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ABSTRACT: Introduction
The improvement in diagnosis and treatment for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) has shifted the pattern of failure toward distant metastasis. This study aimed to develop a simplified prognostic scoring model to predict distant metastatic free survival (DMFS) for NPC patients.Materials and methods
Patients with non-metastatic NPC were identified from a retrospective cohort diagnosed between 2010 and 2018. Flexible parametric survival analysis was used to identify potential predictors for DMFS and establish a scoring model. The prognostic accuracy between the 8th AJCC system and the scoring model was compared using Harrell's C-index.Results
Of the total 393 patients, the median follow-up time was 85 months. The 3-year DMFS rate was 83.3%. Gender, T-stage, pre-EBV (cut-off 2300 copies/ml), and the number of metastatic lymph node regions were identified as independent risk factors for distant metastasis and were included in the final scoring model. Our established model achieved a high C-index in predicting DMFS (0.79) and was well-calibrated. The score divided patients into two categories: low-risk (score 0-4) and high-risk (score 5-7), corresponding with the predicted 3-year DMFS of 96% and 64.5%, respectively.Conclusions
A feasible and applicative prognostic score was established and validated to discriminate NPC patients into low- and high-risk groups.
SUBMITTER: Jaruthien T
PROVIDER: S-EPMC11349101 | biostudies-literature | 2024
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Jaruthien Thitiporn T Lertbutsayanukul Chawalit C Jittapiromsak Nutchawan N Sriyook Aniwat A Kulalert Prapasri P Tantiyavarong Pichaya P Kitpanit Sarin S Kannarunimit Danita D Chakkabat Chakkapong C Prayongrat Anussara A
PloS one 20240827 8
<h4>Introduction</h4>The improvement in diagnosis and treatment for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) has shifted the pattern of failure toward distant metastasis. This study aimed to develop a simplified prognostic scoring model to predict distant metastatic free survival (DMFS) for NPC patients.<h4>Materials and methods</h4>Patients with non-metastatic NPC were identified from a retrospective cohort diagnosed between 2010 and 2018. Flexible parametric survival analysis was used to identify potent ...[more]