conclusion

Biological heart age estimated by AI had a significant impact on mortality and MACEs, suggesting that the AI ECG-heart age facilitates primary prevention and health care for cardiovascular outcomes.

SUBMITTER: Baek YS

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10133724 | biostudies-literature | 2023

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Artificial intelligence-estimated biological heart age using a 12-lead electrocardiogram predicts mortality and cardiovascular outcomes.

Baek Yong-Soo YS Lee Dong-Ho DH Jo Yoonsu Y Lee Sang-Chul SC Choi Wonik W Kim Dae-Hyeok DH

Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine 20230413

<h4>Background</h4>There is a paucity of data on artificial intelligence-estimated biological electrocardiography (ECG) heart age (AI ECG-heart age) for predicting cardiovascular outcomes, distinct from the chronological age (CA). We developed a deep learning-based algorithm to estimate the AI ECG-heart age using standard 12-lead ECGs and evaluated whether it predicted mortality and cardiovascular outcomes.<h4>Methods</h4>We trained and validated a deep neural network using the raw ECG digital d ...[more]

PMID: 37123475

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Project description:BackgroundThere is a well-established relationship between 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) and age and mortality. Furthermore, there is increasing evidence that ECG can be used to predict biological age. However, the utility of biological age from ECG for predicting mortality remains unclear.MethodsThis was a single-center cohort study from a cardiology specialized hospital. A total of 19,170 patients registered in this study from February 2010 to March 2018. ECG was analyzed in a final 12,837 patients after excluding those with structural heart disease or with pacing beats, atrial or ventricular tachyarrhythmia, or an indeterminate axis (R axis > 180°) on index ECG. The models for biological age were developed by principal component analysis (BA) and the Klemera and Doubal's method (not adjusted for age [BAE] and adjusted for age [BAEC]) using 438 ECG parameters. The predictive capability for all-cause death and cardiovascular death by chronological age (CA) and biological age using the three algorithms were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic analysis.ResultsDuring the mean follow-up period of 320.4 days, there were 55 all-cause deaths and 23 cardiovascular deaths. The predictive capabilities for all-cause death by BA, BAE, and BAEC using area under the curves were 0.731, 0.657, and 0.685, respectively, which were comparable to 0.725 for CA (p = 0.760, 0.141, and 0.308, respectively). The predictive capabilities for cardiovascular death by BA, BAE, and BAEC were 0.682, 0.685, and 0.692, respectively, which were also comparable to 0.674 for CA (p = 0.775, 0.839, and 0.706, respectively). In patients aged 60-74 years old, the area under the curves for all-cause death by BA, BAE, and BAEC were 0.619, 0.702, and 0.697, respectively, which tended to be or were significantly higher than 0.482 for CA (p = 0.064, 0.006, and 0.005, respectively).ConclusionBiological age by 12-lead ECG showed a similar predictive capability for mortality compared to CA among total patients, but partially showed a significant increase in predictive capability among patients aged 60-74 years old.

Project description:ImportanceLong QT syndrome (LQTS) is characterized by prolongation of the QT interval and is associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac death. However, although QT interval prolongation is the hallmark feature of LQTS, approximately 40% of patients with genetically confirmed LQTS have a normal corrected QT (QTc) at rest. Distinguishing patients with LQTS from those with a normal QTc is important to correctly diagnose disease, implement simple LQTS preventive measures, and initiate prophylactic therapy if necessary.ObjectiveTo determine whether artificial intelligence (AI) using deep neural networks is better than the QTc alone in distinguishing patients with concealed LQTS from those with a normal QTc using a 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG).Design, setting, and participantsA diagnostic case-control study was performed using all available 12-lead ECGs from 2059 patients presenting to a specialized genetic heart rhythm clinic. Patients were included if they had a definitive clinical and/or genetic diagnosis of type 1, 2, or 3 LQTS (LQT1, 2, or 3) or were seen because of an initial suspicion for LQTS but were discharged without this diagnosis. A multilayer convolutional neural network was used to classify patients based on a 10-second, 12-lead ECG, AI-enhanced ECG (AI-ECG). The convolutional neural network was trained using 60% of the patients, validated in 10% of the patients, and tested on the remaining patients (30%). The study was conducted from January 1, 1999, to December 31, 2018.Main outcomes and measuresThe goal of the study was to test the ability of the convolutional neural network to distinguish patients with LQTS from those who were evaluated for LQTS but discharged without this diagnosis, especially among patients with genetically confirmed LQTS but a normal QTc value at rest (referred to as genotype positive/phenotype negative LQTS, normal QT interval LQTS, or concealed LQTS).ResultsOf the 2059 patients included, 1180 were men (57%); mean (SD) age at first ECG was 21.6 (15.6) years. All 12-lead ECGs from 967 patients with LQTS and 1092 who were evaluated for LQTS but discharged without this diagnosis were included for AI-ECG analysis. Based on the ECG-derived QTc alone, patients were classified with an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.824 (95% CI, 0.79-0.858); using AI-ECG, the AUC was 0.900 (95% CI, 0.876-0.925). Furthermore, in the subset of patients who had a normal resting QTc (<450 milliseconds), the QTc alone distinguished those with LQTS from those without LQTS with an AUC of 0.741 (95% CI, 0.689-0.794), whereas the AI-ECG increased this discrimination to an AUC of 0.863 (95% CI, 0.824-0.903). In addition, the AI-ECG was able to distinguish the 3 main genotypic subgroups (LQT1, LQT2, and LQT3) with an AUC of 0.921 (95% CI, 0.890-0.951) for LQT1 compared with LQT2 and 3, 0.944 (95% CI, 0.918-0.970) for LQT2 compared with LQT1 and 3, and 0.863 (95% CI, 0.792-0.934) for LQT3 compared with LQT1 and 2.Conclusions and relevanceIn this study, the AI-ECG was found to distinguish patients with electrocardiographically concealed LQTS from those discharged without a diagnosis of LQTS and provide a nearly 80% accurate pregenetic test anticipation of LQTS genotype status. This model may aid in the detection of LQTS in patients presenting to an arrhythmia clinic and, with validation, may be the stepping stone to similar tools to be developed for use in the general population.

Dataset Information

Artificial intelligence-estimated biological heart age using a 12-lead electrocardiogram predicts mortality and cardiovascular outcomes.

Background

Methods

Findings

Conclusion

Publications

Artificial intelligence-estimated biological heart age using a 12-lead electrocardiogram predicts mortality and cardiovascular outcomes.

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