Dataset Information

Geometric uncertainty in intracranial aneurysm rupture status discrimination: a two-site retrospective study.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

Assessing the risk associated with unruptured intracranial aneurysms (IAs) is essential in clinical decision making. Several geometric risk parameters have been proposed for this purpose. However, performance of these parameters has been inconsistent. This study evaluates the performance and robustness of geometric risk parameters on two datasets and compare it to the uncertainty inherent in assessing these parameters and quantifies interparameter correlations.

Methods

Two datasets containing 244 ruptured and unruptured IA geometries from 178 patients were retrospectively analysed. IAs were stratified by anatomical region, based on the PHASES score locations. 37 geometric risk parameters representing four groups (size, neck, non-dimensional, and curvature parameters) were assessed. Analysis included standardised absolute group differences (SADs) between ruptured and unruptured IAs, ratios of SAD to median relative uncertainty (MRU) associated with the parameters, and interparameter correlation.

Results

The ratio of SAD to MRU was lower for higher dimensional size parameters (ie, areas and volumes) than for one-dimensional size parameters. Non-dimensional size parameters performed comparatively well with regard to SAD and MRU. SAD was higher in the posterior anatomical region. Correlation of parameters was strongest within parameter (sub)groups and between size and curvature parameters, while anatomical region did not strongly affect correlation patterns.

Conclusion

Non-dimensional parameters and few parameters from other groups were comparatively robust, suggesting that they might generalise better to other datasets. The data on discriminative performance and interparameter correlations presented in this study may aid in developing and choosing robust geometric parameters for use in rupture risk models.

SUBMITTER: Hellmeier F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9644336 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Geometric uncertainty in intracranial aneurysm rupture status discrimination: a two-site retrospective study.

Hellmeier Florian F Brüning Jan J Berg Philipp P Saalfeld Sylvia S Spuler Andreas A Sandalcioglu Ibrahim Erol IE Beuing Oliver O Larsen Naomi N Schaller Jens J Goubergrits Leonid L

BMJ open 20221108 11

<h4>Objectives</h4>Assessing the risk associated with unruptured intracranial aneurysms (IAs) is essential in clinical decision making. Several geometric risk parameters have been proposed for this purpose. However, performance of these parameters has been inconsistent. This study evaluates the performance and robustness of geometric risk parameters on two datasets and compare it to the uncertainty inherent in assessing these parameters and quantifies interparameter correlations.<h4>Methods</h4> ...[more]

PMID: 36351732

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Project description:ImportanceUnruptured intracranial aneurysms not undergoing preventive endovascular or neurosurgical treatment are often monitored radiologically to detect aneurysm growth, which is associated with an increase in risk of rupture. However, the absolute risk of aneurysm rupture after detection of growth remains unclear.ObjectiveTo determine the absolute risk of rupture of an aneurysm after detection of growth during follow-up and to develop a prediction model for rupture.Design, setting, and participantsIndividual patient data were obtained from 15 international cohorts. Patients 18 years and older who had follow-up imaging for at least 1 untreated unruptured intracranial aneurysm with growth detected at follow-up imaging and with 1 day or longer of follow-up after growth were included. Fusiform or arteriovenous malformation-related aneurysms were excluded. Of the 5166 eligible patients who had follow-up imaging for intracranial aneurysms, 4827 were excluded because no aneurysm growth was detected, and 27 were excluded because they had less than 1 day follow-up after detection of growth.ExposuresAll included aneurysms had growth, defined as 1 mm or greater increase in 1 direction at follow-up imaging.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary outcome was aneurysm rupture. The absolute risk of rupture was measured with the Kaplan-Meier estimate at 3 time points (6 months, 1 year, and 2 years) after initial growth. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify predictors of rupture after growth detection.ResultsA total of 312 patients were included (223 [71%] were women; mean [SD] age, 61 [12] years) with 329 aneurysms with growth. During 864 aneurysm-years of follow-up, 25 (7.6%) of these aneurysms ruptured. The absolute risk of rupture after growth was 2.9% (95% CI, 0.9-4.9) at 6 months, 4.3% (95% CI, 1.9-6.7) at 1 year, and 6.0% (95% CI, 2.9-9.1) at 2 years. In multivariable analyses, predictors of rupture were size (7 mm or larger hazard ratio, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.4-7.2), shape (irregular hazard ratio, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.3-6.5), and site (middle cerebral artery hazard ratio, 3.6; 95% CI, 0.8-16.3; anterior cerebral artery, posterior communicating artery, or posterior circulation hazard ratio, 2.8; 95% CI, 0.6-13.0). In the triple-S (size, site, shape) prediction model, the 1-year risk of rupture ranged from 2.1% to 10.6%.Conclusion and relevanceWithin 1 year after growth detection, rupture occurred in approximately 1 of 25 aneurysms. The triple-S risk prediction model can be used to estimate absolute risk of rupture for the initial period after detection of growth.

Dataset Information

Geometric uncertainty in intracranial aneurysm rupture status discrimination: a two-site retrospective study.

Objectives

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Geometric uncertainty in intracranial aneurysm rupture status discrimination: a two-site retrospective study.

Similar Datasets

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