Declining HIV incidence in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis of empiric data.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

UNAIDS models suggest HIV incidence is declining in sub-Saharan Africa. The objective of this study was to assess whether modelled trends are supported by empirical evidence.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of adult HIV incidence data from sub-Saharan Africa by searching Embase, Scopus, PubMed and OVID databases and technical reports published between 1 January 2010 and 23 July 2019. We included prospective and cross-sectional studies that directly measured incidence from blood samples. Incidence data were abstracted according to population risk group, geographic location, sex, intervention arm and calendar period. Weighted regression models were used to assess incidence trends across general population studies by sex. We also identifi

SUBMITTER: Joshi K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8528667 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature