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Clinical Utility and Validation of the Krakow DCM Risk Score-A Prognostic Model Dedicated to Dilated Cardiomyopathy.


ABSTRACT: One of the most common causes of heart failure is dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). In DCM, the mortality risk is high and reaches approximately 20% in 5 years. A patient's prognosis should be established for appropriate HF management. However, so far, no validated tools have been available for the DCM population. The study population consisted of 735 DCM patients: 406 from the derivation cohort (previously described) and 329 from the validation cohort (from 2009 to 2020, with outcome data after a mean of 42 months). For each DCM patient, the individual mortality risk was calculated based on the Krakow DCM Risk Score. During follow-up, 49 (15%) patients of the validation cohort died. They had shown significantly higher calculated 1-to-5-year mortality risks. The Krakow DCM Risk Score yielded good discrimination in terms of overall mortality risk, with an AUC of 0.704-0.765. Based on a 2-year mortality risk, patients were divided into non-high (≤6%) and high (>6%) mortality risk groups. The observed mortality rates were 8.3% (n = 44) vs. 42.6% (n = 75), respectively (HR 3.37; 95%CI 1.88-6.05; p < 0.0001). The Krakow DCM Risk Score was found to have good predictive accuracy. The 2-year mortality risk > 6% has good discrimination for the identification of high-risk patients and can be applied in everyday practice.

SUBMITTER: Dziewiecka E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC8879244 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Clinical Utility and Validation of the Krakow DCM Risk Score-A Prognostic Model Dedicated to Dilated Cardiomyopathy.

Dziewięcka Ewa E   Winiarczyk Mateusz M   Wiśniowska-Śmiałek Sylwia S   Karabinowska-Małocha Aleksandra A   Gliniak Matylda M   Robak Jan J   Kaciczak Monika M   Leszek Przemysław P   Celińska-Spodar Małgorzata M   Dziewięcki Marcin M   Rubiś Paweł P  

Journal of personalized medicine 20220208 2


<h4>Background</h4>One of the most common causes of heart failure is dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). In DCM, the mortality risk is high and reaches approximately 20% in 5 years. A patient's prognosis should be established for appropriate HF management. However, so far, no validated tools have been available for the DCM population.<h4>Methods</h4>The study population consisted of 735 DCM patients: 406 from the derivation cohort (previously described) and 329 from the validation cohort (from 2009 to  ...[more]

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