Dataset Information

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for motoric cognitive risk syndrome in older adults.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

The objective of this study was to develop a risk prediction model for motoric cognitive risk syndrome (MCR) in older adults.

Methods

Participants were selected from the 2015 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study database and randomly assigned to the training group and the validation group, with proportions of 70% and 30%, respectively. LASSO regression analysis was used to screen the predictors. Then, identified predictors were included in multivariate logistic regression analysis and used to construct model nomogram. The performance of the model was evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

528 out of 3962 participants (13.3%) developed MCR. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that weakness, chronic pain, limb dysfunction score, visual acuity score and Five-Times-Sit-To-Stand test were predictors of MCR in older adults. Using these factors, a nomogram model was constructed. The AUC values for the training and validation sets of the predictive model were 0.735 (95% CI = 0.708-0.763) and 0.745 (95% CI = 0.705-0.785), respectively.

Conclusion

The nomogram constructed in this study is a useful tool for assessing the risk of MCR in older adults, which can help clinicians identify individuals at high risk.

SUBMITTER: Li Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11246282 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for motoric cognitive risk syndrome in older adults.

Li Yaqin Y Huang Yuting Y Wei Fangxin F Li Tanjian T Wang Yu Y

Aging clinical and experimental research 20240713 1

<h4>Objective</h4>The objective of this study was to develop a risk prediction model for motoric cognitive risk syndrome (MCR) in older adults.<h4>Methods</h4>Participants were selected from the 2015 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study database and randomly assigned to the training group and the validation group, with proportions of 70% and 30%, respectively. LASSO regression analysis was used to screen the predictors. Then, identified predictors were included in multivariate logistic ...[more]

PMID: 39002102

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Project description:BackgroundModifiable lifestyle factors such as diet are associated with cognitive decline and dementia. Greater understanding of the nutritional intake of older adults who are at increased risk for cognitive decline may allow for the development of more effective dietary interventions to prevent or delay the onset of dementia.ObjectivesThe purpose of this study was to characterize the nutritional status, diet quality and individual nutritional components of older adults with motoric cognitive risk syndrome (MCR). MCR is a pre-dementia syndrome classified by slow gait speed and subjective memory impairments.DesignCross-sectional analysis.SettingA community-based senior center located in an urban setting.ParticipantsTwenty-five community-dwelling older adults with MCR aged 60-89 yrs.MeasurementsNutritional risk status was determined using the Nestle Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA). A food frequency questionnaire was used to quantify: overall dietary quality using the Healthy Eating Index (HEI); adherence to the Mediterranean-DASH for Neurodegenerative Delay (MIND) dietary pattern; and intake of individual nutritional components shown to be protective or harmful for cognitive function in older adults. Participants completed a computerized cognitive testing battery to assess cognitive abilities.ResultsMore than one third (36%) of participants were at increased risk for malnutrition. Participants at lower risk for malnutrition had better working memory (r = 0.40, p = 0.04), executive functioning (r = 0.44, p = 0.03), and overall cognition (r = 0.44, p = 0.03). While participants generally consumed a reasonable quality diet (HEI = 65.15), 48% of participants had poor adherence to a neuroprotective MIND dietary pattern. Higher intake of B-complex vitamins was associated with better task switching (r = 0.40, p ≤ 0.05) and faster processing speeds (r = 0.39, p ≤ 0.05). Higher vitamin C intake was associated with better executive functioning (r = 0.40, p ≤ 0.05).ConclusionsOur findings suggest that a significant proportion of older adults with MCR may be at increased risk for malnutrition. While the diet quality of older adults with MCR appeared to need improvement, future studies should investigate the effects of more specific nutritional interventions, including the MIND diet, on cognition in at-risk older adults.

Project description:ImportanceMotoric cognitive risk (MCR) is a novel predementia syndrome; however, whether it can estimate dementia in a nationwide population or has additive estimation validity over cognitive or motoric components alone remains unknown.ObjectiveTo examine whether modified MCR, which incorporates the timed-up-and-go and one-leg-standing tests, improves estimation validity for incident dementia over using cognitive or motoric components alone.Design, setting, and participantsThis nationwide cohort study evaluated data from individuals aged 66 years who participated in the National Screening Program for Transitional Ages in Korea from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2013, and examined the association between MCR and incident dementia using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Data were collected from the index date (the date on which the participant had the screening) until dementia onset, death, or the end of the follow-up period, whichever came first. The 2 subtypes were defined as subjective cognitive declines with timed-up-and-go impairment or one-leg-standing impairment. The data set was generated with permission from the Korean National Health Insurance Service, and data analysis was conducted from August 2, 2021, to January 31, 2022. Individuals diagnosed with dementia or psychotic disorders or those who had a documented history of dementia medication use before the index date were excluded.Main outcomes and measuresThe main outcome was incidence of dementia, defined as an individual receiving their first dementia medication with the relevant International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision, codes after the index date.ResultsAmong the 1 137 530 participants (53.7% women), 15 380 (1.4%) met the MCR criteria for the timed-up-and-go subtype, and 32 910 (2.9%) met the criteria for the one-leg-standing subtype. The mean (SD) follow-up period was 7.02 (1.38) years. Participants with MCR demonstrated an approximately 2-fold higher risk of incident dementia than those without MCR (timed-up-and-go subtype, adjusted hazard ratio, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.94-2.13; one-leg-standing subtype, adjusted hazard ratio, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.98-2.12).Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study of participants aged 66 years of the National Screening Program for Transitional Ages, modified motoric cognitive risk had higher adjusted hazard ratios of incident dementia than individual cognitive or motoric components. Motoric cognitive risk may be a practical screening tool for estimating dementia among individuals in their mid-60s ; however, further investigation of the clinical and neurobiological aspects is necessary.

Dataset Information

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for motoric cognitive risk syndrome in older adults.

Objective

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Development and validation of a risk prediction model for motoric cognitive risk syndrome in older adults.

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