Dataset Information

Accurate risk estimation of β-amyloid positivity to identify prodromal Alzheimer's disease: Cross-validation study of practical algorithms.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

The aim was to create readily available algorithms that estimate the individual risk of β-amyloid (Aβ) positivity.

Methods

The algorithms were tested in BioFINDER (n = 391, subjective cognitive decline or mild cognitive impairment) and validated in Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (n = 661, subjective cognitive decline or mild cognitive impairment). The examined predictors of Aβ status were demographics; cognitive tests; white matter lesions; apolipoprotein E (APOE); and plasma Aβ₄₂/Aβ₄₀, tau, and neurofilament light.

Results

Aβ status was accurately estimated in BioFINDER using age, 10-word delayed recall or Mini-Mental State Examination, and APOE (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.81 [0.77-0.85] to 0.83 [0.79-0.87]). When validated, the models performed almost identical in Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.80-0.82) and within different age, subjective cognitive decline, and mild cognitive impairment populations. Plasma Aβ₄₂/Aβ₄₀ improved the models slightly.

Discussion

The algorithms are implemented on http://amyloidrisk.com where the individual probability of being Aβ positive can be calculated. This is useful in the workup of prodromal Alzheimer's disease and can reduce the number needed to screen in Alzheimer's disease trials.

SUBMITTER: Palmqvist S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6374284 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Accurate risk estimation of β-amyloid positivity to identify prodromal Alzheimer's disease: Cross-validation study of practical algorithms.

Palmqvist Sebastian S Insel Philip S PS Zetterberg Henrik H Blennow Kaj K Brix Britta B Stomrud Erik E Mattsson Niklas N Hansson Oskar O

Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association 20181023 2

<h4>Introduction</h4>The aim was to create readily available algorithms that estimate the individual risk of β-amyloid (Aβ) positivity.<h4>Methods</h4>The algorithms were tested in BioFINDER (n = 391, subjective cognitive decline or mild cognitive impairment) and validated in Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (n = 661, subjective cognitive decline or mild cognitive impairment). The examined predictors of Aβ status were demographics; cognitive tests; white matter lesions; apolipoprotein ...[more]

PMID: 30365928

Similar Datasets

Project description:BackgroundThe accumulation of amyloid-β (Aβ) peptide in the brain is a hallmark of Alzheimer's disease (AD), occurring years before symptom onset. Current methods for quantifying in vivo amyloid load involve invasive or costly procedures, limiting accessibility. Early detection of amyloid positivity in non-demented individuals is crucial for aiding early AD diagnosis and for initiating anti-amyloid immunotherapies at early stages. This study aimed to develop and validate predictive models to identify brain amyloid positivity in non-demented patients, using routinely collected clinical data.MethodsPredictive models for amyloid positivity were developed using data from 853 non-demented participants in the MEMENTO cohort. Amyloid levels were measured potentially repeatedly during study course through Positron Emision Tomography or CerebroSpinal Fluid analysis. The probability of amyloid positivity was modelled using mixed-effects logistic regression. Predictors included demographic information, cognitive assessments, visual brain MRI evaluations of hippocampal atrophy and lobar microbleeds, AD-related blood biomarkers (Aβ42/40 and P-tau181), and ApoE4 status. Models were subjected to internal cross-validation and external validation using data from the Amsterdam Dementia Cohort. Performance also was evaluated in a subsample that met the main criteria of the Appropriate Use Recommendations (AUR) for lecanemab.ResultsThe most effective model incorporated demographic data, cognitive assessments, ApoE status, and AD-related blood biomarkers, achieving AUCs of 0.82 [95%CI 0.81-0.82] in MEMENTO sample and 0.90 [95%CI 0.86-0.94] in the external validation sample. This model significantly outperformed a reference model based solely on demographic and cognitive data, with an AUC difference in MEMENTO of 0.10 [95%CI 0.10-0.11]. A similar model without ApoE genotype achieved comparable discriminatory performance. MRI markers did not improve model performance. Performances in AUR of lecanemab subsample were comparable.ConclusionA predictive model integrating demographic, cognitive, and blood biomarker data offers a promising method to help identify amyloid status in non-demented patients. ApoE genotype and brain MRI data were not necessary for strong discriminatory ability, suggesting that ApoE genotyping may be deferred when assessing the risk-benefit ratio of immunotherapies in amyloid-positive patients who desire treatment. The integration of this model into clinical practice could reduce the need for lumbar puncture or PET examinations to confirm amyloid status.

