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Prediction of viral symptoms using wearable technology and artificial intelligence: A pilot study in healthcare workers.


ABSTRACT: Conventional testing and diagnostic methods for infections like SARS-CoV-2 have limitations for population health management and public policy. We hypothesize that daily changes in autonomic activity, measured through off-the-shelf technologies together with app-based cognitive assessments, may be used to forecast the onset of symptoms consistent with a viral illness. We describe our strategy using an AI model that can predict, with 82% accuracy (negative predictive value 97%, specificity 83%, sensitivity 79%, precision 34%), the likelihood of developing symptoms consistent with a viral infection three days before symptom onset. The model correctly predicts, almost all of the time (97%), individuals who will not develop viral-like illness symptoms in the next three days. Conversely, the model correctly predicts as positive 34% of the time, individuals who will develop viral-like illness symptoms in the next three days. This model uses a conservative framework, warning potentially pre-symptomatic individuals to socially isolate while minimizing warnings to individuals with a low likelihood of developing viral-like symptoms in the next three days. To our knowledge, this is the first study using wearables and apps with machine learning to predict the occurrence of viral illness-like symptoms. The demonstrated approach to forecasting the onset of viral illness-like symptoms offers a novel, digital decision-making tool for public health safety by potentially limiting viral transmission.

SUBMITTER: D'Haese PF 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8516235 | biostudies-literature | 2021

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of viral symptoms using wearable technology and artificial intelligence: A pilot study in healthcare workers.

D'Haese Pierre-François PF   Finomore Victor V   Lesnik Dmitry D   Kornhauser Laura L   Schaefer Tobias T   Konrad Peter E PE   Hodder Sally S   Marsh Clay C   Rezai Ali R AR  

PloS one 20211014 10


Conventional testing and diagnostic methods for infections like SARS-CoV-2 have limitations for population health management and public policy. We hypothesize that daily changes in autonomic activity, measured through off-the-shelf technologies together with app-based cognitive assessments, may be used to forecast the onset of symptoms consistent with a viral illness. We describe our strategy using an AI model that can predict, with 82% accuracy (negative predictive value 97%, specificity 83%, s  ...[more]

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