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Generalized phase I-II designs to increase long term therapeutic success rate.

ABSTRACT: Designs for early phase dose finding clinical trials typically are either phase I based on toxicity, or phase I-II based on toxicity and efficacy. These designs rely on the implicit assumption that the dose of an experimental agent chosen using these short-term outcomes will maximize the agent's long-term therapeutic success rate. In many clinical settings, this assumption is not true. A dose selected in an early phase oncology trial may give suboptimal progression-free survival or overall survival time, often due to a high rate of relapse following response. To address this problem, a new family of Bayesian generalized phase I-II designs is proposed. First, a conventional phase I-II design based on short-term outcomes is used to identify a set of candidate doses, rather than selecting one dose. Additional patients then are randomized among the candidates, patients are followed for a predefined longer time period, and a final dose is selected to maximize the long-term therapeutic success rate, defined in terms of duration of response. Dose-specific sample sizes in the randomization are determined adaptively to obtain a desired level of selection reliability. The design was motivated by a phase I-II trial to find an optimal dose of natural killer cells as targeted immunotherapy for recurrent or treatment-resistant B-cell hematologic malignancies. A simulation study shows that, under a range of scenarios in the context of this trial, the proposed design has much better performance than two conventional phase I-II designs.

SUBMITTER: Thall PF

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10524372 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jul-Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Generalized phase I-II designs to increase long term therapeutic success rate.

Thall Peter F PF Zang Yong Y Yuan Ying Y

Pharmaceutical statistics 20230411 4

Designs for early phase dose finding clinical trials typically are either phase I based on toxicity, or phase I-II based on toxicity and efficacy. These designs rely on the implicit assumption that the dose of an experimental agent chosen using these short-term outcomes will maximize the agent's long-term therapeutic success rate. In many clinical settings, this assumption is not true. A dose selected in an early phase oncology trial may give suboptimal progression-free survival or overall survi ...[more]

PMID: 37038957

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Project description:BackgroundPancreaticojejunal anastomotic stenosis (PJS) after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) is difficult to treat. Single-balloon enteroscope-assisted endoscopic retrograde pancreatography (SBE-assisted ERP) is a safe way to treat PJS with the strength of minimally invasion and repeatability, but since its technical difficulty and few patient number, data on long-term outcomes remain limited. The optimal treatment is still unknown. We aim to study the safety, effectiveness, and long-term outcome of single balloon enteroscopy-assisted (SBE-assisted) therapeutic ERP in patients with PJS in this study.MethodsThe clinical information of patients undergoing SBE-assisted therapeutic ERP from March 2016 to March 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. All patients were diagnosed as PJS and without any contraindication for therapeutic endoscopy. Treatment details, postoperative complications, factors influencing technical success rate were evaluated. Long-term outcomes results were obtained by clinical or telephone follow-up.ResultsSixteen patients with median age of 51 years were included in this study, surgical reconstruction methods including PD with Whipple reconstruction, PD with Child reconstruction, pylorus-preserving pancreaticoduodenectomy (PpPD) with Whipple reconstruction. Eight patients were successfully treated. No serious complications happened. Risk factors for the failure of pancreaticojejunal anastomotic site identification include the digestive tract reconstruction sequence, pancreaticojejunostomy method, pancreatic duct tube implantation, pancreatic duct width before surgery, and pancreatic fistula during perioperative period. The median follow-up time was 77.2 months, the mean indwelling time of the stent was 62.3 months [interquartile range (IQR), 6.8-153.7 months]. Two of eight patients developed recurrent PJS. The variation in body mass index (BMI) was +2.46 in the non-recurrence group compared to -1.09 in the recurrence group and -2.12 in the endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) treatment failure group.ConclusionsERP intervention should be carried out early once PJS occurs in order to increase success rate. BMI is a crucial indicator which can reflex PJS rehabilitation degree during follow-up. In order to reduce PJS recurrence rate, a wider pancreatic stent and a longer stent indwelling time are recommended.

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Generalized phase I-II designs to increase long term therapeutic success rate.

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Generalized phase I-II designs to increase long term therapeutic success rate.

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