Planning for healthcare services during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Southeast of England: a system dynamics modelling approach.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

To develop, test, validate and implement a system dynamics model to simulate the pandemic progress and the impact of various interventions on viral spread, healthcare utilisation and demand in secondary care.

Design

We adopted the system dynamics model incorporating susceptible, exposed, infection and recovery framework to simulate the progress of the pandemic and how the interventions for the COVID-19 response influence the outcomes with a focus on secondary care.

Setting

This study was carried out covering all the local health systems in Southeast of England with a catchment population of six million with a specific focus on Kent and Medway system.

Participants

Six local health systems in Southeast of England using Kent and Medway as a case study.<

SUBMITTER: George A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10729138 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature