Dataset Information

Validation of prediction models for risk stratification of incidentally detected pulmonary subsolid nodules: a retrospective cohort study in a Korean tertiary medical centre.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

To validate the performances of two prediction models (Brock and Lee models) for the differentiation of minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA) and invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma (IPA) from preinvasive lesions among subsolid nodules (SSNs).

Design

A retrospective cohort study.

Setting

A tertiary university hospital in South Korea.

Participants

410 patients with 410 incidentally detected SSNs who underwent surgical resection for the pulmonary adenocarcinoma spectrum between 2011 and 2015.

Primary and secondary outcome measures

Using clinical and radiological variables, the predicted probability of MIA/IPA was calculated from pre-existing logistic models (Brock and Lee models). Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) were calculated and compared between models. Performance metrics including sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) were also obtained.

Results

For pure ground-glass nodules (n=101), the AUC of the Brock model in differentiating MIA/IPA (59/101) from preinvasive lesions (42/101) was 0.671. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, PPV and NPV based on the optimal cut-off value were 64.4%, 64.3%, 64.4%, 71.7% and 56.3%, respectively. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, PPV and NPV according to the Lee criteria were 76.3%, 42.9%, 62.4%, 65.2% and 56.3%, respectively. AUC was not obtained for the Lee model as a single cut-off of nodule size (≥10 mm) was suggested by this model for the assessment of pure ground-glass nodules. For part-solid nodules (n=309; 26 preinvasive lesions and 283 MIA/IPAs), the AUC was 0.746 for the Brock model and 0.771 for the Lee model (p=0.574). Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, PPV and NPV were 82.3%, 53.8%, 79.9%, 95.1% and 21.9%, respectively, for the Brock model and 77.0%, 69.2%, 76.4%, 96.5% and 21.7%, respectively, for the Lee model.

Conclusions

The performance of prediction models for the incidentally detected SSNs in differentiating MIA/IPA from preinvasive lesions might be suboptimal. Thus, an alternative risk calculation model is required for the incidentally detected SSNs.

SUBMITTER: Kim H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5988095 | biostudies-literature | 2018 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Validation of prediction models for risk stratification of incidentally detected pulmonary subsolid nodules: a retrospective cohort study in a Korean tertiary medical centre.

Kim Hyungjin H Park Chang Min CM Jeon Sunkyung S Lee Jong Hyuk JH Ahn Su Yeon SY Yoo Roh-Eul RE Lim Hyun-Ju HJ Park Juil J Lim Woo Hyeon WH Hwang Eui Jin EJ Lee Sang Min SM Goo Jin Mo JM

BMJ open 20180524 5

<h4>Objectives</h4>To validate the performances of two prediction models (Brock and Lee models) for the differentiation of minimally invasive adenocarcinoma (MIA) and invasive pulmonary adenocarcinoma (IPA) from preinvasive lesions among subsolid nodules (SSNs).<h4>Design</h4>A retrospective cohort study.<h4>Setting</h4>A tertiary university hospital in South Korea.<h4>Participants</h4>410 patients with 410 incidentally detected SSNs who underwent surgical resection for the pulmonary adenocarcin ...[more]

PMID: 29794091

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Project description:Background and objectiveThe widespread use of chest computed tomography (CT) for lung cancer screening has led to increased detection of subsolid pulmonary nodules. The management of subsolid nodules (SSNs) is challenging since they are likely to grow slowly and a long-term follow-up is needed. In this review, we discuss the characteristics, natural history, genetic features, surveillance, and management of SSNs.MethodsPubMed and Google Scholar were searched to identify relevant articles published in English between January 1998 and December 2022 using the following keywords: "subsolid nodule", "ground-glass nodule (GGN)", and "part-solid nodule (PSN)".Key content and findingsThe differential diagnosis of SSNs includes transient inflammatory lesions, focal fibrosis, and premalignant or malignant lesions. Long-term CT surveillance follow-up is needed to manage SSNs that persist for >3 months. Although most SSNs have an indolent clinical course, PSNs may have a more aggressive clinical course than pure GGNs. The proportion of growth and the time to grow is higher and shorter in PSN than pure GGN. In lung adenocarcinoma manifesting as SSNs, EGFR mutations were the major driver mutations. Guidelines are available for the management of incidentally detected and screening-detected SSNs. The size, solidity, location, and number of SSNs are important factors in determining the need for surveillance and surgical resection, as well as the interval of follow-up. Positron emission tomography/CT and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are not recommended for the diagnosis of SSNs, especially for pure GGNs. Periodic CT surveillance and lung-sparing surgery are the main strategies for the management of persistent SSNs. Nonsurgical treatment options for persistent SSNs include stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) and radiofrequency ablation (RFA). For multifocal SSNs, the timing of repeated CT scans and the need for surgical treatment are decided based on the most dominant SSN(s).ConclusionsThe SSN is a heterogeneous disease and a personalized medicine approach is required in the future. Future studies of SSNs should focus on their natural history, optimal follow-up duration, genetic features, and surgical and nonsurgical treatments to improve the corresponding clinical management. All these efforts will lead to the personalized medicine approach for the SSNs.

Project description:ImportanceWhether guideline-concordant lung nodule evaluations lead to better outcomes remains unknown.ObjectiveTo examine the association between the intensity of lung nodule diagnostic evaluations and outcomes, safety, and health expenditures.Design, setting, and participantsThis comparative effectiveness research study analyzed health plan enrollees at Kaiser Permanente Washington in Seattle, Washington, and Marshfield Clinic in Marshfield, Wisconsin, with an incidental lung nodule detected between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2015. Included patients were 35 years or older, had no high suspicion of infection, had no history of malignant neoplasm, and had no evidence of advanced lung cancer on nodule detection. Data analysis was conducted from January 7 to August 19, 2020.ExposuresWith the 2005 Fleischner Society guidelines (selected for their applicability to the time frame under investigation) as the comparator, 2 other intensities of lung nodule evaluation were defined. Guideline-concordant evaluation followed the guidelines. Less intensive evaluation was the absence of recommended testing, longer-than-recommended surveillance intervals, or less invasive testing than recommended. More intensive evaluation consisted of testing when the guidelines recommended no further testing, shorter-than-recommended surveillance intervals, or more invasive testing than recommended.Main outcomes and measuresThe main outcome was the proportion of patients with lung cancer who had stage III or IV disease, radiation exposure, procedure-related adverse events, and health expenditures 2 years after nodule detection.ResultsAmong the 5057 individuals included in this comparative effectiveness research study, 1925 (38%) received guideline-concordant, 1863 (37%) less intensive, and 1269 (25%) more intensive diagnostic evaluations. The entire cohort comprised 2786 female patients (55%), and the mean (SD) age was 67 (13) years. Adjusted analyses showed that compared with guideline-concordant evaluations, less intensive evaluations were associated with fewer procedure-related adverse events (risk difference [RD], -5.9%; 95% CI, -7.2% to -4.6%), lower mean radiation exposure (-9.5 milliSieverts [mSv]; 95% CI, -10.3 mSv to -8.7 mSv), and lower mean health expenditures (-$10 916; 95% CI, -$16 112 to -$5719); no difference in stage III or IV disease was found among patients diagnosed with lung cancer (RD, 4.6%; 95% CI, -22% to +31%). More intensive evaluations were associated with more procedure-related adverse events (RD, +8.1%; 95% CI, +5.6% to +11%), higher mean radiation exposure (+6.8 mSv; 95% CI, +5.8 mSv to +7.8 mSv), and higher mean health expenditures ($20 132; 95% CI, +$14 398 to +$25 868); no difference in stage III or IV disease was observed (RD, -0.5%; 95% CI, -28% to +27%).Conclusions and relevanceThis study found inconclusive evidence of an association between less intensive diagnostic evaluations and more advanced stage at lung cancer diagnosis compared with guideline-concordant care; higher intensities of diagnostic evaluations were associated with greater procedural complications, radiation exposure, and expenditures. These findings underscore the need for more evidence on better ways to evaluate lung nodules and to avoid unnecessarily intensive diagnostic evaluations of lung nodules.

Dataset Information

Validation of prediction models for risk stratification of incidentally detected pulmonary subsolid nodules: a retrospective cohort study in a Korean tertiary medical centre.

Objectives

Design

Setting

Participants

Primary and secondary outcome measures

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Validation of prediction models for risk stratification of incidentally detected pulmonary subsolid nodules: a retrospective cohort study in a Korean tertiary medical centre.

Similar Datasets

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