Projections of increased and decreased dengue incidence under climate change.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Williams CR
PROVIDER: S-EPMC9150423 | biostudies-literature | 2016 Oct
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Projections of increased and decreased dengue incidence under climate change.
Williams C R CR Mincham G G Faddy H H Viennet E E Ritchie S A SA Harley D D
Epidemiology and infection 20160726 14
Dengue is the world's most prevalent mosquito-borne disease, with more than 200 million people each year becoming infected. We used a mechanistic virus transmission model to determine whether climate warming would change dengue transmission in Australia. Using two climate models each with two carbon emission scenarios, we calculated future dengue epidemic potential for the period 2046-2064. Using the ECHAM5 model, decreased dengue transmission was predicted under the A2 carbon emission scenario, ...[more]
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