Dataset Information

Machine learning-based prediction model for myocardial ischemia under high altitude exposure: a cohort study.

ABSTRACT: High altitude exposure increases the risk of myocardial ischemia (MI) and subsequent cardiovascular death. Machine learning techniques have been used to develop cardiovascular disease prediction models, but no reports exist for high altitude induced myocardial ischemia. Our objective was to establish a machine learning-based MI prediction model and identify key risk factors. Using a prospective cohort study, a predictive model was developed and validated for high-altitude MI. We consolidated the health examination and self-reported electronic questionnaire data (collected between January and June 2022 in 920th Joint Logistic Support Force Hospital of china) of soldiers undergoing high-altitude training, along with the health examination and second self-reported electronic questionnaire data (collected between December 2022 and January 2023) subsequent to their completion on the plateau, into a unified dataset. Participants were subsequently allocated to either the training or test dataset in a 3:1 ratio using random assignment. A predictive model based on clinical features, physical examination, and laboratory results was designed using the training dataset, and the model's performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve score (AUC) in the test dataset. Using the training dataset (n = 2141), we developed a myocardial ischemia prediction model with high accuracy (AUC = 0.86) when validated on the test dataset (n = 714). The model was based on five laboratory results: Eosinophils percentage (Eos.Per), Globulin (G), Ca, Glucose (GLU), and Aspartate aminotransferase (AST). Our concise and accurate high-altitude myocardial ischemia incidence prediction model, based on five laboratory results, may be used to identify risks in advance and help individuals and groups prepare before entering high-altitude areas. Further external validation, including female and different age groups, is necessary.

SUBMITTER: Chen Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10770400 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Machine learning-based prediction model for myocardial ischemia under high altitude exposure: a cohort study.

Chen Yu Y Zhang Xin X Ye Qing Q Zhang Xin X Cao Ning N Li Shao-Ying SY Yu Jie J Zhao Sheng-Tao ST Zhang Juan J Xu Xin-Ming XM Shi Yan-Kun YK Yang Li-Xia LX

Scientific reports 20240106 1

High altitude exposure increases the risk of myocardial ischemia (MI) and subsequent cardiovascular death. Machine learning techniques have been used to develop cardiovascular disease prediction models, but no reports exist for high altitude induced myocardial ischemia. Our objective was to establish a machine learning-based MI prediction model and identify key risk factors. Using a prospective cohort study, a predictive model was developed and validated for high-altitude MI. We consolidated the ...[more]

PMID: 38182722

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Project description:In-vivo estimation of mechanical properties of the myocardium is essential for patient-specific diagnosis and prognosis of cardiac disease involving myocardial remodeling, including myocardial infarction and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Current approaches use time-consuming finite-element (FE) inverse methods that involve reconstructing and meshing the heart geometry, imposing measured loading, and conducting computationally expensive iterative FE simulations. In this paper, we propose a machine learning (ML) model that feasibly and accurately predicts passive myocardial properties directly from select geometric, architectural, and hemodynamic measures, thus bypassing exhaustive steps commonly required in cardiac FE inverse problems. Geometric and fiber-orientation features were chosen to be readily obtainable from standard cardiac imaging protocols. The end-diastolic pressure-volume relationship (EDPVR), which can be obtained using a single-point pressure-volume measurement, was used as a hemodynamic (loading) feature. A comprehensive ML training dataset in the geometry-architecture-loading space was generated, including a wide variety of partially synthesized rodent heart geometry and myofiber helicity possibilities, and a broad range of EDPVRs obtained using forward FE simulations. Latin hypercube sampling was used to create 2500 examples for training, validation, and testing. A multi-layer feed-forward neural network (MFNN) was used as a deep learning agent to train the ML model. The model showed excellent performance in predicting stiffness parameters [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] associated with fiber direction ([Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]). After conducting permutation feature importance analysis, the ML performance further improved for [Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text]), and the left ventricular volume and endocardial area were found to be the most critical geometric features for accurate predictions. The ML model predictions were evaluated further in two cases: (i) rat-specific stiffness data measured using ex-vivo mechanical testing, and (ii) patient-specific estimation using FE inverse modeling. Excellent agreements with ML predictions were found for both cases. The trained ML model offers a feasible technology to estimate patient-specific myocardial properties, thus, bridging the gap between EDPVR, as a confounded organ-level metric for tissue stiffness, and intrinsic tissue-level properties. These properties provide incremental information relative to traditional organ-level indices for cardiac function, improving the clinical assessment and prognosis of cardiac diseases.

Dataset Information

Machine learning-based prediction model for myocardial ischemia under high altitude exposure: a cohort study.

Publications

Machine learning-based prediction model for myocardial ischemia under high altitude exposure: a cohort study.

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