Project description:BackgroundFractures in children and adolescents(FCA) represent a significant public health concern.This underlines the essential need for comprehensive research into the global burden of disease related to FCA.ObjectiveTo examine the trajectories of fracture rates and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in children and adolescents, as well as to identify contributing risk factors for fracture-associated DALYs between 1990 and 2019.MethodsThis cross-sectional analysis utilized data from the Global Burden of Diseases 2019 (GBD 2019) study. It included individuals with Fracture of Childhood Age (FCA) ranging from 5 to 14 years.ResultsIn 2019, there were 33,646,042 incident cases of FCA were reported worldwide. South Asia exhibited the highest number of new cases (8,270,826) and DALYs (190,124 life years) in 2019, accounting for approximately one-fourth of the global data. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence slight decreased by 21.19% and DALYs decreased by 28.99% globally. Fractures involving the radius and/r ulna (19.88%) rank as the top most prevalent FCA. Panel models analysis has pinpointed growth in adjusted national income (coefficient B 3.50, p-value 0.02) and per capita adjusted national income (coefficient B 3.48, p-value 0.03) as significant predictors of the worldwide DALYs associated with FCA.ConclusionFrom 1990 to 2019, the burden of FCA exhibited a notable downward trend. However, in low SDI regions such as South Asia, the burden remains substantial. It was found that national income is a risk factor for FCA-associated DALYs, highlighting the need for policies and resources directed towards FCA alongside economic development.
Project description:IntroductionOur aim was to analyze the regional and national levels of the global burden of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) among young adults (aged 15-49) in order to identify long-term trends.Material and methodsThe data for this study were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019, which assessed 369 diseases and injuries as well as 87 risk factors in 204 countries and 21 regions. To evaluate a nation's level of development, a composite statistic called the socio-demographic index (SDI) was utilized. We analyzed the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) related to RA in individuals in young adults. Additionally, we estimated the annual percentage changes (EAPCs) for the aforementioned parameters.ResultsFrom 1990 to 2019, there was a positive trend in the ASIR of and age-standardized DALY rate due to RA in young adults. The high-SDI region experienced the highest ASIR and age-standardized DALY rates due to RA, with significant increases in these parameters during the same period (EAPC = 0.46 and 0.41, respectively). The region that witnessed the largest increase in the ASIR of RA in young adults was Andean Latin America (EAPC = 1.48), while Qatar had the largest increase among countries (EAPC = 2.30). Similarly, Andean Latin America recorded the largest increase in the age-standardized DALY rate due to RA (EAPC = 0.98), with Qatar having the largest increase among countries (EAPC = 2.01).ConclusionsFrom 1990 to 2019, there was a notable increase in both the age-standardized DALY rates and ASIRs associated with RA in young adults. This positive trend was particularly evident in high-SDI regions. However, it is worth noting that the impact of RA on young adults in low-income areas of Andean Latin America was also substantial.
Project description:PurposeTraumatic brain injury (TBI), currently a major global public health problem, imposes a significant economic burden on society and families. We aimed to quantify and predict the incidence and severity of TBI by analyzing its incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs). The epidemiological changes in TBI from 1990 to 2019 were described and updated to provide a reference for developing prevention, treatment, and incidence-reducing measures for TBI.MethodsA secondary analysis was performed on the incidence, prevalence, and YLDs of TBI by sex, age group, and region (n = 21,204 countries and territories) between 1990 and 2019 using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019. Proportions in the age-standardized incidence rate due to underlying causes of TBI and proportions of minor and moderate or severe TBI were also reported.ResultsIn 2019, there were 27.16 million (95% uncertainty intervals (UI): 23.36 - 31.42) new cases of TBI worldwide, with age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates of 346 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 298 - 401) and 599 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 573 - 627), respectively. From 1990 to 2019, there were no significant trends in global age-standardized incidence (estimated annual percentage changes: -0.11%, 95% UI: -0.18% - -0.04%) or prevalence (estimated annual percentage changes: 0.01%, 95% UI: -0.04% - 0.06%). TBI caused 7.08 million (95% UI: 5.00 - 9.59) YLDs in 2019, with age-standardized rates of 86.5 per 100,000 population (95% UI: 61.1 - 117.2). In 2019, the countries with higher incidence rates were mainly distributed in Central Europe, Eastern Europe, and Australia. The 2019 global age-standardized incidence rate was higher in males than in females. The 2019 global incidence of moderate and severe TBI was 182.7 per 100,000 population, accounting for 52.8% of all TBI, with falls and road traffic injuries being the main causes in most regions.ConclusionsThe incidence of moderate and severe TBI was slightly higher in 2019, and TBI still accounts for a significant portion of the global injury burden. The likelihood of moderate to severe TBI and the trend of major injury under each injury cause from 1990 to 2019 and the characteristics of injury mechanisms in each age group are presented, providing a basis for further research on injury causes in each age group and the future establishment of corresponding policies and protective measures.
Project description:ObjectivesOtitis media is one of the most important causes of hearing loss at an early age. Effective vaccination with the routine 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV-7) was introduced in 2000. It has been gradually replaced by the pneumococcal nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine or the higher-valent 13-valent PCV (PCV-13) since 2010. Data on the change in otitis media burden in recent years are sparse at the global, regional, and national levels.DesignThe Global Burden of Disease 2019 study was used to evaluate the prevalence, incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates, and the average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) in otitis media in geographic populations worldwide from 1990 to 2019. These global trends were further analyzed by subgroup (age, sex, and sociodemographic index [SDI]).ResultsGlobally, the all-age rate of prevalence (AAPC = -0.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -0.7 to -0.8), DALYs (AAPC = -1.0, 95% CI = -1.1 to -1.0), and mortality (AAPC = -6.8, 95% CI = -7.3 to -6.4) from otitis media decreased constantly between 1990 and 2019. The all-age rate of incidence decreased sharply between 2000 and 2009 with an AAPC of -1.2 (95% CI = -1.4 to -0.9) and continued the downward trend between 2010 and 2019 (AAPC = -0.2, 95% CI = -0.3 to -0.1). In 2019, children aged 1 to 4 years old had the highest incidence at 29,127.3 per 100,000 population, while young adults under 30 years old accounted for 91.3% of the incident cases. Individuals living in middle-SDI countries had the largest increase in the incidence of otitis media, with an AAPC of 0.3 (95% CI = 0.3 to 0.3) between 1990 and 2019. The incidence and DALYs from otitis media decreased with increasing SDI. Regionally, the largest increase in incidence was observed in high-income Asia Pacific, Eastern Europe, and Western Sub-Saharan Africa between 1990 and 2019. Nationally, the largest increase in the incidence of otitis media was observed in the Republic of Korea, with an AAPC of 0.8 (95% CI = 0.6 to 1.1) in the same time period.ConclusionsThere have been successful previous endeavors to reduce DALYs and mortality attributed to otitis media on a global scale. The worldwide incidence of otitis media experienced a sharp decline following the introduction of PCV-7 in 2000, and this downward trend persisted in subsequent years with the adoption of PCV-13/pneumococcal nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine. Continual epidemiological surveillance of otitis media's global trends, pathogen distribution, and resistance patterns remains imperative.
Project description:Background This study was conducted to estimate the distribution of and changes in the global disease burden of ischemic heart disease attributable to smoking between 1990 and 2019. Methods and Results Data used in this study come from the GBD 2019 (Global Burden of Disease Study 2019). Age-standardized rates and estimated annual percentage change of age-standardized rates were used to describe this burden and its changing trend. Pearson's correlation coefficient was used to evaluate the correlation between the sociodemographic index and changing trend. From 1990 to 2019, the burden of ischemic heart disease attributable to smoking has shown a downward trend globally; estimated annual percentage changes of age-standardized mortality rates and age-standardized disability-adjusted life-years rates were -2.012 (95% CI, -2.068 to -1.956) and -1.907 (95% CI, -1.975 to -1.838). Nineteen countries experienced an increase in disease burden, and the changes in 17 countries were not statistically significant. In addition, this burden was higher in men and older age groups. Estimated annual percentage change of the age-standardized rates of this burden were negatively correlated with the sociodemographic index. Conclusions Although the burden of ischemic heart disease attributable to smoking has decreased in >80% of countries or regions in the past 30 years, it has remained a significant issue in low- and middle-income countries, particularly among men and elderly populations. Therefore, active tobacco control measures, focusing on key populations, are required to reduce the associated burden of ischemic heart disease, especially in those countries or regions with increasing prevalence and disease burden.
Project description:BackgroundHip osteoarthritis is a common disabling condition of the hip joint and is associated with a substantial health burden. We assessed the epidemiological patterns of hip osteoarthritis from 1990 to 2019 by sex, age, and socio-demographic index (SDI).MethodsAge-standardized rates (ASRs) were obtained for the incidence and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of hip osteoarthritis from 1990 to 2019 for 21 regions, encompassing a total of 204 countries and territories. The estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) of ASRs were calculated to evaluate the trends in the incidence and DALYs of hip osteoarthritis over these 30 years.ResultsGlobally, from 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of hip osteoarthritis increased from 17.02 per 100,000 persons to 18.70 per 100,000 persons, with an upward trend in the EAPC of 0.32 (0.29-0.34), whereas the age-standardized DALY rate increased from 11.54 per 100,000 persons to 12.57 per 100,000 persons, with an EAPC of 0.29 (0.27-0.32). In 2019, the EAPCs of the ASIR and age-standardized DALY rate of hip osteoarthritis were positively associated with the SDI of hip osteoarthritis. In 1990 and 2019, the incidence of hip osteoarthritis was unimodally distributed across different age groups, with a peak incidence in the 60-64-year-old age group, whereas the DALYs increased with age.ConclusionsThe incidence and DALYs of hip osteoarthritis have been increasing globally. The EAPCs of the ASIR and age-standardized DALY rate were particularly significant in developed regions and varied across nations and regions, indicating the urgent need for governments and medical institutions to increase the awareness regarding risk factors, consequences of hip osteoarthritis.
Project description:ImportancePreterm birth complications are the leading cause of death in children younger than 5 years worldwide. Despite advancing knowledge of risk factors and mechanisms related to preterm labor, the preterm birth rate has risen in most industrialized countries. Moreover, the burden of neonatal preterm birth remains unclear across the world.ObjectiveTo determine the trends in incidence and mortality of neonatal preterm birth at the global, regional, and national levels to quantify its burden from 1990 to 2019 using data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study.Design, setting, and participantsAnnual incident cases, deaths, age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs), and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of neonatal preterm birth between 1990 and 2019 were collected from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study. The percentage of relative changes in incident cases and deaths as well as the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) of ASIRs and ASMRs were calculated to quantify their temporal trends. Correlations of EAPC of ASIRs and ASMRs with sociodemographic index (SDI) and universal health coverage index were evaluated by Pearson correlation analyses.ExposuresInfants born alive before 37 completed weeks of gestation between 1990 and 2019.Main outcomes and measuresIncident cases, deaths, ASIRs, and ASMRs of neonatal preterm birth.ResultsGlobally, the incident cases of neonatal preterm birth decreased by 5.26% from 16.06 million in 1990 to 15.22 million in 2019, and the deaths decreased by 47.71% from 1.27 million in 1990 to 0.66 million in 2019. The overall ASIR (EAPC = -0.19 [95% CI, -0.27 to -0.11]) and ASMR (EAPC = -2.09 [95% CI, -1.99 to -2.20]) decreased in this period. The ASIR of neonatal preterm birth increased by a mean of 0.25% (95% CI, 0.13%-0.38%) in high-SDI regions from 1990 to 2019. The ASMR of neonatal preterm birth increased by a mean of 2.09% (95% CI, 1.99%-2.20%) in Southern Sub-Saharan Africa in this period. A positive correlation was observed between EAPC of ASIR and SDI or universal health coverage index in 2019, while a negative correlation was observed between EAPC in ASMR and SDI or universal health coverage index in 2019 at national levels.Conclusions and relevancePreterm birth remains a crucial issue in children worldwide, with an increasing trend in ASIR in high-SDI regions and in ASMR in Southern Sub-Saharan Africa between 1990 to 2019. Efforts to reduce both the incidence and mortality of preterm births are essential.
Project description:This study presents a comprehensive analysis of global, regional, and national trends in the burden of hearing loss (HL) among children and adolescents from 1990 to 2019, using data from the Global Burden of Disease study. Over this period, there was a general decline in HL prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) globally, with average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) of -0.03% (95% uncertainty interval [UI], -0.04% to -0.01%; p = 0.001) and -0.23% (95% UI, -0.25% to -0.20%; p < 0.001). Males exhibited higher rates of HL prevalence and YLDs than females. Mild and moderate HL were the most common categories across all age groups, but the highest proportion of YLDs was associated with profound HL [22.23% (95% UI, 8.63%-57.53%)]. Among females aged 15-19 years, the prevalence and YLD rates for moderate HL rose, with AAPCs of 0.14% (95% UI, 0.06%-0.22%; p = 0.001) and 0.13% (95% UI, 0.08%-0.18%; p < 0.001). This increase is primarily attributed to age-related and other HL (such as environmental, lifestyle factors, and occupational noise exposure) and otitis media, highlighting the need for targeted research and interventions for this demographic. Southeast Asia and Western Sub-Saharan Africa bore the heaviest HL burden, while High-income North America showed lower HL prevalence and YLD rates but a slight increasing trend in recent years, with AAPCs of 0.13% (95% UI, 0.1%-0.16%; p < 0.001) and 0.08% (95% UI, 0.04% to 0.12%; p < 0.001). Additionally, the analysis revealed a significant negative correlation between sociodemographic index (SDI) and both HL prevalence (r = -0.74; p < 0.001) and YLD (r = -0.76; p < 0.001) rates. However, the changes in HL trends were not significantly correlated with SDI, suggesting that factors beyond economic development, such as policies and cultural practices, also affect HL. Despite the overall optimistic trend, this study emphasizes the continued need to focus on specific high-risk groups and regions to further reduce the HL burden and enhance the quality of life for affected children and adolescents.
Project description:Background & aimsCirrhosis was the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in adults, but data on the burden and trends were sparse in children and adolescents. We aimed to assess the trends in 204 countries and territories over the past 30 years in children and adolescents aged 0-19 years.MethodsData on cirrhosis was collected by the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database from 1990 to 2019. We reported on the number, rates, and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) of incidence and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of cirrhosis at global, regional, and national level.ResultsGlobally, the incident numbers of cirrhosis in children and adolescents increased from 204,767 in 1990 to 241,364 in 2019, an increase of 17.9%, with an AAPC 0.13(0.10 to 0.16). Prevalence (AAPC = - 2.27[- 2.39 to - 2.15]), mortality (AAPC = - 1.68 [- 1.86 to - 1.5]), and DALYs rate (AAPC = - 1.72[- 1.88 to - 1.56]) of cirrhosis have decreased significantly. Cirrhosis incident rates varied between different ages. Cirrhosis caused by alcohol use (AAPC = 1[0.8 to 1.1]; incidence cases increased 48%), hepatitis C (AAPC = 0.4 [0.4 to 0.5]), NAFLD (AAPC = 0.5 [0.3 to 0.6]) have been increasing, while only hepatitis B (- 0.3[- 0.4 to - 0.2]) decreasing. Incidence cases of cirrhosis were increased in low (101.6%) and low-middle sociodemographic index (SDI 21.1%) areas, while decreasing in middle and above SDI areas. At the regional level, the largest increases count was observed in Sub-Saharan Africa.ConclusionsGlobal incidence rate of cirrhosis has been increasing, while the DALYs rate has been decreasing in children and adolescents. Morbidity of cirrhosis caused by hepatitis B declined, while hepatitis C, NAFLD, and alcohol use increased.
Project description:BackgroundCervical cancer is the fourth most common cause of cancer death in women worldwide. Smoking is one of the risk factors for cervical cancer. Understanding the global distribution of the disease burden of cervical cancer attributable to smoking and related changes is of clear significance for the prevention and control of cervical cancer in key populations and for tobacco control. As far as we know, research on the burden of cervical cancer attributable to smoking is lacking.ObjectiveWe estimated the disease burden and mortality of cervical cancer attributable to smoking and related trends over time at the global, regional, and national levels.MethodsData were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease study website. Age-standardized rates were used to facilitate comparisons of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) at different levels. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to assess trends in the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and the age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR). A Pearson correlation analysis was used to evaluate correlations between the sociodemographic index and the age-standardized rates.ResultsIn 2019, there were 30,136.65 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 14,945.09-49,639.87) cervical cancer-related deaths and 893,735.25 (95% UI 469,201.51-1,440,050.85) cervical cancer-related DALYs attributable to smoking. From 1990 to 2019, the global burden of cervical cancer attributable to smoking showed a decreasing trend around the world; the EAPCs for ASMR and ASDR were -2.11 (95% CI -2.16 to -2.06) and -2.22 (95% CI -2.26 to -2.18), respectively. In terms of age characteristics, in 2019, an upward trend was observed for age in the mortality of cervical cancer attributable to smoking. Analysis of the trend in DALYs with age revealed an initially increasing and then decreasing trend. From 1990 to 2019, the burden of disease in different age groups showed a downward trend. Among 204 countries, 180 countries showed downward trends, 10 countries showed upward trends, and the burden was stable in 14 countries. The Pearson correlation analysis revealed a significant negative correlation between sociodemographic index and the age-standardized rates of cervical cancer attributable to smoking (ρ=-0.228, P<.001 for ASMR and ρ=-0.223, P<.001 for ASDR).ConclusionsAn increase over time in the absolute number of cervical cancer deaths and DALYs attributable to smoking and a decrease over time in the ASMR and ASDR for cervical cancer attributable to smoking were observed in the overall population, and differences in these variables were also observed between countries and regions. More attention should be paid to cervical cancer prevention and screening in women who smoke, especially in low- and middle-income countries.