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Evidence of survival bias in the association between APOE-ϵ4 and age of ischemic stroke onset.

ABSTRACT: Large genome-wide association studies (GWAS) employing case-control study designs have now identified tens of loci associated with ischemic stroke (IS). As a complement to these studies, we performed GWAS in a case-only design to identify loci influencing age at onset (AAO) of ischemic stroke. Analyses were conducted in a Discovery cohort of 10,857 ischemic stroke cases using a linear regression framework. We meta-analyzed all SNPs with p-value < 1×10^-5 in a sex-combined or sex-stratified analysis using summary data from two additional replication cohorts. In the women-only meta-analysis, we detected significant evidence for association of AAO with rs429358, an exonic variant in APOE that encodes for the APOE-ϵ4 allele. Each copy of the rs429358:T>C allele was associated with a 1.29 years earlier stroke AOO (meta p-value = 2.48×10^-11). This APOE variant has previously been associated with increased mortality and ischemic stroke AAO. We hypothesized that the association with AAO may reflect a survival bias attributable to an age-related decline in mortality among APOE-ϵ4 carriers and have no association to stroke AAO per se. Using a simulation study, we found that a variant associated with overall mortality might indeed be detected with an AAO analysis. A variant with a two-fold increase on mortality risk would lead to an observed effect of AAO that is comparable to what we found. In conclusion, we detected a robust association of the APOE locus with stroke AAO and provided simulations to suggest that this association may be unrelated to ischemic stroke per se but related to a general survival bias.

SUBMITTER: von Berg J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10705635 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Evidence of survival bias in the association between <i>APOE-ϵ4</i> and age of ischemic stroke onset.

von Berg Joanna J McArdle Patrick F PF Häppölä Paavo P Haessler Jeffrey J Kooperberg Charles C Lemmens Robin R Pezzini Alessandro A Thijs Vincent V Pulit Sara L SL Kittner Steven J SJ Mitchell Braxton D BD de Ridder Jeroen J van der Laan Sander W SW

medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences 20231201

Large genome-wide association studies (GWAS) employing case-control study designs have now identified tens of loci associated with ischemic stroke (IS). As a complement to these studies, we performed GWAS in a case-only design to identify loci influencing age at onset (AAO) of ischemic stroke. Analyses were conducted in a Discovery cohort of 10,857 ischemic stroke cases using a linear regression framework. We meta-analyzed all SNPs with p-value < 1×10<sup>-5</sup> in a sex-combined or sex-strati ...[more]

PMID: 38076909

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Project description:ObjectivesTo determine whether high HbA1c levels are related to short-and long-term functional outcomes in patients with ischemic stroke (IS) and whether this association differs according to the IS subtype and the patient's age.MethodsThe data of 7,380 IS patients admitted to 16 hospitals or regional stroke centers in South-Korea, between May 2017 and December 2019, were obtained from the Clinical Research Collaboration for Stroke-Korea-National Institute of Health database and retrospectively analyzed. Among these patients, 4,598 were followed-up for one-year. The HbA1c levels were classified into three groups (<5.7, 5.7 to <6.5%, ≥6.5%). Short-and long-term poor functional outcomes were defined using the modified Rankin Scale score of 2 to 6 at three-months and one-year, respectively. IS subtypes were categorized according to the Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment (TOAST) classification.ResultsThere was an association between higher HbA1c (≥6.5%) and poor functional outcomes at three-months in all patients (three-months; OR, 1.299, 95% CI 1.098, 1.535, one-year; OR, 1.181, 95% CI 0.952, 1.465). When grouped by age, the associations after both 3 months and 1 year observed in younger adult group (<65 years), but not in group aged 65 years and older (three-months; <65 years OR, 1.467, 95% CI 1.112, 1.936, ≥65 years OR, 1.220, 95% CI 0.987, 1.507, p for interaction = 0.038, one-year; <65 years OR, 1.622, 95% CI 1.101, 2.388, ≥65 years OR, 1.010, 95% CI 0.778, 1.312, p for interaction = 0.018). Among younger adult group, the higher HbA1c level was related to short-and long-term functional loss in patients with the small vessel occlusion subtype (three-months; OR, 2.337, 95%CI 1.334, 4.095, one-year; OR, 3.004, 95% CI 1.301, 6.938). However, in patients with other TOAST subtypes, a high HbA1c level did not increase the risk of poor outcomes, regardless of the age of onset.ConclusionHigh HbA1c levels increase the risk of short-and long-term poor functional outcomes after IS onset. However, this association differs according to stroke subtype and age. Thus, pre-stroke hyperglycemia, reflected by HbA1c, may be a significant predictor for a poor prognosis after ischemic stroke, particular in young- and middle-aged adults.

Project description:ImportanceThe benefit of reperfusion therapies for acute ischemic stroke decreases over time. This decreasing benefit is presumably due to the disappearance of salvageable ischemic brain tissue (ie, the penumbra).ObjectiveTo study the association between stroke onset-to-imaging time and penumbral volume in patients with acute ischemic stroke with a large vessel occlusion.Design, setting, and participantsA retrospective, multicenter, cross-sectional study was conducted from January 1, 2015, to June 30, 2022. To limit selection bias, patients were selected from (1) the prospective registries of 2 comprehensive centers with systematic use of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with perfusion, including both thrombectomy-treated and untreated patients, and (2) 1 prospective thrombectomy study in which MRI with perfusion was acquired per protocol but treatment decisions were made with clinicians blinded to the results. Consecutive patients with acute stroke with intracranial internal carotid artery or first segment of middle cerebral artery occlusion and adequate quality MRI, including perfusion, performed within 24 hours from known symptoms onset were included in the analysis.ExposuresTime from stroke symptom onset to baseline MRI.Main outcomes and measuresPenumbral volume, measured using automated software, was defined as the volume of tissue with critical hypoperfusion (time to maximum >6 seconds) minus the volume of the ischemic core. Substantial penumbra was defined as greater than or equal to 15 mL and a mismatch ratio (time to maximum >6-second volume/core volume) greater than or equal to 1.8.ResultsOf 940 patients screened, 516 were excluded (no MRI, n = 19; no perfusion imaging, n = 59; technically inadequate perfusion imaging, n = 75; second segment of the middle cerebral artery occlusion, n = 156; unwitnessed stroke onset, n = 207). Of 424 included patients, 226 (53.3%) were men, and mean (SD) age was 68.9 (15.1) years. Median onset-to-imaging time was 3.8 (IQR, 2.4-5.5) hours. Only 16 patients were admitted beyond 10 hours from symptom onset. Median core volume was 24 (IQR, 8-76) mL and median penumbral volume was 58 (IQR, 29-91) mL. An increment in onset-to-imaging time by 1 hour resulted in a decrease of 3.1 mL of penumbral volume (β coefficient = -3.1; 95% CI, -4.6 to -1.5; P < .001) and an increase of 3.0 mL of core volume (β coefficient = 3.0; 95% CI, 1.3-4.7; P < .001) after adjustment for confounders. The presence of a substantial penumbra ranged from approximately 80% in patients imaged at 1 hour to 70% at 5 hours, 60% at 10 hours, and 40% at 15 hours.Conclusions and relevanceTime is associated with increasing core and decreasing penumbral volumes. Despite this, a substantial percentage of patients have notable penumbra in extended time windows; the findings of this study suggest that a large proportion of patients with large vessel occlusion may benefit from therapeutic interventions.

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Evidence of survival bias in the association between APOE-ϵ4 and age of ischemic stroke onset.

Publications

Evidence of survival bias in the association between <i>APOE-ϵ4</i> and age of ischemic stroke onset.

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