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Analysis of economic forecasting in the post-epidemic era: evidence from China.


ABSTRACT: This paper presents a predictive analysis of the Chinese economy in the post-epidemic era. Five major public health emergencies historically similar to the COVID-19 epidemic are used as the control group, and a fuzzy mathematical model is applied to forecast and analyze China's economy after the COVID-19 epidemic. The forecast results show that China's overall economy will have recovered to the pre-epidemic level in about 1 year, with the fastest recovery in individual economic indicators, followed by government final consumption and imports, then CPI, fiscal revenue, exports and money supply, and the slowest recovery in employment. Finally, a combination of all the parties makes policies and recommendations for China's economic and social development in the post-epidemic era.

SUBMITTER: Li X 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9930051 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Analysis of economic forecasting in the post-epidemic era: evidence from China.

Li Xin X  

Scientific reports 20230215 1


This paper presents a predictive analysis of the Chinese economy in the post-epidemic era. Five major public health emergencies historically similar to the COVID-19 epidemic are used as the control group, and a fuzzy mathematical model is applied to forecast and analyze China's economy after the COVID-19 epidemic. The forecast results show that China's overall economy will have recovered to the pre-epidemic level in about 1 year, with the fastest recovery in individual economic indicators, follo  ...[more]

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