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Transcriptomic Analyses Reveal Pre-treatment Cytotoxic Lymphocytes Predict Response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy and Survival in Advanced Rectal Cancer.


ABSTRACT: Importance: Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is the standard of care for advanced rectal cancer. Yet, predicting response to CRT remains an unmet clinical challenge. Objective: To investigate the transcriptomic determinants to predict response to neoadjuvant CRT and survival in patients with advanced rectal cancer. Design: A single-center, retrospective, cohort study. Setting: A comprehensive cancer center. Participants: Pre-treatment biopsies from 298 patients with rectal cancer, who were later treated with neoadjuvant CRT between 2004 and 2020, were analyzed by RNA sequencing. Main measures and outcomes: Transcriptional subtyping was performed by consensus molecular subtype (CMS) classification. Immune cell infiltration was assessed using MCP-counter scores and single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA). Patients with surgical specimens of tumor regression grade (TRG) 3-4 or who were managed by the watch-and-wait approach for more than 3 years were defined as good responders. Results: Patients classified as CMS1 (6.4%) had a significantly higher rate of good responders; albeit survival was comparable among the four subtypes. Good responders exhibited an enrichment in various immune-related pathways (IFNg and a responses, allograft rejection, IL6 STAT3 signaling during acute phase response, and inflammation), as determined by ssGSEA. MCP-counter scores for cytotoxic lymphocytes were significantly higher for good responders than non-responders (p = 0.0003), and significantly higher for responders than non-responders in GSE109057 (p = 0.0137), GSE87211 (p = 0.0092), and GSE45404 (p = 0.0327) datasets. Cytotoxic lymphocyte MCP-counter score was thus considered an independent predictor of response to CRT, as determined in the multivariable Cox analysis (OR 3.810 [95% CI 1.820-7.970]; p = 0.0004). Multivariable Cox analysis, including post-operative pathological factors, revealed cytotoxic lymphocyte MCP-counter score to be independently associated with recurrence-free survival (HR 0.382 [95% CI 0.158-0.923]; p = 0.0325) and overall survival (HR 0.157 [95% CI 0.030-0.827]; p = 0.0290). ssGSEA showed significantly higher levels of four subpopulations of cytotoxic cells (effector memory CD8 T, natural killer T, natural killer, and activated CD8 T cells) among good responders than non-responders. Conclusions and Relevance: Cytotoxic lymphocyte score, as computed by RNA sequencing, could be a useful marker for predicting response to CRT and survival among patients with rectal cancer.

ORGANISM(S): Homo sapiens

PROVIDER: GSE216616 | GEO | 2023/01/25

REPOSITORIES: GEO

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