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Clinicopathologic and sociodemographic factors associated with late relapse triple negative breast cancer in a multivariable logistic model: A multi-institution cohort study.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Most metastatic recurrences of triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) occur within five years of diagnosis, yet late relapses of TNBC (lrTNBC) do occur. Our objective was to develop a risk prediction model of lrTNBC using readily available clinicopathologic and sociodemographic features.

Methods

We included patients diagnosed with stage I-III TNBC between 1998 and 2012 at ten academic cancer centers. lrTNBC was defined as relapse or mortality greater than 5 years from diagnosis. Features associated with lrTNBC were included in a multivariable logistic model using backward elimination with a p < 0.10 criterion, with a final multivariable model applied to training (70%) and independent validation (30%) cohorts.

Results

A total 2210 TNBC patients with at least five years follow-up and no relapse before 5 years were included. In final multivariable model, lrTNBC was significantly associated with higher stage at diagnosis (adjusted Odds Ratio [aOR] for stage III vs I, 10.9; 95% Confidence Interval [CI], 7.5-15.9; p < 0.0001) and BMI (aOR for obese vs normal weight, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.0-1.8; p = 0.03). Final model performance was consistent between training (70%) and validation (30%) cohorts.

Conclusions

A risk prediction model incorporating stage, BMI, and age at diagnosis offers potential utility for identification of patients at risk of development of lrTNBC and warrants further investigation.

SUBMITTER: Abraham A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9982264 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Clinicopathologic and sociodemographic factors associated with late relapse triple negative breast cancer in a multivariable logistic model: A multi-institution cohort study.

Abraham Adith A   Barcenas Carlos H CH   Bleicher Richard J RJ   Cohen Adam L AL   Javid Sara H SH   Levine Ellis G EG   Lin Nancy U NU   Moy Beverly B   Niland Joyce C JC   Wolff Antonio C AC   Hassett Michael J MJ   Asad Sarah S   Stover Daniel G DG  

Breast (Edinburgh, Scotland) 20230117


<h4>Background</h4>Most metastatic recurrences of triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) occur within five years of diagnosis, yet late relapses of TNBC (lrTNBC) do occur. Our objective was to develop a risk prediction model of lrTNBC using readily available clinicopathologic and sociodemographic features.<h4>Methods</h4>We included patients diagnosed with stage I-III TNBC between 1998 and 2012 at ten academic cancer centers. lrTNBC was defined as relapse or mortality greater than 5 years from dia  ...[more]

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