Estimated reproduction ratios in the SIR model.

ABSTRACT: The aim of this article is to understand the extreme variability in estimates of the reproduction ratio R ₀ observed in practice. For expository purposes, we consider a discrete-time, stochastic version of the susceptible-infected-recovered model and introduce different approximate maximum likelihood estimators of R ₀. We carefully discuss the properties of these estimators and illustrate, by a Monte Carlo study, the widths of confidence intervals for R ₀.

SUBMITTER: Elliott S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8653142 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature