Dataset Information

Long-term mortality and risk factors for development of end-stage renal disease in critically ill patients with and without chronic kidney disease.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) amongst intensive care unit (ICU) admissions is rising. How mortality and risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) differs between those with and without CKD and with acute kidney injury (AKI) is unclear. Determining factors that increase the risk of ESRD is essential to optimise treatment, identify patients requiring nephrological surveillance and for quantification of dialysis provision.

Method

This cohort study used the Swedish intensive care register 2005-2011 consisting of 130,134 adult patients. Incomplete cases were excluded (26,771). Patients were classified (using diagnostic and intervention codes as well as admission creatinine values) into the following groups: ESRD, CKD, AKI, acute-on-chronic disease (AoC) or no renal dysfunction (control). Primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcome was ESRD incidence.

Results

Of 103,363 patients 4,192 had pre-existing CKD; 1389 had ESRD; 5273 developed AKI and 998 CKD patients developed AoC. One-year mortality was greatest in AoC patients (54 %) followed by AKI (48.7 %), CKD (47.6 %) and ESRD (40.3 %) (P < 0.001). Five-year mortality was highest for the CKD and AoC groups (71.3 % and 68.2 %, respectively) followed by AKI (61.8 %) and ESRD (62.9 %) (P < 0.001). ESRD incidence was greatest in the AoC and CKD groups (adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) 259 (95 % confidence interval (CI) 156.9-429.1) and 96.4, (95 % CI 59.7-155.6) respectively) and elevated in AKI patients compared with controls (adjusted IRR 24 (95 % CI 3.9-42.0); P < 0.001). Risk factors independently associated with ESRD in 1-year survivors were, according to relative risk ratio, AoC (356; 95 % CI 69.9-1811), CKD (267; 95 % CI 55.1-1280), AKI (30; 95 % CI 5.98-154) and presence of elevated admission serum potassium (4.6; 95 % CI 1.30-16.40) (P < 0.001).

Conclusions

Pre-ICU renal disease significantly increases risk of death compared with controls. Subjects with AoC disease had extreme risk of developing ESRD. All patients with CKD who survive critical care should receive a nephrology referral.

Trial registration

Clinical trials registration number

NCT02424747 April 20th 2015.

SUBMITTER: Rimes-Stigare C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC4630837 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Long-term mortality and risk factors for development of end-stage renal disease in critically ill patients with and without chronic kidney disease.

Rimes-Stigare Claire C Frumento Paolo P Bottai Matteo M Mårtensson Johan J Martling Claes-Roland CR Bell Max M

Critical care (London, England) 20151103

<h4>Introduction</h4>Prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) amongst intensive care unit (ICU) admissions is rising. How mortality and risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) differs between those with and without CKD and with acute kidney injury (AKI) is unclear. Determining factors that increase the risk of ESRD is essential to optimise treatment, identify patients requiring nephrological surveillance and for quantification of dialysis provision.<h4>Method</h4>This cohort study used the Swed ...[more]

