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JUE insight: Migration, transportation infrastructure, and the spatial transmission of COVID-19 in China.

ABSTRACT: This paper evaluates the impacts of migration flows and transportation infrastructure on the spatial transmission of COVID-19 in China. Prefectures with larger bilateral migration flows and shorter travel distances with Hubei, the epicenter of the outbreak, experienced a wider spread of COVID-19. In addition, richer prefectures with higher incomes were better able to contain the virus at the early stages of community transmission. Using a spatial general equilibrium model, we show that around 28% of the infections outside Hubei province can be explained by the rapid development in transportation infrastructure and the liberalization of migration restrictions in the recent decade.

SUBMITTER: Li B

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8049189 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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JUE insight: Migration, transportation infrastructure, and the spatial transmission of COVID-19 in China.

Li Bingjing B Ma Lin L

Journal of urban economics 20210415

This paper evaluates the impacts of migration flows and transportation infrastructure on the spatial transmission of COVID-19 in China. Prefectures with larger bilateral migration flows and shorter travel distances with Hubei, the epicenter of the outbreak, experienced a wider spread of COVID-19. In addition, richer prefectures with higher incomes were better able to contain the virus at the early stages of community transmission. Using a spatial general equilibrium model, we show that around 28 ...[more]

PMID: 33879932

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