Dataset Information

CT-based radiomic signatures for prediction of pathologic complete response in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

ABSTRACT: The objective of this study was to build models to predict complete pathologic response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients using radiomic features. A total of 55 consecutive patients pathologically diagnosed as having ESCC were included in this study. Patients were divided into a training cohort (44 patients) and a testing cohort (11 patients). The logistic regression analysis using likelihood ratio forward selection was performed to select the predictive clinical parameters for pCR, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) with logistic regression to select radiomic predictors in the training cohort. Model performance in the training and testing groups was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC). The multivariate logistic regression analysis identified no clinical predictors for pCR. Thus, only radiomic features selected by LASSO were used to build prediction models. Three logistic regression models for pCR prediction were developed in the training cohort, and they were able to predict pCR well in both the training (AUC, 0.84-0.86) and the testing cohorts (AUC, 0.71-0.79). There were no differences between these AUCs. We developed three predictive models for pCR after nCRT using radiomic parameters and they demonstrated good model performance.

SUBMITTER: Yang Z

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6640907 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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CT-based radiomic signatures for prediction of pathologic complete response in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

Yang Zhining Z He Binghui B Zhuang Xinyu X Gao Xiaoying X Wang Dandan D Li Mei M Lin Zhixiong Z Luo Ren R

Journal of radiation research 20190701 4

The objective of this study was to build models to predict complete pathologic response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients using radiomic features. A total of 55 consecutive patients pathologically diagnosed as having ESCC were included in this study. Patients were divided into a training cohort (44 patients) and a testing cohort (11 patients). The logistic regression analysis using likelihood ratio forward selection was perform ...[more]

PMID: 31111948

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Project description:ObjectiveThis study was conducted in order to determine the optimal timing of diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) for prediction of pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) for esophageal cancer.MethodsPatients with esophageal adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma who planned to undergo nCRT followed by surgery were enrolled in this prospective study. Patients underwent six DW-MRI scans: one baseline scan before the start of nCRT and weekly scans during 5 weeks of nCRT. Relative changes in mean apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values between the baseline scans and the scans during nCRT (ΔADC(%)) were compared between pathologic complete responders (pCR) and non-pCR (tumor regression grades 2-5). The discriminative ability of ΔADC(%) was determined based on the c-statistic.ResultsA total of 24 patients with 142 DW-MRI scans were included. pCR was observed in seven patients (29%). ΔADC(%) from baseline to week 2 was significantly higher in patients with pCR versus non-pCR (median [IQR], 36% [30%, 41%] for pCR versus 16% [14%, 29%] for non-pCR, p = 0.004). The ΔADC(%) of the second week in combination with histology resulted in the highest c-statistic for the prediction of pCR versus non-pCR (0.87). The c-statistic of this model increased to 0.97 after additional exclusion of patients with a small tumor volume (< 7 mL, n = 3) and tumor histology of the resection specimen other than adenocarcinoma or squamous cell carcinoma (n = 1).ConclusionThe relative change in tumor ADC (ΔADC(%)) during the first 2 weeks of nCRT is the most predictive for pathologic complete response to nCRT in esophageal cancer patients.Key points• DW-MRI during the second week of neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy is most predictive for pathologic complete response in esophageal cancer. • A model including ΔADCweek 2was able to discriminate between pathologic complete responders and non-pathologic complete responders in 87%. • Improvements in future MRI studies for esophageal cancer may be obtained by incorporating motion management techniques.

Project description:BackgroundCurrently, the role of immunotherapy in neoadjuvant setting for patients with locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) is gradually attracting attention. Few studies compared the efficacy of neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (NICT) and neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT). Our study aimed to compare treatment response and postoperative complications after NICT followed by surgery with that after conventional NCRT in patients with locally advanced ESCC.MethodsOf 468 patients with locally advanced ESCC, 154 received conventional NCRT, whereas 314 received NICT. Treatment response, postoperative complications and mortality between two groups were compared. Pathological response of primary tumor was evaluated using the Mandard tumor regression grade (TRG) scoring system. Pathological complete response (pCR) of metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) was defined as no viable tumor cell within all resected metastatic LNs. According to regression directionality, tumor regression pattern was summarized into four categories: type I, regression toward the lumen; type II, regression toward the invasive front; type III, concentric regression; and type IV, scattered regression. Inverse probability propensity score weighting was performed to minimize the influence of confounding factors.ResultsAfter adjusting for baseline characteristics, the R0 resection rates (90.9% vs. 89.0%, P=0.302) and pCR (ypT0N0) rates (29.8% vs. 34.0%, P=0.167) were comparable between two groups. Patients receiving NCRT showed lower TRG score (P<0.001) and higher major pathological response (MPR) rate (64.7% vs. 53.6%, P=0.001) compared to those receiving NICT. However, NICT brought a higher pCR rate of metastatic LNs than conventional NCRT (53.9% vs. 37.1%, P<0.001). The rates of type I/II/III/IV regression patterns were 44.6%, 6.8%, 11.4% and 37.1% in the NICT group, 16.9%, 8.2%, 18.3% and 56.6% in the NCRT group, indicating a significant difference (P<0.001). Moreover, there were no significant differences in the incidence of total postoperative complications (35.8% vs. 39.9%, P=0.189) and 30-d mortality (0.0% vs. 1.1%, P=0.062).ConclusionFor patients with locally advanced ESCC, NICT showed a R0 resection rate and pCR (ypT0N0) rate comparable to conventional NCRT, without increased incidence of postoperative complications and mortality. Notablely, NICT followed by surgery might bring a promising treatment response of metastatic LNs.

Project description:ImportanceThe association of neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy (NCIT) vs chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) with tumor downstaging and survival in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) remains unclear because of limited evidence.ObjectiveTo compare the associations of NCIT and NCRT with tumor regression and long-term survival in patients with locally advanced ESCC.Design, setting, and participantsIn this comparative effectiveness research study, from January 2016 to March 2023, patients with locally advanced ESCC who underwent esophagectomy following NCRT or NCIT were identified from a prospective database of 8 high-volume esophageal surgery centers in China. Follow-up began on the date of surgery and continued until the last recorded contact or March 2024, whichever occurred first. Data were analyzed between April and September 2024.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary end points were 2-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Secondary end points included major pathologic response (MPR) and pathologic complete response (pCR). Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to investigate the risk factors for OS and DFS.ResultsThe study included 1428 patients (median [IQR] age, 63 [57-68] years; 1184 men [82.9%]), with 704 patients in the NCRT group and 724 patients in the NCIT group. After propensity score matching, there were 532 patients in each group. The 2-year OS (81.3% vs 71.3%; hazard ratio, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.26-1.96; P < .001) and DFS (73.9% vs 63.4%; hazard ratio, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.11-1.69; P < .001) rates were significantly higher in NCIT group than in the NCRT group. The NCRT group had a higher MPR rate than that of the NCIT group (71.8% vs 61.5%), whereas the pCR rates were similar (25.9% vs 22.9%). Multivariable Cox analysis demonstrated that NCIT and MPR were independently associated with both OS and DFS. The NCIT group exhibited a lower overall recurrence rate (126 patients [23.7%] vs 190 patients [35.7%]) and distant metastasis rate (72 patients [13.5%] vs 133 patients [25.0%]), although locoregional metastasis rates were similar (98 patients [18.4%] vs 111 patients [20.9%]). Better OS and DFS were obtained for the NCIT group than for the NCRT group, regardless of whether adjuvant immunotherapy was given.Conclusions and relevanceCompared with NCRT, patients with locally advanced ESCC receiving NCIT had better 2-year OS and DFS. The decrease in distant metastasis may be the main reason, but further prospective randomized clinical trials are needed to verify this finding.

Dataset Information

CT-based radiomic signatures for prediction of pathologic complete response in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

Publications

CT-based radiomic signatures for prediction of pathologic complete response in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

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