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A case-case analysis of women with breast cancer: predictors of interval vs screen-detected cancer.


ABSTRACT:

Purpose

The Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium (BCSC) model is a widely used risk model that predicts 5- and 10-year risk of developing invasive breast cancer for healthy women aged 35-74 years. Women with high BCSC risk may also be at elevated risk to develop interval cancers, which present symptomatically in the year following a normal screening mammogram. We examined the association between high BCSC risk (defined as the top 2.5% by age) and breast cancers presenting as interval cancers.

Methods

We conducted a case-case analysis among women with breast cancer in which we compared the mode of detection and tumor characteristics of patients in the top 2.5% BCSC risk by age with age-matched (1:2) patients in the lower 97.5% risk. We constructed logistic regression models to estimate the odds ratio (OR) of presenting with interval cancers, and poor prognosis tumor features, between women from the top 2.5% and bottom 97.5% of BCSC risk.

Results

Our analysis included 113 breast cancer patients in the top 2.5% of risk for their age and 226 breast cancer patients in the lower 97.5% of risk. High-risk patients were more likely to have presented with an interval cancer within one year of a normal screening, OR 6.62 (95% CI 3.28-13.4, p < 0.001). These interval cancers were also more likely to be larger, node positive, and higher stage than the screen-detected cancers.

Conclusion

Breast cancer patients in the top 2.5% of BCSC risk for their age were more likely to present with interval cancers. The BCSC model could be used to identify healthy women who may benefit from intensified screening.

SUBMITTER: Dreher N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9189918 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

A case-case analysis of women with breast cancer: predictors of interval vs screen-detected cancer.

Dreher Nickolas N   Matthys Madeline M   Hadeler Edward E   Shieh Yiwey Y   Acerbi Irene I   McAuley Fiona M FM   Melisko Michelle M   Eklund Martin M   Tice Jeffrey A JA   Esserman Laura J LJ   Veer Laura J Van't LJV  

Breast cancer research and treatment 20211129 3


<h4>Purpose</h4>The Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium (BCSC) model is a widely used risk model that predicts 5- and 10-year risk of developing invasive breast cancer for healthy women aged 35-74 years. Women with high BCSC risk may also be at elevated risk to develop interval cancers, which present symptomatically in the year following a normal screening mammogram. We examined the association between high BCSC risk (defined as the top 2.5% by age) and breast cancers presenting as interval ca  ...[more]

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