Project description:BackgroundInconsistent positivity thresholds, image analysis pipelines, and quantitative outcomes are key challenges of multisite studies using more than one β-amyloid (Aβ) radiotracer in positron emission tomography (PET). Variability related to these factors contributes to disagreement and lack of replicability in research and clinical trials. To address these problems and promote Aβ PET harmonization, we used [18F]florbetaben (FBB) and [18F]florbetapir (FBP) data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) to derive (1) standardized Centiloid (CL) transformations and (2) internally consistent positivity thresholds based on separate young control samples.MethodsWe analyzed Aβ PET data using a native-space, automated image processing pipeline that is used for PET quantification in many large, multisite AD studies and trials and made available to the research community. With this pipeline, we derived SUVR-to-CL transformations using the Global Alzheimer's Association Interactive Network data; we used reference regions for cross-sectional (whole cerebellum) and longitudinal (subcortical white matter, brain stem, whole cerebellum) analyses. Finally, we developed a FBB positivity threshold using an independent young control sample (N=62) with methods parallel to our existing FBP positivity threshold and validated the FBB threshold using a data-driven approach in ADNI participants (N=295).ResultsThe FBB threshold based on the young sample (1.08; 18 CL) was consistent with that of the data-driven approach (1.10; 21 CL), and the existing FBP threshold converted to CL with the derived transformation (1.11; 20 CL). The following equations can be used to convert whole cerebellum- (cross-sectional) and composite- (longitudinal) normalized FBB and FBP data quantified with the native-space pipeline to CL units: [18F]FBB: CLwhole cerebellum = 157.15 × SUVRFBB - 151.87; threshold=1.08, 18 CL [18F]FBP: CLwhole cerebellum = 188.22 × SUVRFBP - 189.16; threshold=1.11, 20 CL [18F]FBB: CLcomposite = 244.20 × SUVRFBB - 170.80 [18F]FBP: CLcomposite = 300.66 × SUVRFBP - 208.84 CONCLUSIONS: FBB and FBP positivity thresholds derived from independent young control samples and quantified using an automated, native-space approach result in similar CL values. These findings are applicable to thousands of available and anticipated outcomes analyzed using this pipeline and shared with the scientific community. This work demonstrates the feasibility of harmonized PET acquisition and analysis in multisite PET studies and internal consistency of positivity thresholds in standardized units.

Project description:BackgroundStage 1 of the National Institute on Aging-Alzheimer's Association's proposed Alzheimer's disease continuum is defined as amyloid-β (Aβ) positive but cognitively normal. Identifying at-risk individuals before Aβ reaches pathological levels could have great benefits for early intervention. Although Aβ levels become abnormal long before severe cognitive impairments appear, increasing evidence suggests that subtle cognitive changes may begin early, potentially before Aβ surpasses the threshold for abnormality. We examined whether baseline cognitive performance would predict progression from normal to abnormal levels of Aβ.MethodsWe examined the association of baseline cognitive composites (Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite, Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) memory factor composite) with progression to Aβ positivity in 292 nondemented, Aβ-negative ADNI participants. Additional analyses included continuous cerebrospinal fluid biomarker levels to examine the effects of subthreshold pathology.ResultsForty participants progressed to Aβ positivity during follow-up. Poorer baseline performance on both cognitive measures was significantly associated with increased odds of progression. More abnormal levels of baseline cerebrospinal fluid phosphorylated tau and subthreshold Aβ were associated with increased odds of progression to Aβ positivity. Nevertheless, baseline ADNI memory factor composite performance predicted progression even after controlling for baseline biomarker levels and APOE genotype (Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite was trend level). Survival analyses were largely consistent: controlling for baseline biomarker levels, baseline Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite still significantly predicted progression time to Aβ positivity (ADNI memory factor composite was trend level).ConclusionsThe possibility of intervening before Aβ reaches pathological levels is of obvious benefit. Low-cost, noninvasive cognitive measures can be informative for determining who is likely to progress to Aβ positivity, even after accounting for baseline subthreshold biomarker levels.

Dataset Information

Accurate risk estimation of β-amyloid positivity to identify prodromal Alzheimer's disease: Cross-validation study of practical algorithms.

Introduction

Methods

Results

Discussion

Publications

Accurate risk estimation of β-amyloid positivity to identify prodromal Alzheimer's disease: Cross-validation study of practical algorithms.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets