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Moderate COVID-19: Clinical Trajectories and Predictors of Progression and Outcomes.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Patients with COVID-19 commonly present at healthcare facilities with moderate disease, i.e., pneumonia without a need for oxygen therapy.

Aim

To identify clinical/laboratory characteristics of patients with moderate COVID-19, which could predict disease progression.

Methods

384 adult patients presented with moderate COVID-19 and admitted to two hospitals were retrospectively evaluated. In a multivariate analysis gender, age, BMI, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and National Early Weaning Score 2 were treated as co-variates. The development of hypoxemic respiratory failure, intubation rate and risk of death were considered as dependent variables. Estimated values are presented as odds-ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI).

Results

Most of the patients were male (63.28%) with a mean (standard deviation) age of 59 (16.04) years. Median (interquartile range) CCI was 2 (1-4). A total of 58.85% of the patients developed respiratory failure; 6.51% were intubated, and 8.85% died. The extent of pneumonia in chest X-ray (involvement of all four quartiles) [OR 3.96 (1.18-13.27), p = 0.026], respiratory rate [OR 1.17 (1.05-1.3), p = 0.004], SatO2 [OR 0.72 (0.58-0.88), p = 0.002], systolic blood pressure [OR 1.02 (1-1.04), p = 0.041] and lymphocyte count [OR 0.9993 (0.9986-0.9999), p = 0.026] at presentation were associated with the development of respiratory failure. The extent of pneumonia [OR 26.49 (1.81-387.18), p = 0.017] was associated with intubation risk. Age [OR 1.14 (1.03-1.26), p = 0.014] and the extent of pneumonia [OR 22.47 (1.59-316.97), p = 0.021] were associated with increased risk of death.

Conclusion

Older age, the extent of pneumonia, tachypnea, lower SatO2, higher systolic blood pressure and lymphopenia are associated with dismal outcomes in patients presenting with moderate COVID-19.

SUBMITTER: Pappas AG 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9505620 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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<h4>Background</h4>Patients with COVID-19 commonly present at healthcare facilities with moderate disease, i.e., pneumonia without a need for oxygen therapy.<h4>Aim</h4>To identify clinical/laboratory characteristics of patients with moderate COVID-19, which could predict disease progression.<h4>Methods</h4>384 adult patients presented with moderate COVID-19 and admitted to two hospitals were retrospectively evaluated. In a multivariate analysis gender, age, BMI, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI)  ...[more]

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