Assessing wastewater-based epidemiology for the prediction of SARS-CoV-2 incidence in Catalonia.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Joseph-Duran B
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9443647 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Sep
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Assessing wastewater-based epidemiology for the prediction of SARS-CoV-2 incidence in Catalonia.
Joseph-Duran Bernat B Serra-Compte Albert A Sàrrias Miquel M Gonzalez Susana S López Daniel D Prats Clara C Català Martí M Alvarez-Lacalle Enric E Alonso Sergio S Arnaldos Marina M
Scientific reports 20220905 1
While wastewater-based epidemiology has proven a useful tool for epidemiological surveillance during the COVID-19 pandemic, few quantitative models comparing virus concentrations in wastewater samples and cumulative incidence have been established. In this work, a simple mathematical model relating virus concentration and cumulative incidence for full contagion waves was developed. The model was then used for short-term forecasting and compared to a local linear model. Both scenarios were tested ...[more]
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