Dataset Information

Cryptogenic mechanism in ischaemic stroke patients is a predictor of 5-year survival: A population-based study.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

The present study sought to identify factors affecting mortality beyond 28 days in ischaemic stroke patients with whatever ischaemic mechanism.

Patients and methods

A prospective population-based registry was set up in Brest County, Brittany, France. Demographic data, clinical presentation, vascular risk factors and mortality were collected from January 2008 to December 2012. At "home without help" was used as a surrogate marker for low Rankin (0-1) at discharge from the hospital. IS was classified on the TOAST classification. Overall mortality was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate analysis of mortality beyond 28 days was implemented, using a Cox model, on significant risk factors identified on univariate analysis.

Results

About 3024 IS cases were followed up beyond 28 days. Overall mortality beyond 28 days was 38.49% at 60 months. On multivariate analysis, age (10 years: HR = 1.84; [1.66-2.02]), coronary artery disease (HR = 1.28; [1.05-1.56]), cardiac arrhythmia (HR = 1.36; [1.11-1.67]), peripheral artery disease (HR = 1.66 [1.29-2.13]) and incomplete assessment (HR = 1.39; [1.12-1.74]) were associated with higher mortality risk, whereas female gender (HR = 0.80; [0.68-0.94]), high Glasgow Coma Scale score (GCS > 12) (HR = 0.58; [0.45-0.76]), lacunar syndrome (HR = 0.82; [0.68-0.99], being 'at home without help' (HR = 0.50; [0.41-0.59]) and negative assessment (HR = 0.75; [0.58-0.97], compared to cardioembolism) were associated with better survival probability.

Discussion

Initial clinical status, prior cardiovascular diseases and age was associated with more risk of death: an increment of 10 years almost doubled mortality. Women had more survival probability than men, controlling for age. Ischaemic stroke mechanisms were predictors of late 5-year mortality.

Conclusion

Patients with negative assessment, i.e. representing truly cryptogenic ischaemic stroke, had the best survival probability probably due to fewer atherosclerotic markers.

SUBMITTER: Timsit S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6301247 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Cryptogenic mechanism in ischaemic stroke patients is a predictor of 5-year survival: A population-based study.

Timsit S S Bailly P P Nowak E E Merrien F M FM Hervé D D Viakhireva-Dovganyuk I I Jourdain A A Thomas E E Goas P P Rouhart F F

European stroke journal 20160910 4

<h4>Introduction</h4>The present study sought to identify factors affecting mortality beyond 28 days in ischaemic stroke patients with whatever ischaemic mechanism.<h4>Patients and methods</h4>A prospective population-based registry was set up in Brest County, Brittany, France. Demographic data, clinical presentation, vascular risk factors and mortality were collected from January 2008 to December 2012. At "home without help" was used as a surrogate marker for low Rankin (0-1) at discharge from ...[more]

PMID: 31008289

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Project description:BackgroundA third of transient ischaemic attacks (TIAs) and ischaemic strokes are of undetermined cause (ie, cryptogenic), potentially undermining secondary prevention. If these events are due to occult atheroma, the risk-factor profile and coronary prognosis should resemble that of overt large artery events. If they have a cardioembolic cause, the risk of future cardioembolic events should be increased. We aimed to assess the burden, outcome, risk factors, and long-term prognosis of cryptogenic TIA and stroke.MethodsIn a population-based study in Oxfordshire, UK, among patients with a first TIA or ischaemic stroke from April 1, 2002, to March 31, 2014, we compared cryptogenic events versus other causative subtypes according to the TOAST classification. We compared markers of atherosclerosis (ie, risk factors, coronary and peripheral arterial disease, asymptomatic carotid stenosis, and 10-year risk of acute coronary events) and of cardioembolism (ie, risk of cardioembolic stroke, systemic emboli, and new atrial fibrillation [AF] during follow-up, and minor-risk echocardiographic abnormalities and subclinical paroxysmal AF at baseline in patients with index events between 2010 and 2014).FindingsAmong 2555 patients, 812 (32%) had cryptogenic events (incidence of cryptogenic stroke 0·36 per 1000 population per year, 95% CI 0·23-0·49). Death or dependency at 6 months was similar after cryptogenic stroke compared with non-cardioembolic stroke (23% vs 27% for large artery and small vessel subtypes combined; p=0·26) as was the 10-year risk of recurrence (32% vs 27%; p=0·91). However, the cryptogenic group had fewer atherosclerotic risk factors than the large artery disease (p<0·0001), small vessel disease (p=0·001), and cardioembolic (p=0·008) groups. Compared with patients with large artery events, those with cryptogenic events had less hypertension (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0·41, 95% CI 0·30-0·56; p<0·0001), diabetes (0·62, 0·43-0·90; p=0·01), peripheral vascular disease (0·27, 0·17-0·45; p<0·0001), hypercholesterolaemia (0·53, 0·40-0·70; p<0·0001), and history of smoking (0·68, 0·51-0·92; p=0·01), and compared with small vessel and cardioembolic subtypes, they had no excess risk of asymptomatic carotid disease (adjusted OR 0·64, 95% CI 0·37-1·11; p=0·11) or acute coronary events (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0·76, 95% CI 0·49-1·18; p=0·22) during follow-up. Compared with large artery and small vessel subtypes combined, patients with cryptogenic events also had no excess of minor-risk echocardiographic abnormalities (cryptogenic 37% vs 45%; p=0·18) or paroxysmal AF (6% vs 10%; p=0·17) at baseline or of new AF (adjusted HR 1·23, 0·78-1·95; p=0·37) or presumed cardioembolic events (1·16, 0·62-2·17; p=0·64) during follow-up.InterpretationThe clinical burden of cryptogenic TIA and stroke is substantial. Although stroke recurrence rates are comparable with other subtypes, cryptogenic events have the fewest atherosclerotic markers and no excess of cardioembolic markers.FundingWellcome Trust, Wolfson Foundation, UK Stroke Association, British Heart Foundation, Dunhill Medical Trust, National Institute for Health Research, Medical Research Council, and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre.

Dataset Information

Cryptogenic mechanism in ischaemic stroke patients is a predictor of 5-year survival: A population-based study.

Introduction

Patients and methods

Results

Discussion

Conclusion

Publications

Cryptogenic mechanism in ischaemic stroke patients is a predictor of 5-year survival: A population-based study.

Similar Datasets

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