Dataset Information

A Prognostic Score for the Prediction of Local Treatment Failure in Plaque Brachytherapy of Uveal Melanoma.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

To develop a prognostic score that correlates to a low, medium, and high incidence of treatment failure after plaque brachytherapy of uveal melanoma (UM).

Methods and materials

All patients who have received plaque brachytherapy for posterior UM at St. Erik Eye Hospital in Stockholm, Sweden from 1995 through 2019 were included (n = 1636). Treatment failure was defined as tumor recurrence, lack of tumor regression, or any other condition requiring a secondary transpupillary thermotherapy (TTT), plaque brachytherapy, or enucleation. The total sample was randomized into 1 training and 1 validation cohort, and a prognostic score for the risk for treatment failure was developed.

Results

In multivariate Cox regression, low visual acuity, tumor distance to the optic disc ≤2 mm, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, and a tumor apical thickness of >4 (for Ruthenium-106) or >9 mm (for Iodine-125) were independent predictors of treatment failure. No reliable threshold could be identified for tumor diameter or cancer stage. In competing risk analyses of the validation cohort, the cumulative incidence of treatment failure, as well as of secondary enucleation, increased with the prognostic score: In the low, intermediate, and high-risk classes, the 10-year incidence of treatment failure was 19, 28, and 35% and of secondary enucleation 7, 19, and 25 %, respectively.

Conclusions

Low visual acuity, American Joint Committee on Cancer stage, tumor thickness, and tumor distance to the optic disc are independent predictors of treatment failure after plaque brachytherapy for UM. A prognostic score was devised that identifies low, medium, and high risk for treatment failure.

SUBMITTER: Kal Omar R

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9991540 | biostudies-literature | 2023 May-Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

A Prognostic Score for the Prediction of Local Treatment Failure in Plaque Brachytherapy of Uveal Melanoma.

Kal Omar Ruba R Hagström Anna A Dahlander Simon S Carlsson Tedgren Åsa Å Stålhammar Gustav G

Advances in radiation oncology 20221225 3

<h4>Purpose</h4>To develop a prognostic score that correlates to a low, medium, and high incidence of treatment failure after plaque brachytherapy of uveal melanoma (UM).<h4>Methods and materials</h4>All patients who have received plaque brachytherapy for posterior UM at St. Erik Eye Hospital in Stockholm, Sweden from 1995 through 2019 were included (n = 1636). Treatment failure was defined as tumor recurrence, lack of tumor regression, or any other condition requiring a secondary transpupillary ...[more]

PMID: 36896210

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Project description:IntroductionUveal melanoma (UM) is the most common intraocular malignancy in adults. Plaque brachytherapy remains the dominant eyeball-conserving therapy for UM. Tumor regression in UM after plaque brachytherapy has been reported as a valuable prognostic factor. The present study aimed to develop an accurate machine-learning model to predict the 4-year risk of metastasis and death in UM based on ocular ultrasound data.Material and methodsA total of 454 patients with UM were enrolled in this retrospective, single-center study. All patients were followed up for at least 4 years after plaque brachytherapy and underwent ophthalmologic evaluations before the therapy. B-scan ultrasonography was used to measure the basal diameters and thickness of tumors preoperatively and postoperatively. Random Forest (RF) algorithm was used to construct two prediction models: whether a patient will survive for more than 4 years and whether the tumor will develop metastasis within 4 years after treatment.ResultsOur predictive model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.708 for predicting death using only a one-time follow-up record. Including the data from two additional follow-ups increased the AUC of the model to 0.883. We attained AUCs of 0.730 and 0.846 with data from one and three-time follow-up, respectively, for predicting metastasis. The model found that the amount of postoperative follow-up data significantly improved death and metastasis prediction accuracy. Furthermore, we divided tumor treatment response into four patterns. The D(decrease)/S(stable) patterns are associated with a significantly better prognosis than the I(increase)/O(other) patterns.ConclusionsThe present study developed an RF model to predict the risk of metastasis and death from UM within 4 years based on ultrasound follow-up records following plaque brachytherapy. We intend to further validate our model in prospective datasets, enabling us to implement timely and efficient treatments.

Project description:BackgroundTumor regression of uveal melanomas (UMs) after radiotherapy has been reported as a valuable prognostic factor for metastasis and metastatic death. But its effect on prognosis is questionable. The purpose of this study was to summarize the regression features of uveal melanoma after iodine-125 plaque brachytherapy and the relationship with prognosis.MethodsAdult uveal melanoma patients who only received iodine-125 plaque brachytherapy between December 2009 and March 2018 at the Beijing Tongren Hospital, Capital Medical University were enrolled in this study. The regression rate was calculated as the percent change in tumor height, and each eye was classified for four main regression patterns: Decrease (D), Stable (S), Others (O), and Increase (I), according to the trend of height change. Statistical analysis was performed using one-way ANOVA and chi-square test, univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and Kaplan-Meier analysis.ResultsA total of 139 patients was included in the study. The median follow-up was 35 months. Regression patterns status was pattern D in 65 tumors (46.8%), pattern S in 50 tumors (36.0%), pattern O in 6 tumors (4.3%), and pattern I in 18 tumors (12.9%). Reductions of tumor mean height for each follow-up visit were 5.26% (3 months), 10.66% (6 months), 9.37% (12 months), and 14.68% (18 months). A comparison (D vs. S vs. O vs. I) revealed the preoperative height of pattern I was significantly lower than the pattern D, S and O (mean: 7.24 vs. 7.30 vs. 6.77 vs. 5.09 mm, respectively; P = 0.037). LBD (largest basal diameter) was strongly associated with the metastasis (P = 0.03). However, an association between the tumor regression and subsequent melanoma-related metastasis and mortality could not be confirmed (P = 0.66 and P = 0.27, respectively). The tumor regression rate increased with increasing tumor height (P = 0.04) and decreased with increasing of LBD (P = 0.01).ConclusionOur study showed a lack of association between the prognosis and the regression of uveal melanomas following I-125 plaque radiotherapy. The LBD and original height of the tumor have predictive value in tumor regression rate, and LBD was positively associated with metastasis.

Dataset Information

A Prognostic Score for the Prediction of Local Treatment Failure in Plaque Brachytherapy of Uveal Melanoma.

Purpose

Methods and materials

Results

Conclusions

Publications

A Prognostic Score for the Prediction of Local Treatment Failure in Plaque Brachytherapy of Uveal Melanoma.

Similar Datasets

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