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Causal associations between type 1 diabetes and COVID-19 infection and prognosis: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study.


ABSTRACT:

Introduction

It has been suggested that type 1 diabetes was associated with increased COVID-19 morbidity and mortality. However, their causal relationship is still unclear. Herein, we performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) to investigate the causal effect of type 1 diabetes on COVID-19 infection and prognosis.

Research design and methods

The summary statistics of type 1 diabetes were obtained from two published genome-wide association studies of European population, one as a discovery sample including 15 573 cases and 158 408 controls, and the other data as a replication sample consisting of 5913 cases and 8828 controls. We first performed a two-sample MR analysis to evaluate the causal effect of type 1 diabetes on COVID-19 infection and prognosis. Then, reverse MR analysis was conducted to determine whether reverse causality exists.

Results

MR analysis results showed that the genetically predicted type 1 diabetes was associated with higher risk of severe COVID-19 (OR=1.073, 95% CI: 1.034 to 1.114, pFDR=1.15×10-3) and COVID-19 death (OR=1.075, 95% CI: 1.033 to 1.119, pFDR=1.15×10-3). Analysis of replication dataset showed similar results, namely a positive association between type 1 diabetes and severe COVID-19 (OR=1.055, 95% CI: 1.029 to 1.081, pFDR=1.59×10-4), and a positively correlated association with COVID-19 death (OR=1.053, 95% CI: 1.026 to 1.081, pFDR=3.50×10-4). No causal association was observed between type 1 diabetes and COVID-19 positive, hospitalized COVID-19, the time to the end of COVID-19 symptoms in the colchicine treatment group and placebo treatment group. Reverse MR analysis showed no reverse causality.

Conclusions

Type 1 diabetes had a causal effect on severe COVID-19 and death after COVID-19 infection. Further mechanistic studies are needed to explore the relationship between type 1 diabetes and COVID-19 infection and prognosis.

SUBMITTER: Ma XL 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10276960 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Causal associations between type 1 diabetes and COVID-19 infection and prognosis: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

Ma Xin-Ling XL   Shi Qi-Yun QY   Zhao Qi-Gang QG   Xu Qian Q   Yan Shan-Shan SS   Han Bai-Xue BX   Fang Chen C   Zhang Lei L   Pei Yu-Fang YF  

BMJ open diabetes research & care 20230601 3


<h4>Introduction</h4>It has been suggested that type 1 diabetes was associated with increased COVID-19 morbidity and mortality. However, their causal relationship is still unclear. Herein, we performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) to investigate the causal effect of type 1 diabetes on COVID-19 infection and prognosis.<h4>Research design and methods</h4>The summary statistics of type 1 diabetes were obtained from two published genome-wide association studies of European population, o  ...[more]

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