PMID: 26526622

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Project description:PurposeEnd-stage kidney disease (ESKD) is a major worldwide health problem. Patients with ESKD are thought to have a significant risk for development of complications following an operation. However, the study of ESKD and its outcomes following major operations remains rare, particularly in critical illness. Therefore, this study aimed to demonstrate how the outcomes of ESKD patients were affected when they underwent a major operation and were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), compared with non-ESKD patients.MethodsA retrospective matched case cohort study was conducted in 122 critically ill surgical patients who underwent a major operation and were admitted to the ICU, during 2013 and 2016. Sixty-one ESKD patients who required long-term dialysis were enrolled and compared with 61 matched non-ESKD patients. The matching criteria were the same age interval (±5 years), gender, and type of operation. The ICU mortality was compared to the primary outcome of the study.ResultsPatients' baseline characteristics between ESKD and non-ESKD were similar to a priori matching criteria and other demographics, except for pre-existing diabetes mellitus and hypertension, which were found significantly more in ESKD (p = 0.03 and 0.04, respectively). For operations, ESKD showed a higher grade of the American Society of Anesthesiologist (ASA) physical status (p < 0.001), but there were no differences for emergency surgery (p = 0.71) and duration of operation (p = 0.34). At ICU admission, the severity of illness measured by the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score was greater in ESKD (8.9 ± 2.6 vs 5.6 ± 2.5; p < 0.001). However, after eliminating renal domain, SOFA non-renal score was equivalent (5.7 ± 2.2 vs 5.2 ± 2.3, p = 0.16). The ICU mortality was significantly higher in critically-ill surgical patients with ESKD than non-ESKD (23% vs 5%, p=0.007), along with hospital mortality rates (34% vs 10%, p = 0.002). The multivariable logistic regression analyses adjusted for age and SOFA non-renal score demonstrated that ESKD had a significant association with ICU and hospital mortality (adjOR = 5.59; 95%CI [1.49-20.88], p = 0.01 and adjOR = 4.55; 95%CI[1.67-12.44], p = 0.003, respectively).ConclusionPatients who underwent a major operation and needed intensive care admission with pre-existing ESKD requiring long-term dialysis were associated with greater mortality than patients without ESKD. More careful assessment before, during, and after major surgical procedures should be performed in this group of patients to improve post-operative outcomes.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Hypertension is the most prevalent comorbidity in individuals with chronic kidney disease. However, whether the association of the kidney disease measures, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria, with mortality or end-stage renal disease (ESRD) differs by hypertensive status is unknown. METHODS:We did a meta-analysis of studies selected according to Chronic Kidney Disease Prognosis Consortium criteria. Data transfer and analyses were done between March, 2011, and June, 2012. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) of mortality and ESRD associated with eGFR and albuminuria in individuals with and without hypertension. FINDINGS:We analysed data for 45 cohorts (25 general population, seven high-risk, and 13 chronic kidney disease) with 1,127,656 participants, 364,344 of whom had hypertension. Low eGFR and high albuminuria were associated with mortality irrespective of hypertensive status in the general population and high-risk cohorts. All-cause mortality risk was 1·1-1·2 times higher in individuals with hypertension than in those without hypertension at preserved eGFR. A steeper relative risk gradient in individuals without hypertension than in those with hypertension at eGFR range 45-75 mL/min per 1·73 m(2) led to much the same mortality risk at lower eGFR. With a reference eGFR of 95 mL/min per 1·73 m(2) in each group to explicitly assess interaction, adjusted HR for all-cause mortality at eGFR 45 mL/min per 1·73 m(2) was 1·77 (95% CI 1·57-1·99) in individuals without hypertension versus 1·24 (1·11-1·39) in those with hypertension (p for overall interaction=0·0003). Similarly, for albumin-creatinine ratio of 300 mg/g (vs 5 mg/g), HR was 2·30 (1·98-2·68) in individuals without hypertension versus 2·08 (1·84-2·35) in those with hypertension (p for overall interaction=0·019). We recorded much the same results for cardiovascular mortality. The associations of eGFR and albuminuria with ESRD, however, did not differ by hypertensive status. Results for chronic kidney disease cohorts were similar to those for general and high-risk population cohorts. INTERPRETATION:Chronic kidney disease should be regarded as at least an equally relevant risk factor for mortality and ESRD in individuals without hypertension as it is in those with hypertension. FUNDING:US National Kidney Foundation.

Project description:BackgroundChronic kidney disease is characterised by low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and high albuminuria, and is associated with adverse outcomes. Whether these risks are modified by diabetes is unknown.MethodsWe did a meta-analysis of studies selected according to Chronic Kidney Disease Prognosis Consortium criteria. Data transfer and analyses were done between March, 2011, and June, 2012. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) of mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) associated with eGFR and albuminuria in individuals with and without diabetes.FindingsWe analysed data for 1,024,977 participants (128,505 with diabetes) from 30 general population and high-risk cardiovascular cohorts and 13 chronic kidney disease cohorts. In the combined general population and high-risk cohorts with data for all-cause mortality, 75,306 deaths occurred during a mean follow-up of 8·5 years (SD 5·0). In the 23 studies with data for cardiovascular mortality, 21,237 deaths occurred from cardiovascular disease during a mean follow-up of 9·2 years (SD 4·9). In the general and high-risk cohorts, mortality risks were 1·2-1·9 times higher for participants with diabetes than for those without diabetes across the ranges of eGFR and albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR). With fixed eGFR and ACR reference points in the diabetes and no diabetes groups, HR of mortality outcomes according to lower eGFR and higher ACR were much the same in participants with and without diabetes (eg, for all-cause mortality at eGFR 45 mL/min per 1·73 m(2) [vs 95 mL/min per 1·73 m(2)], HR 1·35; 95% CI 1·18-1·55; vs 1·33; 1·19-1·48 and at ACR 30 mg/g [vs 5 mg/g], 1·50; 1·35-1·65 vs 1·52; 1·38-1·67). The overall interactions were not significant. We identified much the same findings for ESRD in the chronic kidney disease cohorts.InterpretationDespite higher risks for mortality and ESRD in diabetes, the relative risks of these outcomes by eGFR and ACR are much the same irrespective of the presence or absence of diabetes, emphasising the importance of kidney disease as a predictor of clinical outcomes.FundingUS National Kidney Foundation.

Project description:ContextChronic kidney disease (CKD) is prevalent in older individuals, but the risk implications of low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and high albuminuria across the full age range are controversial.ObjectiveTo evaluate possible effect modification (interaction) by age of the association of eGFR and albuminuria with clinical risk, examining both relative and absolute risks.Design, setting, and participantsIndividual-level meta-analysis including 2,051,244 participants from 33 general population or high-risk (of vascular disease) cohorts and 13 CKD cohorts from Asia, Australasia, Europe, and North/South America, conducted in 1972-2011 with a mean follow-up time of 5.8 years (range, 0-31 years).Main outcome measuresHazard ratios (HRs) of mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) according to eGFR and albuminuria were meta-analyzed across age categories after adjusting for sex, race, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol, body mass index, and smoking. Absolute risks were estimated using HRs and average incidence rates.ResultsMortality (112,325 deaths) and ESRD (8411 events) risks were higher at lower eGFR and higher albuminuria in every age category. In general and high-risk cohorts, relative mortality risk for reduced eGFR decreased with increasing age; eg, adjusted HRs at an eGFR of 45 mL/min/1.73 m2 vs 80 mL/min/1.73 m2 were 3.50 (95% CI, 2.55-4.81), 2.21 (95% CI, 2.02-2.41), 1.59 (95% CI, 1.42-1.77), and 1.35 (95% CI, 1.23-1.48) in age categories 18-54, 55-64, 65-74, and ≥75 years, respectively (P <.05 for age interaction). Absolute risk differences for the same comparisons were higher at older age (9.0 [95% CI, 6.0-12.8], 12.2 [95% CI, 10.3-14.3], 13.3 [95% CI, 9.0-18.6], and 27.2 [95% CI, 13.5-45.5] excess deaths per 1000 person-years, respectively). For increased albuminuria, reduction of relative risk with increasing age was less evident, while differences in absolute risk were higher in older age categories (7.5 [95% CI, 4.3-11.9], 12.2 [95% CI, 7.9-17.6], 22.7 [95% CI, 15.3-31.6], and 34.3 [95% CI, 19.5-52.4] excess deaths per 1000 person-years, respectively by age category, at an albumin-creatinine ratio of 300 mg/g vs 10 mg/g). In CKD cohorts, adjusted relative hazards of mortality did not decrease with age. In all cohorts, ESRD relative risks and absolute risk differences at lower eGFR or higher albuminuria were comparable across age categories.ConclusionsBoth low eGFR and high albuminuria were independently associated with mortality and ESRD regardless of age across a wide range of populations. Mortality showed lower relative risk but higher absolute risk differences at older age.

Dataset Information

Long-term mortality and risk factors for development of end-stage renal disease in critically ill patients with and without chronic kidney disease.

Introduction

Method

Results

Conclusions

Trial registration

Clinical trials registration number

Publications

Long-term mortality and risk factors for development of end-stage renal disease in critically ill patients with and without chronic kidney disease.

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