Dataset Information

Risk prediction of second primary malignancies in patients after rectal cancer: analysis based on SEER Program.

ABSTRACT:

Background

This study will focus on exploring the clinical characteristics of rectal cancer (RC) patients with Second Primary Malignancies (SPMs) and constructing a prognostic nomogram to provide clinical treatment decisions.

Methods

We determined the association between risk factors and overall survival (OS) while establishing a nomogram to forecast the further OS status of these patients via Cox regression analysis. Finally, we evaluated the performance of the prognostic nomogram to predict further OS status.

Results

Nine parameters were identified to establish the prognostic nomogram in this study, and, the C-index of the training set and validation set was 0.691 (95%CI, 0.662-0.720) and 0.731 (95%CI, 0.676-0.786), respectively. The calibration curve showed a high agreement between the predicted and actual results, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves verified the superiority of our model for clinical usefulness. In addition, the nomogram classification could more precisely differentiate risk subgroups and improved the discrimination of SPMs' prognosis.

Conclusions

We systematically explored the clinical characteristics of SPMs after RC and constructed a satisfactory nomogram.

SUBMITTER: Sun YC

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10568885 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Risk prediction of second primary malignancies in patients after rectal cancer: analysis based on SEER Program.

Sun Yong-Chao YC Zhao Zi-Dan ZD Yao Na N Jiao Yu-Wen YW Zhang Jia-Wen JW Fu Yue Y Shi Wei-Hai WH

BMC gastroenterology 20231012 1

<h4>Background</h4>This study will focus on exploring the clinical characteristics of rectal cancer (RC) patients with Second Primary Malignancies (SPMs) and constructing a prognostic nomogram to provide clinical treatment decisions.<h4>Methods</h4>We determined the association between risk factors and overall survival (OS) while establishing a nomogram to forecast the further OS status of these patients via Cox regression analysis. Finally, we evaluated the performance of the prognostic nomogra ...[more]

PMID: 37828423

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Project description:PurposeEvaluate incidence of second primary malignancies (SPM) after non-acral cutaneous melanoma (NACM), acral lentiginous melanoma (ALM), mucosal melanoma (MM), and uveal melanoma (UM).Patients and methodsFirst primary NACM, ALM, MM, and UM cases diagnosed 2000-2016 were extracted from SEER. Seer*Stat was used to calculate excess absolute risks (EAR) and standardized incidence ratios (SIR) of SPMs relative to a matched cohort from the general population. P-value of 0.05 determined significance.ResultsInclusion criteria was met by 109,385 patients with NACM, 2166 with ALM, 2498 with MM, and 6250 with UM. Increased incidence of malignancies occurred after NACM (SIR 1.51; 95%CI, 1.49-1.54), ALM (SIR 1.59; 95%CI, 1.40-1.81), MM (SIR 2.14; 95%CI, 1.85-2.45), and UM (SIR 1.24; 95%CI, 1.14-1.34) relative to the general population. Cutaneous melanoma occurred more frequently after NACM (SIR 9.54; 95%CI, 9.27-9.83), ALM (SIR 12.19; 95%CI, 9.70-15.14), MM (SIR 10.05; 95%CI, 7.18-13.68), and UM (SIR 2.91; 95%CI, 2.27-3.66). Patients with initial NACM (SIR 2.44; 95%CI, 1.64-3.51) and UM (SIR 44.34; 95%CI, 29.91-63.29) demonstrated increased incidence of eye and orbit melanoma. Renal malignancies occurred more frequently after NACM (SIR 1.24; 95%CI, 1.11-1.38), MM (SIR 3.54; 95%CI, 1.62-6.72) and UM (SIR 1.68; 95%CI, 1.09-2.48). Increased incidence of thyroid malignancies was observed after NACM (SIR 1.83; 95%CI, 1.61-2.06), ALM (SIR 3.74; 95%CI, 1.71-7.11), MM (SIR 4.40; 95%CI, 1.77-9.06), and UM (SIR 3.79; 95%CI, 2.52-5.47). Increased incidence of lymphoma was observed after NACM (SIR 1.20; 95%CI, 1.09-1.31) and ALM (SIR 2.06; 95%CI, 1.13-3.46).ConclusionPatients with NACM, ALM, MM, and UM have increased incidence of SPMs compared to that expected from the general population. Each of these melanoma subtypes had increased occurrence of cutaneous melanoma and thyroid cancer; some, but not all, had increased occurrence of renal malignancies, eye and orbit melanoma, and lymphoma.

Project description:With recent advances in treatment modalities, the survival time for patients with small cell lung cancer (SCLC) has increased, along with the likelihood of recurrence of a second primary tumor. However, patient treatment options and prognosis remain uncertain. This research evaluated the survival rates of patients with SCLC with a second malignancy, aiming to provide new insights and statistics on whether to proceed with more active therapy. SCLC patients were selected based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, updated on April 15, 2021. We defined those with SCLC followed by other cancers (1st of 2 or more primaries) in the sequence number as S-second primary malignant cancer (S-SPM). Those who had other cancers followed by SCLC (2nd of 2 or more primaries) were defined as OC-SCLC. We performed Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, life table analysis, univariate analysis, stratified analysis, and multiple regression analysis of patient data. We considered the difference statistically meaningful at P < .05. After selection, data for 88,448 participants from the SEER database was included in our analysis. The mean survival time for patients with S-SPM was 69.349 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 65.939, 72.759), and the medium duration of survival was 34 months (95% CI: 29.900, 38.100). Univariate analysis showed that for overall survival, the hazard ratio (HR) of S-SPM was 0.367 (95% CI: 0.351, 0.383), which was 0.633 lower than that of patients with solitary SCLC and 0.606 lower than that of patients with OC-SCLC. For cancer-specific survival (CSS), the HR of S-SPM was 0.285 (95% CI: 0.271, 0.301), which was 0.715 lower than for patients with solitary SCLC and 0.608 lower than that for patients with OC-SCLC. Multiple regression analysis showed that the HR values of S-SPM were lower than those of patients with single SCLC and those with OC-SCLC, before and after adjustment for variables. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that patients with S-SPM had significantly better survival times than the other groups. The survival time and prognosis of patients with S-SPM were clearly superior to those with single SCLC and OC-SCLC.

Project description:BackgroundWith the development of surgical techniques and advances in systemic treatments, the survival time of esophageal cancer survivors has increased; however, the chance of developing a second primary malignancy (SPM) has also increased. These patients' prognosis and treatment plans remain inconclusive.ObjectivesWe aimed to evaluate and predict the survival of patients with esophageal cancer with second primary tumors, to provide insights and the latest data on whether to pursue more aggressive treatment.Materials and methodsWe selected esophageal cancer cases from the latest available data from the SEER database on April 15, 2021. We performed life table analysis, Kaplan-Meier analysis, and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis to assess the patient data. We conducted multiple Cox regression equation analyses under multiple covariate adjustment models, and performed a stratified analysis of multiple Cox regression equation analysis based on different covariates. To describe our study population more simply and clearly, we defined the group of patients with esophageal cancer combined with a second primary malignant tumor (the first of two or more primaries) as the EC-SPM group.ResultsOur analysis of 73,456 patients with esophageal cancer found the median survival time of the EC-SPM group was 47.00 months (95% confidence interval (CI), 43.87-50.13), and the mean survival time was 74.67 months (95% CI, 72.12-77.22). Kaplan-Meier curves of different esophageal cancer survivors showed that the survival of the EC-SPM group was significantly better than that of the other groups (p < 0.01). Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that compared with only one malignancy only group, the hazard ratio (HR) of the EC-SPM group was 0.95 (95% CI, 0.92-0.99; p < 0.05). In the multivariate Cox regression analysis under different adjustment models, the EC-SPM group had a reduced risk of death compared with the one primary malignancy only group (HR < 1, p < 0.05).ConclusionSurvivors of esophageal cancer with a second primary malignant cancer have a better prognosis, but require more aggressive treatment. This study provided new evidence and new ideas for future research on the pathophysiological mechanism and treatment concepts of esophageal cancer combined with SPM.

Dataset Information

Risk prediction of second primary malignancies in patients after rectal cancer: analysis based on SEER Program.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Risk prediction of second primary malignancies in patients after rectal cancer: analysis based on SEER Program.

Similar Datasets

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