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Significance of long-term surveillance for branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms from the perspective of molecular pathological epidemiology.

ABSTRACT:

SUBMITTER: Kosumi K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7475418 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Significance of long-term surveillance for branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms from the perspective of molecular pathological epidemiology.

Kosumi Keisuke K Hayashi Hiromitsu H Baba Hideo H

Annals of translational medicine 20200801 15

PMID: 32953777

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Project description:ImportanceBranch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) are common pancreatic preneoplastic lesions, but their surveillance is not personalized.ObjectiveTo investigate patient- and cyst-related factors associated with progression into worrisome features (WFs) or high-risk stigmata (HRS) categories of BD-IPMNs.Design, setting, and participantsCyst- and patient-related factors of consecutive BD-IPMNs without WFs or HRS in 540 patients diagnosed from 2009 to 2018 with at least 12 months' surveillance until February 28, 2020, were registered in a 2-center ambispective cohort study in Italy. In a subgroup, the ABO blood group was studied for the first time in this setting.ExposureCyst-related and patients-related factors and ABO blood group.Main outcomes and measuresThe study outcome was the appearance of WFs or HRS according to the 2017 International Association of Pancreatology guidelines. Survival probability was calculated using Kaplan-Meier curve and risk factors identified by Cox proportional hazards regression. ABO blood group was inferred through genotypes with DNA extraction.ResultsOf 540 patients with BD-IPMNs (median age, 66 years [interquartile range, 58.5-72.0 years]; 337 women [62.4%]) undergoing surveillance for a median of 51.5 months (interquartile range, 28-84 months) for 2758 person-years, 130 patients (24.1%) experienced progression. Probability of progression was 3.7% at 1 year, 23.4% at 5 years, and 43.3% at 10 years; 15 patients (2.8%) underwent surgery, 7 patients (1.3%) had malignant histologic findings, and 3 patients (0.56%) died of pancreatic-associated disease. Initial cyst size greater than 15 mm (hazard ratio [HR], 2.05; 95% CI, 1.44-2.91), body mass index greater than 26.4 (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.19-2.50), and heavy smoking (HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.14-2.86) were significant independent factors associated with progression risk. The AA blood genotype was also associated with progression risk (HR, 3.49; 95% CI, 1.04-11.71) compared with the OO genotype in the investigated subgroup.Conclusions and relevanceThis analysis of factors associated with progression of BD-IPMNs according to recent guidelines suggests that cyst size alone is not a reliable factor for estimation of progression risk; however, along with other readily available data, size is helpful for planning personalized surveillance of BD-IPMNs.

Dataset Information

Significance of long-term surveillance for branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms from the perspective of molecular pathological epidemiology.

Publications

Significance of long-term surveillance for branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms from the perspective of molecular pathological epidemiology.

Similar Datasets

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