Assessing wastewater-based epidemiology for the prediction of SARS-CoV-2 incidence in Catalonia.

ABSTRACT: While wastewater-based epidemiology has proven a useful tool for epidemiological surveillance during the COVID-19 pandemic, few quantitative models comparing virus concentrations in wastewater samples and cumulative incidence have been established. In this work, a simple mathematical model relating virus concentration and cumulative incidence for full contagion waves was developed. The model was then used for short-term forecasting and compared to a local linear model. Both scenarios were tested using a dataset composed of samples from 32 wastewater treatment plants and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) incidence data covering the corresponding geographical areas during a 7-month period, including two contagion waves. A population-averaged dataset was also develo

SUBMITTER: Joseph-Duran B 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9443647 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature