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Prognosticators of All-Cause Mortality in Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction.

ABSTRACT: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) represents ∼50% of all cases of congestive heart failure (CHF) with prevalence expected to increase with aging of the population. We performed an observational study of all patients admitted to 3 hospitals in the ExcelaHealth care system, Greensburg, PA, with a primary diagnosis of HFpEF heart failure exacerbation between January 2014 and January 2017. Demographic data, laboratory results, and echocardiograms performed closest to index hospitalization were collected. A total of 487 patients were admitted with a primary diagnosis of CHF exacerbation and HFpEF, with a mean age of 80.5 years (±10.9), 62% women and predominantly Caucasian (98.8%). Over a median follow-up of 21.7 months, 246 patients died with an all-cause mortality rate of 51.3%. Receiver operator curves were generated for multiple continuous variables to identify optimal cut-off values Kaplan-Meir survival curves were then generated. Clinical factors were tested by univariate Cox regression modeling, with significant factors entered into a step-wise multivariate model. Our modeling identified age>80 years, serum albumin level<3.2 g/dl, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) >5,000 pg/mL and medial E/e'≥20 as significant, independent predictors of all-cause mortality (p-value <0.0001). Surprisingly, lack of a diagnosis of hypertension was associated with significantly increased mortality risk. In a community-based sample of HFpEF patients, we identified multiple factors that were strong, independent predictors of all-cause mortality that can be easily applied in a clinical setting.

SUBMITTER: Lopuszynski JB

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8497433 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prognosticators of All-Cause Mortality in Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction.

Lopuszynski Jack B JB Downing Alicia J AJ Finley Colleen M CM Zahid Maliha M

The American journal of cardiology 20210829

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) represents ∼50% of all cases of congestive heart failure (CHF) with prevalence expected to increase with aging of the population. We performed an observational study of all patients admitted to 3 hospitals in the ExcelaHealth care system, Greensburg, PA, with a primary diagnosis of HFpEF heart failure exacerbation between January 2014 and January 2017. Demographic data, laboratory results, and echocardiograms performed closest to index hospi ...[more]

PMID: 34465456

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Project description:BackgroundIn heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), elevated soluble neprilysin (sNEP) levels are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death, and its inhibition with sacubitril/valsartan has improved survival.ObjectivesThis study sought to determine the relevance of sNEP as a biomarker in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and to compare circulating sNEP levels in patients with HFpEF with normal controls.MethodsA case-control study was performed in 242 symptomatic patients with HFpEF previously enrolled in the Phosphodiesterase-5 Inhibition to Improve Clinical Status and Exercise Capacity in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (RELAX) and Nitrates's Effect on Activity Tolerance in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection (NEAT-HFpEF) clinical trials and 891 asymptomatic subjects without HF or diastolic dysfunction (confirmed by NT-proBNP levels <200 pg/ml and echocardiography) who were enrolled in the Prevalence of Asymptomatic Left Ventricular Dysfunction study. sNEP was measured using a sandwich enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) in all subjects.ResultsOverall, sNEP levels were lower in HFpEF compared with controls (3.5 ng/ml; confidence interval [CI]: 2.5 to 4.8 vs. 8.5 ng/ml; CI: 7.2 to 10.0; p < 0.001). After adjusting for age, gender, body mass index (BMI), and smoking history, mean sNEP levels were also lower in HFpEF compared with controls (4.0 ng/ml [CI: 2.7 to 5.4] vs. 8.2 ng/ml [CI: 6.8 to 9.7]; p = 0.002). The cohorts were propensity matched based on age, BMI, diabetes, hypertension, smoking history, and renal function, and sNEP levels remained lower in HFpEF compared with controls (median 2.4 ng/ml [interquartile range: 0.6 to 27.7] vs. 4.9 ng/ml [interquartile range: 1.2 to 42.2]; p = 0.02).ConclusionsPatients with HFpEF on average have significantly lower circulating sNEP levels compared with controls. These findings challenge our current understanding of the complex biology of circulating sNEP in HFpEF.

Project description:BackgroundInterleukin (IL)-6 is a central inflammatory mediator and potential therapeutic target in heart failure (HF). Prior studies have shown that IL-6 concentrations are elevated in patients with HF, but much fewer data are available in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).ObjectivesThis study aims to determine how IL-6 relates to changes in cardiac function, congestion, body composition, and exercise tolerance in HFpEF.MethodsClinical, laboratory, body composition, exercise capacity, physiologic and health status data across 4 National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute-sponsored trials were analyzed according to the tertiles of IL-6.ResultsIL-6 was measured in 374 patients with HFpEF. Patients with highest IL-6 levels had greater body mass index; higher N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, C-reactive protein, and tumor necrosis factor-α levels; worse renal function; and lower hemoglobin levels, and were more likely to have diabetes. Although cardiac structure and function measured at rest were similar, patients with HFpEF and highest IL-6 concentrations had more severely impaired peak oxygen consumption (12.3 ± 3.3 mL/kg/min 13.1 ± 3.1 mL/kg/min 14.4 ± 3.9 mL/kg/min, P < 0.0001) as well as 6-minute walk distance (276 ± 107 m vs 332 ± 106 m vs 352 ± 116 m, P < 0.0001), even after accounting for increases in IL-6 related to excess body mass. IL-6 concentrations were associated with increases in total body fat and trunk fat, more severe symptoms during submaximal exercise, and poorer patient-reported health status.ConclusionsIL-6 levels are commonly elevated in HFpEF, and are associated with greater symptom severity, poorer exercise capacity, and more upper body fat accumulation. These findings support testing the hypothesis that therapies that inhibit IL-6 in patients with HFpEF may improve clinical status. (Clinical Trial Registrations: Phosphodiesterase-5 Inhibition to Improve Clinical Status and Exercise Capacity in Diastolic Heart Failure [RELAX], NCT00763867; Nitrate's Effect on Activity Tolerance in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction, NCT02053493; Inorganic Nitrite Delivery to Improve Exercise Capacity in HFpEF, NCT02742129; Inorganic Nitrite to Enhance Benefits From Exercise Training in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction [HFpEF], NCT02713126).

Project description:ImportanceAccurate risk prediction of morbidity and mortality in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) may help clinicians risk stratify and inform care decisions.ObjectiveTo develop and validate a novel prediction model for clinical outcomes in patients with HFpEF using routinely collected variables and to compare it with a biomarker-driven approach.Design, setting, and participantsData were used from the Dapagliflozin Evaluation to Improve the Lives of Patients With Preserved Ejection Fraction Heart Failure (DELIVER) trial to derive the prediction model, and data from the Angiotensin Receptor Neprilysin Inhibition in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction (PARAGON-HF) and the Irbesartan in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction Study (I-PRESERVE) trials were used to validate it. The outcomes were the composite of HF hospitalization (HFH) or cardiovascular death, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death. A total of 30 baseline candidate variables were selected in a stepwise fashion using multivariable analyses to create the models. Data were analyzed from January 2023 to June 2023.ExposuresModels to estimate the 1-year and 2-year risk of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure, cardiovascular death, and all-cause death.ResultsData from 6263 individuals in the DELIVER trial were used to derive the prediction model and data from 4796 individuals in the PARAGON-HF trial and 4128 individuals in the I-PRESERVE trial were used to validate it. The final prediction model for the composite outcome included 11 variables: N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) level, HFH within the past 6 months, creatinine level, diabetes, geographic region, HF duration, treatment with a sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, transient ischemic attack/stroke, any previous HFH, and heart rate. This model showed good discrimination (C statistic at 1 year, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.71-0.75) in both validation cohorts (C statistic at 1 year, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.69-0.74 in PARAGON-HF and 0.75; 95% CI, 0.73-0.78 in I-PRESERVE) and calibration. The model showed similar discrimination to a biomarker-driven model including high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T and significantly better discrimination than the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic (MAGGIC) risk score (C statistic at 1 year, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.58-0.63; delta C statistic, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.10-0.15; P < .001) and NT-proBNP level alone (C statistic at 1 year, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.64-0.68; delta C statistic, 0.07; 95% CI, 0.05-0.08; P < .001). Models derived for the prediction of all-cause and cardiovascular death also performed well. An online calculator was created to allow calculation of an individual's risk.Conclusions and relevanceIn this prognostic study, a robust prediction model for clinical outcomes in HFpEF was developed and validated using routinely collected variables. The model performed better than NT-proBNP level alone. The model may help clinicians to identify high-risk patients and guide treatment decisions in HFpEF.

Dataset Information

Prognosticators of All-Cause Mortality in Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction.

Publications

Prognosticators of All-Cause Mortality in Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction.

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