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Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests.


ABSTRACT: The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from -20% to more than -50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21st century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation.

SUBMITTER: Martinez Del Castillo E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8913685 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests.

Martinez Del Castillo Edurne E   Zang Christian S CS   Buras Allan A   Hacket-Pain Andrew A   Esper Jan J   Serrano-Notivoli Roberto R   Hartl Claudia C   Weigel Robert R   Klesse Stefan S   Resco de Dios Victor V   Scharnweber Tobias T   Dorado-Liñán Isabel I   van der Maaten-Theunissen Marieke M   van der Maaten Ernst E   Jump Alistair A   Mikac Sjepan S   Banzragch Bat-Enerel BE   Beck Wolfgang W   Cavin Liam L   Claessens Hugues H   Čada Vojtěch V   Čufar Katarina K   Dulamsuren Choimaa C   Gričar Jozica J   Gil-Pelegrín Eustaquio E   Janda Pavel P   Kazimirovic Marko M   Kreyling Juergen J   Latte Nicolas N   Leuschner Christoph C   Longares Luis Alberto LA   Menzel Annette A   Merela Maks M   Motta Renzo R   Muffler Lena L   Nola Paola P   Petritan Any Mary AM   Petritan Ion Catalin IC   Prislan Peter P   Rubio-Cuadrado Álvaro Á   Rydval Miloš M   Stajić Branko B   Svoboda Miroslav M   Toromani Elvin E   Trotsiuk Volodymyr V   Wilmking Martin M   Zlatanov Tzvetan T   de Luis Martin M  

Communications biology 20220310 1


The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. T  ...[more]

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