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Is Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) going to become homodynamic in Southern Europe in the next decades due to climate change?


ABSTRACT: The Asian tiger mosquito, Aedes albopictus, competent vector of several arboviruses, poses significant impact on human health worldwide. Although global warming is a driver of A . albopictus range expansion, few studies focused on its effects on homodynamicity (i.e. the ability to breed all-year-round), a key factor of vectorial capacity and a primary condition for an Aedes-borne disease to become endemic in temperate areas. Data from a 4-year monitoring network set in Central Italy and records from weather stations were used to assess winter adult activity and weekly minimum temperatures. Winter oviposition occurred in 38 localities with a seasonal mean photoperiod of 9.7 : 14.3 (L : D) h. Positive collections (87) occurred with an average minimum temperature of the two and three weeks before sampling of approximately 4°C. According to these evidences and considering the climate projections of three global climate models and three shared socio-economic pathways for the next three 20-year periods (from 2021 to 2080), the minimum temperature of January will increase enough to allow an all-year-round oviposition of A . albopictus in several areas of the Mediterranean Basin. Due to vector homodynamicity, Aedes-borne diseases could become endemic in Southern Europe by the end of the twenty-first century, worsening the burden on human health.

SUBMITTER: Del Lesto I 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9748500 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Is Asian tiger mosquito (<i>Aedes albopictus</i>) going to become homodynamic in Southern Europe in the next decades due to climate change?

Del Lesto Irene I   De Liberato Claudio C   Casini Riccardo R   Magliano Adele A   Ermenegildi Arianna A   Romiti Federico F  

Royal Society open science 20221214 12


The Asian tiger mosquito, <i>Aedes albopictus</i>, competent vector of several arboviruses, poses significant impact on human health worldwide. Although global warming is a driver of <i>A</i> <i>. albopictus</i> range expansion, few studies focused on its effects on homodynamicity (i.e. the ability to breed all-year-round), a key factor of vectorial capacity and a primary condition for an <i>Aedes</i>-borne disease to become endemic in temperate areas. Data from a 4-year monitoring network set i  ...[more]

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