SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in Belarus in 2020 revealed by genomic and incidence data analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) have been implemented worldwide to curb COVID-19 spread. Belarus is a rare case of a country with a relatively modern healthcare system, where highly limited NPIs have been enacted. Thus, investigation of Belarusian COVID-19 dynamics is essential for the local and global assessment of the impact of NPI strategies.

Methods

We integrate genomic epidemiology and surveillance methods to investigate the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Belarus in 2020. We utilize phylodynamics, phylogeography, and probabilistic bias inference to study the virus import and export routes, the dynamics of the effective reproduction number, and the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Results

Here we show that the estimated cumulative number of infection

SUBMITTER: Nemira A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9053244 | biostudies-literature | 2021

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature