Dataset Information

Predicting response to chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer via visual morphologic assessment and staging on baseline MRI: a multicenter and multireader study.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

Pre-treatment knowledge of the anticipated response of rectal tumors to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) could help to further optimize the treatment. Van Griethuysen et al. proposed a visual 5-point confidence score to predict the likelihood of response on baseline MRI. Aim was to evaluate this score in a multicenter and multireader study setting and compare it to two simplified (4-point and 2-point) adaptations in terms of diagnostic performance, interobserver agreement (IOA), and reader preference.

Methods

Twenty-two radiologists from 14 countries (5 MRI-experts,17 general/abdominal radiologists) retrospectively reviewed 90 baseline MRIs to estimate if patients would likely achieve a (near-)complete response (nCR); first using the 5-point score by van Griethuysen (1=highly unlikely to 5=highly likely to achieve nCR), second using a 4-point adaptation (with 1-point each for high-risk T-stage, obvious mesorectal fascia invasion, nodal involvement, and extramural vascular invasion), and third using a 2-point score (unlikely/likely to achieve nCR). Diagnostic performance was calculated using ROC curves and IOA using Krippendorf's alpha (α).

Results

Areas under the ROC curve to predict the likelihood of a nCR were similar for the three methods (0.71-0.74). IOA was higher for the 5- and 4-point scores (α=0.55 and 0.57 versus 0.46 for the 2-point score) with best results for the MRI-experts (α=0.64-0.65). Most readers (55%) favored the 4-point score.

Conclusions

Visual morphologic assessment and staging methods can predict neoadjuvant treatment response with moderate-good performance. Compared to a previously published confidence-based scoring system, study readers preferred a simplified 4-point risk score based on high-risk T-stage, MRF involvement, nodal involvement, and EMVI.

SUBMITTER: El Khababi N

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10480283 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Predicting response to chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer via visual morphologic assessment and staging on baseline MRI: a multicenter and multireader study.

El Khababi Najim N Beets-Tan Regina G H RGH Tissier Renaud R Lahaye Max J MJ Maas Monique M Curvo-Semedo Luís L Dresen Raphaëla C RC Nougaret Stephanie S Beets Geerard L GL Lambregts Doenja M J DMJ

Abdominal radiology (New York) 20230626 10

<h4>Purpose</h4>Pre-treatment knowledge of the anticipated response of rectal tumors to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) could help to further optimize the treatment. Van Griethuysen et al. proposed a visual 5-point confidence score to predict the likelihood of response on baseline MRI. Aim was to evaluate this score in a multicenter and multireader study setting and compare it to two simplified (4-point and 2-point) adaptations in terms of diagnostic performance, interobserver agreement (IOA ...[more]

PMID: 37358604

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Project description:ObjectivesA watch and wait strategy with the goal of organ preservation is an emerging treatment paradigm for rectal cancer following neoadjuvant treatment. However, the selection of appropriate patients remains a challenge. Most previous efforts to measure the accuracy of MRI in assessing rectal cancer response used a small number of radiologists and did not report variability among them.MethodsTwelve radiologists from 8 institutions assessed baseline and restaging MRI scans of 39 patients. The participating radiologists were asked to assess MRI features and to categorize the overall response as complete or incomplete. The reference standard was pathological complete response or a sustained clinical response for > 2 years.ResultsWe measured the accuracy and described the interobserver variability of interpretation of rectal cancer response between radiologists at different medical centers. Overall accuracy was 64%, with a sensitivity of 65% for detecting complete response and specificity of 63% for detecting residual tumor. Interpretation of the overall response was more accurate than the interpretation of any individual feature. Variability of interpretation was dependent on the patient and imaging feature investigated. In general, variability and accuracy were inversely correlated.ConclusionsMRI-based evaluation of response at restaging is insufficiently accurate and has substantial variability of interpretation. Although some patients' response to neoadjuvant treatment on MRI may be easily recognizable, as seen by high accuracy and low variability, that is not the case for most patients.Key points• The overall accuracy of MRI-based response assessment is low and radiologists differed in their interpretation of key imaging features. • Some patients' scans were interpreted with high accuracy and low variability, suggesting that these patients' pattern of response is easier to interpret. • The most accurate assessments were those of the overall response, which took into consideration both T2W and DWI sequences and the assessment of both the primary tumor and the lymph nodes.

Project description:Highlights • Pre-treatment MRI images were used to construct a prediction model for pathologic T downstaging in locally advanced rectal cancer.• The prediction model showed good performance in training cohort (AUC 0.842), internal testing cohort (AUC 0.809) and prospective cohort (AUC 0.727).• High-probability group (score > 81.82) had potential benefits from sufficient consolidation chemotherapy. Background and purpose Predicting tumour response would be useful for selecting patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) for organ preservation strategies. We aimed to develop and validate a prediction model for T downstaging (ypT0-2) in LARC patients after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and to identify those who may benefit from consolidation chemotherapy. Materials and methods cT3-4 LARC patients at three tertiary medical centers from January 2012 to January 2019 were retrospectively included, while a prospective cohort was recruited from June 2021 to March 2022. Eight filter (principal component analysis, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, partial least-squares discriminant analysis, random forest)-classifier (support vector machine, logistic regression) models were established to select radiomic features. A nomogram combining radiomics and significant clinical features was developed and validated by calibration curve and decision curve analysis. Interaction test was conducted to investigate the consolidation chemotherapy benefits. Results A total of 634 patients were included (426 in training cohort, 174 in testing cohort and 34 in prospective cohort). A radiomic prediction model using partial least-squares discriminant analysis and a support vector machine showed the best performance (AUC: 0.832 [training]; 0.763 [testing]). A nomogram combining radiomics and clinical features showed significantly better prognostic performance (AUC: 0.842 [training]; 0.809 [testing]) than the radiomic model. The model was also tested in the prospective cohort with AUC 0.727. High-probability group (score > 81.82) may have potential benefits from ≥ 4 cycles consolidation chemotherapy (OR: 4.173, 95 % CI: 0.953–18.276, p = 0.058, pinteraction = 0.021). Conclusion We identified and validated a model based on multicenter pre-treatment radiomics to predict ypT0-2 in cT3-4 LARC patients, which may facilitate individualised treatment decision-making for organ-preservation strategies and consolidation chemotherapy.

Project description:ObjectivesTo construct and validate multiparametric MR-based radiomic models based on primary tumors for predicting lymph node metastasis (LNM) following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) patients.MethodsA total of 150 LARC patients from two independent centers were enrolled. The training cohort comprised 100 patients from center A. Fifty patients from center B were included in the external validation cohort. Radiomic features were extracted from the manually segmented volume of interests of the primary tumor before and after nCRT. Feature selection was performed using multivariate logistic regression analysis. The clinical risk factors were selected via the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method. The radiologist's assessment of LNM was performed. Eight models were constructed using random forest classifiers, including four single-sequence models, three combined-sequence models, and a clinical model. The models' discriminative performance was assessed via receiver operating characteristic curve analysis quantified by the area under the curve (AUC).ResultsThe AUCs of the radiologist's assessment, the clinical model, and the single-sequence models ranged from 0.556 to 0.756 in the external validation cohort. Among the single-sequence models, modelpost_DWI exhibited superior predictive power, with an AUC of 0.756 in the external validation set. In combined-sequence models, modelpre_T2_DWI_post had the best diagnostic performance in predicting LNM after nCRT, with a significantly higher AUC (0.831) than those of the clinical model, modelpre_T2_DWI, and the single-sequence models (all p < 0.05).ConclusionsA multiparametric model that incorporates MR radiomic features before and after nCRT is optimal for predicting LNM after nCRT in LARC.Critical relevance statementThis study enrolled 150 LARC patients from two independent centers and constructed multiparametric MR-based radiomic models based on primary tumors for predicting LNM following nCRT, which aims to guide therapeutic decisions and predict prognosis for LARC patients.Key pointsThe biological characteristics of primary tumors and metastatic LNs are similar in rectal cancer. Radiomics features and clinical data before and after nCRT provide complementary tumor information. Preoperative prediction of LN status after nCRT contributes to clinical decision-making.

Dataset Information

Predicting response to chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer via visual morphologic assessment and staging on baseline MRI: a multicenter and multireader study.

Purpose

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Predicting response to chemoradiotherapy in rectal cancer via visual morphologic assessment and staging on baseline MRI: a multicenter and multireader study.

Similar Datasets

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