Selection of 51 predictors from 13,782 candidate multimodal features using machine learning improves coronary artery disease prediction.

ABSTRACT: Current cardiovascular risk assessment tools use a small number of predictors. Here, we study how machine learning might: (1) enable principled selection from a large multimodal set of candidate variables and (2) improve prediction of incident coronary artery disease (CAD) events. An elastic net-based Cox model (ML4H_EN-COX) trained and evaluated in 173,274 UK Biobank participants selected 51 predictors from 13,782 candidates. Beyond most traditional risk factors, ML4H_EN-COX selected a polygenic score, waist circumference, socioeconomic deprivation, and several hematologic indices. A more than 30-fold gradient in 10-year risk estimates was noted across ML4H_EN-COX quintiles, ranging from 0.25% to 7.8%. ML4H_EN-COX improved discrimination of incident

SUBMITTER: Agrawal S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8672148 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature