Dataset Information

Personalized assessment of the cumulative complication risk of the atrial fibrillation ablation track: The AF-TRACK calculator.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation strategy is associated with a non-negligible risk of complications and often requires repeat procedures (AF ablation track), implying repetitive exposure to procedural risk.

Objective

The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a model to estimate individualized cumulative risk of complications in patients undergoing the AF ablation track (Atrial Fibrillation TRAck Complication risK [AF-TRACK] calculator).

Methods

The model was derived from a multicenter cohort including 3762 AF ablation procedures in 2943 patients. A first regression model was fitted to predict the propensity for repeat ablation. The AF-TRACK calculator computed the risk of AF ablation track complications, considering the propensity for repeat ablation. Internal (cross-validation) and external (independent cohort) validation were assessed for discrimination capacity (area under the curve [AUC]) and goodness of fit (Hosmer-Lemeshow [HL] test).

Results

Complications (N = 111) occurred in 3.7% of patients (2.9% of procedures). Predictors included female sex, heart failure, sleep apnea syndrome, and repeat procedures. The model showed fair discrimination capacity to predict complications (AUC 0.61 [0.55-0.67]) and likelihood of repeat procedure (AUC 0.62 [0.60-0.64]), with good calibration (HL χ² 12.5; P = .13). The model maintained adequate discrimination capacity (AUC 0.67 [0.57-0.77]) and calibration (HL χ² 5.6; P = .23) in the external validation cohort. The validated model was used to create the Web-based AF-TRACK calculator.

Conclusion

The proposed risk model provides individualized estimates of the cumulative risk of complications of undergoing the AF ablation track. The AF-TRACK calculator is a validated, easy-to-use, Web-based clinical tool to calibrate the risk-to-benefit ratio of this treatment strategy.

SUBMITTER: Bisbal F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9795263 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Personalized assessment of the cumulative complication risk of the atrial fibrillation ablation track: The AF-TRACK calculator.

Bisbal Felipe F Abugattas Juan-Pablo JP Trotta Omar O Gonzalez-Ferrer Juan José JJ Sauri-Ortiz Assumpció A Arias Miguel Angel MA Subirana Isaac I Duytshaever Mattias M De Pooter Jan J Sarrias Axel A Adeliño Raquel R Alarcón Francisco F Mont Lluís L Pérez-Villacastín Julián J Osca-Asensi Joaquin J Villuendas Roger R Pachón-Iglesias Marta M El Haddad Milad M Bayés-Genís Antoni A de Greef Yves Y

Heart rhythm O2 20220809 6Part A

<h4>Background</h4>Atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation strategy is associated with a non-negligible risk of complications and often requires repeat procedures (AF ablation track), implying repetitive exposure to procedural risk.<h4>Objective</h4>The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a model to estimate individualized cumulative risk of complications in patients undergoing the AF ablation track (Atrial Fibrillation TRAck Complication risK [AF-TRACK] calculator).<h4>Methods</h4>The m ...[more]

PMID: 36589911

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Project description:ObjectivesThe CArdioSurgEry Atrial Fibrillation (CASE-AF) registry is a prospective, multicentre study for collecting and analysing real-world data of surgical atrial fibrillation (AF) treatment. This study aimed to evaluate outcomes of surgery for long-standing persistent AF at 1 year.MethodsIn total, 17 centres consecutively include all eligible patients with continuous AF lasting for ≥1 year. Exclusion criteria are missing informed consent or age <18 years. For patient-reported outcomes measures, the European Heart Rhythm Association score was used. No presence of AF (based on ECG findings including Holter ECG and/or implanted devices), no re-ablation, no further cardioversion and no rehospitalization due to AF after a 3-month blanking period defined no AF recurrence at 1 year.ResultsFrom January 2017 to January 2020, a total of 1115 patients were enrolled in CASE-AF. Of them, 202 patients (mean age 69.7 ± 7.8 years, 27.2% female) underwent surgical ablation of long-standing persistent AF (study cohort), mostly accompanied by left atrial appendage closure (n = 180 [89%], resection n = 75 [42%]) and predominantly performed as concomitant (n = 174 [86%]) and left atrial only procedure (n = 144 [71%]). Early mortality (30 days) was 2.0% and morbidity was low. At follow-up (median 14.4 months, interquartile range, 12.7-17.6 months, 100% complete), 106 patients (56%) had no AF recurrence and 93% of them were asymptomatic. AF recurrence was accompanied by AF-related rehospitalization (n = 12, P = 0.003), direct current shock cardioversion (n = 23, P < 0.001), AF ablation (n = 7, P = 0.003) and stroke (n = 3, P = 0.059). Multivariable analysis identified cryoablation, predominantly performed endocardially including additional left atrial (74%) and biatrial (42%) lesions, as a significant factor for freedom from AF recurrence (odds ratio 2.7, 95% confidence interval 1.07-6.79, P = 0.035).ConclusionsAccording to CASE-AF, surgical ablation of long-standing persistent AF is most effective when concomitantly performed using endocardial cryoablation. Ongoing follow-up allows further elucidation of efficacious treatment strategies.

Project description:AimsAlthough several studies have proved that repeat catheter ablation is beneficial to recurrent atrial tachycardia (AT)/atrial fibrillation (AF) after AF catheter ablation, the hard endpoints of the effect of catheter ablation on recurrent AT/AF patients after AF catheter ablation remains unclear. Our study aims to compare the effect of catheter ablation and drug therapy on recurrent AT/AF patients after AF catheter ablation.Methods and resultsFour thousand nine hundred and thirteen consecutive patients with recurrent AT/AF after catheter ablation from the China-AF registry were enrolled. The patients were divided into two study groups: the repeat catheter ablation group and the medical therapy group. The primary endpoint is a composite of cardiovascular mortality or ischaemic stroke or major bleeding events. Secondary endpoints were each component of the primary endpoints and AF recurrence rate. Landmark analysis and Cox regression were used in the statistical analysis. We chose landmark 36 months as the primary landmark date. Over a median follow-up period of 40 ± 24 months, 4913 patients were divided into either the repeat ablation group or the medical therapy group. The cumulative incidence of the composite primary outcome was significantly lower in the repeat ablation group than the medical therapy group (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.56; 95% confidence interval: 0.35-0.89; P = 0.015) of landmark 36 months (2359 patients were included in medical therapy group and 704 patients were included in repeat ablation group at landmark 36 months). However, all secondary endpoints were not statistically different in the two groups, including cardiovascular mortality, ischaemic stroke, major bleeding events, and AF recurrence rate.ConclusionBased on this research, in recurrent AT/AF patients after a catheter ablation procedure, compared with medical therapy, repeat catheter ablation may significantly reduce the risk of the endpoint of composite cardiovascular mortality, ischaemic stroke, and major bleeding events.

Dataset Information

Personalized assessment of the cumulative complication risk of the atrial fibrillation ablation track: The AF-TRACK calculator.

Background

Objective

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Personalized assessment of the cumulative complication risk of the atrial fibrillation ablation track: The AF-TRACK calculator.

Similar Datasets

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