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ABSTRACT: Background
Using classical and genomic epidemiology, we tracked the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya over 23 months to determine the impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants on its progression.Methods
SARS-CoV-2 surveillance and testing data were obtained from the Kenya Ministry of Health, collected daily from 306 health facilities. COVID-19-associated fatality data were also obtained from these health facilities and communities. Whole SARS-CoV-2 genome sequencing were carried out on 1241 specimens.Results
Over the pandemic duration (March 2020 - January 2022) Kenya experienced five waves characterized by attack rates (AR) of between 65.4 and 137.6 per 100,000 persons, and intra-wave case fatality ratios (CFR) averaging 3.5%, two-fold higher than the national average COVID-19 associated CFR. The first two waves that occurred before emergence of global variants of concerns (VoC) had lower AR (65.4 and 118.2 per 100,000). Waves 3, 4, and 5 that occurred during the second year were each dominated by multiple introductions each, of Alpha (74.9% genomes), Delta (98.7%), and Omicron (87.8%) VoCs, respectively. During this phase, government-imposed restrictions failed to alleviate pandemic progression, resulting in higher attack rates spread across the country.Conclusions
The emergence of Alpha, Delta, and Omicron variants was a turning point that resulted in widespread and higher SARS-CoV-2 infections across the country.
SUBMITTER: Nasimiyu C
PROVIDER: S-EPMC8902869 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Feb
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Nasimiyu Carolyne C Matoke-Muhia Damaris D Rono Gilbert K GK Osoro Eric E Obado Daniel O DO Mwangi J Milkah JM Mwikwabe Nicholas N Thiong'o Kelvin K Dawa Jeanette J Ngere Isaac I Gachohi John J Kariuki Samuel S Amukoye Evans E Mureithi Marianne M Ngere Philip P Amoth Patrick P Were Ian I Makayotto Lyndah L Nene Vishvanath V Abworo Edward O EO Njenga M Kariuki MK Seifert Stephanie N SN Oyola Samuel O SO
medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences 20220228
<h4>Background</h4>Using classical and genomic epidemiology, we tracked the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya over 23 months to determine the impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants on its progression.<h4>Methods</h4>SARS-CoV-2 surveillance and testing data were obtained from the Kenya Ministry of Health, collected daily from 306 health facilities. COVID-19-associated fatality data were also obtained from these health facilities and communities. Whole SARS-CoV-2 genome sequencing were carried out on 1241 specime ...[more]