Dataset Information

Kidney transplantation waiting times and risk of cardiovascular events and mortality: a retrospective observational cohort study in Taiwan.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are at a high risk of cardiovascular events (CVEs), and kidney transplantation (KT) has been reported to improve risk of CVEs and survival. As the association of KT timing on long-term survival and clinical outcomes remains unclear, we investigated the association of different KT waiting times with clinical outcomes.

Design

Retrospective observational cohort study.

Setting

We conducted an observational cohort study using data from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan. Adult patients who initiated KT therapy from 1997 to 2013 were included.

Participants

A total of 3562 adult patients who initiated uncomplicated KT therapy were included and categorised into four groups according to KT waiting times after ESRD: group 1 (<1 year), group 2 (1-3 years), group 3 (3-6 years) and group 4 (>6 years).

Primary outcome measures

The main outcomes were composite of all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or non-fatal stroke, based on the primary diagnosis in medical records during hospitalisation.

Results

Compared with group 1, the adjusted risk of primary outcome events (all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or non-fatal stroke) increased by 1.67 times in group 2 (95% CI: 1.40 to 2.00; p<0.001), 2.17 times in group 3 (95% CI: 1.73 to 2.71; p<0.001) and 3.10 times in group 4 (95% CI: 2.21 to 4.35; p<0.001). The rates of primary outcome events were 6.7%, 13.4% and 14.0% within 5 years, increasing to 19.5%, 26.3% and 30.8% within 10 years in groups 1, 2 and 3, respectively.

Conclusions

Our results demonstrate that early KT is associated with superior long-term cardiovascular outcomes compared with late KT in selected patients with ESRD receiving uncomplicated KT, suggesting that an early KT could be a better treatment option for patients with ESRD who are eligible for transplantation.

SUBMITTER: Chen HH

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9131177 | biostudies-literature | 2022 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Kidney transplantation waiting times and risk of cardiovascular events and mortality: a retrospective observational cohort study in Taiwan.

Chen Hsin-Hung HH Chern Yahn-Bor YB Hsu Chih-Yang CY Tang Pei-Ling PL Lai Chi-Cheng CC

BMJ open 20220524 5

<h4>Objectives</h4>Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are at a high risk of cardiovascular events (CVEs), and kidney transplantation (KT) has been reported to improve risk of CVEs and survival. As the association of KT timing on long-term survival and clinical outcomes remains unclear, we investigated the association of different KT waiting times with clinical outcomes.<h4>Design</h4>Retrospective observational cohort study.<h4>Setting</h4>We conducted an observational cohort study usi ...[more]

PMID: 35613763

Similar Datasets

Project description:ImportanceMedian organ waiting times published by transplant organizations may be biased when not appropriately accounting for censoring, death, and competing events. This can lead to overly optimistic waiting times for all transplant programs and, consequently, may deceive patients on the waiting list, transplant physicians, and health care policymakers.ObjectiveTo apply competing-risk multistate models to calculate probabilities for transplantation and adverse outcomes on the Swiss national transplant waiting list.Design, setting, and participantsThe WAIT (Waitlist Analysis in Transplantation) study was a retrospective cohort study of all transplant candidates in Switzerland listed from January 1, 2018, or later and observed until December 31, 2023. Transplant candidates were listed in 1 of the 6 transplant centers (Basel, Bern, Geneva, Lausanne, St Gallen, and Zurich) for heart, liver, lungs, kidney, or pancreas and/or islet transplant. A total of 4352 candidates were listed during the study period, of whom 709 (16.3%) were excluded due to living-donor transplant (691 in the kidney program and 18 in the liver program).ExposureWaiting for organ transplant.Main outcomes and measuresTime to transplantation, death, or delisting. Competing-risk multistate models were used to analyze time-to-event data from the national organ waiting list with the Aalen-Johansen estimator to compute probabilities for both transplant and adverse outcomes. Results were compared with the sample median among only those undergoing transplant and the Kaplan-Meier method with censoring of competing events.ResultsData from 3643 transplant candidates (2428 [66.6%] male; median age, 56 [range, 0-79] years) were included in the analysis. The median time to transplantation (MTT) was 0.91 (95% CI, 0.83-1.07) years for heart, 3.10 (95% CI, 2.57-3.77) years for kidney, 1.32 (95% CI, 0.76-1.55) years for liver, 0.80 (95% CI, 0.37-1.12) years for lung, and 1.62 (95% CI, 0.91-2.17) years for pancreas and/or islet programs. Alternative estimation methods introduced bias to varying degrees: the sample median among only persons undergoing transplantation underestimated the waiting time by 38% to 61% and the Kaplan-Meier method by 2% to 12% compared with the MTT.Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study of transplant candidates in Switzerland, the MTT, the duration at which the transplant probability is 0.50, was used as a measure of average waiting time. Suboptimal methods led to biased and overly optimistic waiting time estimations; thus, applying appropriate competing-risk methods to address censoring and competing events is crucial.

Project description:BackgroundCardiovascular disease (CVD) is the major cause of death after renal transplantation. Not only conventional CVD risk factors, but also transplant-specific risk factors can influence the development of CVD in kidney transplant recipients. The main objective of this study will be to determine the incidence of post-transplant CVD after renal transplantation and related factors. A secondary objective will be to examine the ability of standard cardiovascular risk scores (Framingham, REGICOR, SCORE, and DORICA) to predict post-transplantation cardiovascular events in renal transplant recipients, and to develop a new score for predicting the risk of CVD after kidney transplantation.Methods/designObservational prospective cohort study of all kidney transplant recipients in the A Coruna Hospital (Spain) in the period 1981-2008 (2059 transplants corresponding to 1794 patients). The variables included will be: donor and recipient characteristics, chronic kidney disease-related risk factors, pre-transplant and post-transplant cardiovascular risk factors, routine biochemistry, and immunosuppressive, antihypertensive and lipid-lowering treatment. The events studied in the follow-up will be: patient and graft survival, acute rejection episodes and cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, invasive coronary artery therapy, cerebral vascular events, new-onset angina, congestive heart failure, rhythm disturbances and peripheral vascular disease). Four cardiovascular risk scores were calculated at the time of transplantation: the Framingham score, the European Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) equation, and the REGICOR (Registre Gironi del COR (Gerona Heart Registry)), and DORICA (Dyslipidemia, Obesity, and Cardiovascular Risk) functions. The cumulative incidence of cardiovascular events will be analyzed by competing risk survival methods. The clinical relevance of different variables will be calculated using the ARR (Absolute Risk Reduction), RRR (Relative Risk Reduction) and NNT (Number Needed to Treat). The ability of different cardiovascular risk scores to predict cardiovascular events will be analyzed by using the c index and the area under ROC curves. Based on the competing risks analysis, a nomogram to predict the probability of cardiovascular events after kidney transplantation will be developed.DiscussionThis study will make it possible to determine the post-transplant incidence of cardiovascular events in a large cohort of renal transplant recipients in Spain, to confirm the relationship between traditional and transplant-specific cardiovascular risk factors and CVD, and to develop a score to predict the risk of CVD in these patients.

Project description:BackgroundCardiovascular diseases are an important cause of mortality in patients who have undergone kidney transplantation, but the knowledge on trends of cardiovascular mortality and specific causes of cardiovascular death among these patients is scarce.MethodsOur aim was to compare the cardiovascular mortality rates after kidney transplantation in Finland between 1990-1999, 2000-2009, and 2010-2019 using data from the Finnish Registry for Kidney Diseases. We analyzed 1-year and long-term cardiovascular mortality rates as well as the specific causes of cardiovascular death and the trends in them.ResultsIn total, 4946 patients underwent first kidney transplantation in 1990-2019. During the follow-up time (median 8.3 years, interquartile range 4.0-14.5), there were 1392 deaths, of which 582 were cardiovascular deaths. In an unadjusted Cox regression model, the risk of long-term cardiovascular mortality was similar in the different periods. However, when adjusted for age, sex, duration of dialysis, and cause of kidney disease, the long-term cardiovascular mortality risk was significantly lower in 2000-2009 and 2010-2019 (hazard ratio 0.60 [95% confidence interval, 0.49 to 0.73] and hazard ratio 0.51 [95% confidence interval, 0.39 to 0.66], respectively) compared with 1990-1999. The results were similar regarding 1-year cardiovascular mortality. The distribution of different causes of cardiovascular death remained unchanged during the study period, with coronary artery disease accounting for 47% of deaths. During the first year after transplantation, pulmonary embolisms and arrhythmias were more common than in the long term.ConclusionsCardiovascular disease remained the most common cause of death in kidney transplant recipients, but adjusted cardiovascular mortality risk has decreased significantly during the past three decades. Coronary artery disease was the most frequent cause of cardiovascular death, and the proportion of coronary artery disease-related cardiovascular deaths increased after the first year after transplantation.

Dataset Information

Kidney transplantation waiting times and risk of cardiovascular events and mortality: a retrospective observational cohort study in Taiwan.

Objectives

Design

Setting

Participants

Primary outcome measures

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Kidney transplantation waiting times and risk of cardiovascular events and mortality: a retrospective observational cohort study in Taiwan.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets