Dataset Information

Development and validation of a mechanical power-oriented prediction model of weaning failure in mechanically ventilated patients: a retrospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

To develop and validate a mechanical power (MP)-oriented prediction model of weaning failure in mechanically ventilated patients.

Design

A retrospective cohort study.

Setting

Data were collected from the large US Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) V.1.0, which integrates comprehensive clinical data from 76 540 intensive care unit (ICU) admissions from 2008 to 2019.

Participants

A total of 3695 patients with invasive mechanical ventilation for more than 24 hours and weaned with T-tube ventilation strategies were enrolled from the MIMIC-IV database.

Primary and secondary outcome

Weaning failure.

Results

All eligible patients were randomised into development cohorts (n=2586, 70%) and validation cohorts (n=1109, 30%). Multivariate logistic regression analysis of the development cohort showed that positive end-expiratory pressure, dynamic lung compliance, MP, inspired oxygen concentration, length of ICU stay and invasive mechanical ventilation duration were independent predictors of weaning failure. Calibration curves showed good correlation between predicted and observed outcomes. The prediction model showed accurate discrimination in the development and validation cohorts, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 0.828 (95% CI: 0.812 to 0.844) and 0.833 (95% CI: 0.809 to 0.857), respectively. Decision curve analysis indicated that the predictive model was clinically beneficial.

Conclusion

The MP-oriented model of weaning failure accurately predicts the risk of weaning failure in mechanical ventilation patients and provides valuable information for clinicians making decisions on weaning.

SUBMITTER: Yan Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9756150 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Development and validation of a mechanical power-oriented prediction model of weaning failure in mechanically ventilated patients: a retrospective cohort study.

Yan Yao Y Luo Jiye J Wang Yanli Y Chen Xiaobing X Du Zhiqiang Z Xie Yongpeng Y Li Xiaomin X

BMJ open 20221215 12

<h4>Objective</h4>To develop and validate a mechanical power (MP)-oriented prediction model of weaning failure in mechanically ventilated patients.<h4>Design</h4>A retrospective cohort study.<h4>Setting</h4>Data were collected from the large US Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) V.1.0, which integrates comprehensive clinical data from 76 540 intensive care unit (ICU) admissions from 2008 to 2019.<h4>Participants</h4>A total of 3695 patients with invasive mechanical ventila ...[more]

PMID: 36521885

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Project description:BackgroundSeveral studies have assessed predictors of weaning and extubation outcome in short-term mechanically ventilated patients, but there are only few studies on predictors of weaning from prolonged mechanical ventilation.MethodsRetrospective, single-center, observational study at a specialized national weaning center in Germany. Patients' medical records were reviewed to obtain data on demographics, comorbidities, respiratory indices, and the result of a prospectively documented, standardized spontaneous breathing trial (SBT) upon admission to the weaning center. Respiratory indices assessed were the ventilatory ratio (VR) and parameters derived from calculated mechanical power (MP). Predictors associated with failure of prolonged weaning and failure of the SBT were assessed using a binary logistic regression model.ResultsA total of 263 prolonged mechanically ventilated, tracheotomized patients, treated over a 5-year period were analyzed. After 3 weeks of mechanical ventilation, patients with unsuccessful weaning failed a SBT more frequently and showed significantly increased values for inspiratory positive airway pressure, driving pressure, VR, absolute MP, and MP normalized to predicted body weight and dynamic lung-thorax compliance (LTC-MP). In the logistic regression analyses, variables independently correlated with weaning failure were female gender (adjusted odds ratio 0.532 [95% CI 0.291-0.973]; p = 0.040), obesity (body mass index ≥ 30 kg/m2) (2.595 [1.210-5.562]; p = 0.014), COPD (3.209 [1.563-6.589]; p = 0.002), LTC-MP (3.470 [1.067-11.284]; p = 0.039), PaCO2 on mechanical ventilation (1.101 [95% CI 1.034-1.173]; p = 0.003), and failure of the SBT (4.702 [2.250-9.825]; p < 0.001). In addition, female gender (0.401 [0.216-0.745]; p = 0.004), LTC-MP (3.017 [1.027-8.862]; p = 0.046), and PaCO2 on mechanical ventilation (1.157 [1.083-1.235]; p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for an unsuccessful SBT.ConclusionsIn the present study, the derived predictors of weaning point to a crucial role of the workload imposed on respiratory muscles during spontaneous breathing. Mechanical power normalized to lung-thorax compliance was independently correlated with weaning outcome and may identify patients at high risk for weaning failure.

Project description:BackgroundAssessment of preparedness of weaning has been recommended before extubation for mechanically ventilated patients. We aimed to understand the association of a structured assessment of weaning preparedness with successful liberation.MethodsWe retrospectively investigated patients with acute respiratory failure who experienced an extubation trial at the medical intensive care units of a medical center and compared the demographic and clinical characteristics between those patients with successful and failed extubation. A composite score to assess the preparedness of weaning, the WEANSNOW score, was generated consisting of eight components, including Weaning parameters, Endotracheal tube, Arterial blood gas analysis, Nutrition, Secretions, Neuromuscular-affecting agents, Obstructive airway problems and Wakefulness. The prognostic ability of the WEANSNOW score for extubation was then analyzed.ResultsOf the 205 patients included, 138 (67.3%) patients had successful extubation. Compared with the failure group, the success group had a significantly shorter duration of MV before the weaning attempt (11.2 ± 11.6 vs. 31.7 ± 26.2 days, p < 0.001), more with congestive heart failure (42.0% vs. 25.4%, p = 0.020), and had different distribution of the types of acute respiratory failure (p = 0.037). The failure group also had a higher WEANSNOW score (1.22 ± 0.85 vs. 0.51 ± 0.71, p < 0.001) and worse Rapid Shallow Breathing Index (93.9 ± 63.8 vs. 56.3 ± 35.1, p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that a WEANSNOW Score = 1 or higher (OR = 2.880 (95% CI [1.291-6.426]), p = 0.010) and intubation duration >21 days (OR = 7.752 (95% CI [3.560-16.879]), p < 0.001) were independently associated with an increased probability of extubation failure.ConclusionAssessing the pre-extubation status of intubated patients in a checklist-based approach using the WEANSNOW score might provide valuable insights into extubation failure in patients in a medical ICU for acute respiratory failure. Further prospective studies are warranted to elucidate the practice of assessing weaning preparedness.

Project description:BackgroundEvidence suggests differences in ventilation efficiency and respiratory mechanics between early COVID-19 pneumonia and classical acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), as measured by established ventilatory indexes, such as the ventilatory ratio (VR; a surrogate of the pulmonary dead-space fraction) or mechanical power (MP; affected, e.g., by changes in lung-thorax compliance).ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to evaluate VR and MP in the late stages of the disease when patients are ready to be liberated from the ventilator after recovering from COVID-19 pneumonia compared to respiratory failures of other etiologies.DesignA retrospective observational cohort study of 249 prolonged mechanically ventilated, tracheotomized patients with and without COVID-19-related respiratory failure.MethodsWe analyzed each group's VR and MP distributions and trajectories [repeated-measures analysis of variance (ANOVA)] during weaning. Secondary outcomes included weaning failure rates between groups and the ability of VR and MP to predict weaning outcomes (using logistic regression models).ResultsThe analysis compared 53 COVID-19 cases with a heterogeneous group of 196 non-COVID-19 subjects. VR and MP decreased across both groups during weaning. COVID-19 patients demonstrated higher values for both indexes throughout weaning: median VR 1.54 versus 1.27 (p < 0.01) and MP 26.0 versus 21.3 Joule/min (p < 0.01) at the start of weaning, and median VR 1.38 versus 1.24 (p < 0.01) and MP 24.2 versus 20.1 Joule/min (p < 0.01) at weaning completion. According to the multivariable analysis, VR was not independently associated with weaning outcomes, and the ability of MP to predict weaning failure or success varied with lung-thorax compliance, with COVID-19 patients demonstrating consistently higher dynamic compliance along with significantly fewer weaning failures (9% versus 30%, p < 0.01).ConclusionCOVID-19 patients differed considerably in ventilation efficiency and respiratory mechanics among prolonged ventilated individuals, demonstrating significantly higher VRs and MP. The differences in MP were linked with higher lung-thorax compliance in COVID-19 patients, possibly contributing to the lower rate of weaning failures observed.

Project description:Despite the best efforts of intensive care units (ICUs) professionals, the extubation failure rates in mechanically ventilated patients remain in the range of 5%-30%. Extubation failure is associated with increased risk of death and longer ICU stay. This study aimed to identify respiratory and non-respiratory parameters predictive of extubation outcome, and to use these predictors to develop and validate an "Extubation Predictive Score (ExPreS)" that could be used to predict likelihood of extubation success in patients receiving invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Derivation cohort was composed by patients aged ≥18 years admitted to the ICU and receiving IMV through an endotracheal tube for >24 hours. The weaning process followed the established ICU protocol. Clinical signs and ventilator parameters of patients were recorded during IMV, in the end phase of weaning in pressure support ventilation (PSV) mode, with inspiratory pressure of 7 cm H2O over the PEEP (positive end expiratory pressure). Patients who tolerated this ventilation were submitted to spontaneous breathing trial (SBT) with T-tube for 30 minutes. Those who passed the SBT and a subsequent cuff-leak test were extubated. The primary outcome of this study was extubation success at 48 hours. Parameters that showed statistically significant association with extubation outcome were further investigated using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis to assess their predictive value. The area under the curve (AUC) values were used to select parameters for inclusion in the ExPreS. Univariable logistic regression analysis and ROC analysis were performed to evaluate the performance of ExPreS. Patients' inclusion and statistical analyses for the prospective validation cohort followed the same criteria used for the derivation cohort and the decision to extubate was based on the ExPreS result. In the derivation cohort, a total of 110 patients were extubated: extubation succeeded in 101 (91.8%) patients and failed in 9 (8.2%) patients. Rapid shallow-breathing index (RSBI) in SBT, dynamic lung compliance, duration of IMV, muscle strength, estimated GCS, hematocrit, and serum creatinine were significantly associated with extubation outcome. These parameters, along with another parameter-presence of neurologic comorbidity-were used to create the ExPreS. The AUC value for the ExPreS was 0.875, which was higher than the AUCs of the individual parameters. The total ExPreS can range from 0 to 100. ExPreS ≥59 points indicated high probability of success (OR = 23.07), while ExPreS ≤44 points indicated low probability of success (OR = 0.82). In the prospective validation cohort, 83 patients were extubated: extubation succeeded in 81 (97.6%) patients and failed in 2 (2.4%) patients. The AUC value for the ExPreS in this cohort was 0.971. The multiparameter score that we propose, ExPreS, shows good accuracy to predict extubation outcome in patients receiving IMV in the ICU. In the prospective validation, the use of ExPreS decreased the extubation failure rate from 8.2% to 2.4%, even in a cohort of more severe patients.

Dataset Information

Development and validation of a mechanical power-oriented prediction model of weaning failure in mechanically ventilated patients: a retrospective cohort study.

Objective

Design

Setting

Participants

Primary and secondary outcome

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Development and validation of a mechanical power-oriented prediction model of weaning failure in mechanically ventilated patients: a retrospective cohort study.

Similar Datasets

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