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SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence, cumulative infections, and immunity to symptomatic infection - A multistage national household survey and modelling study, Dominican Republic, June-October 2021.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Population-level SARS-CoV-2 immunological protection is poorly understood but can guide vaccination and non-pharmaceutical intervention priorities. Our objective was to characterise cumulative infections and immunological protection in the Dominican Republic.

Methods

Household members ≥5 years were enrolled in a three-stage national household cluster serosurvey in the Dominican Republic. We measured pan-immunoglobulin antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 spike (anti-S) and nucleocapsid glycoproteins, and pseudovirus neutralising activity against the ancestral and B.1.617.2 (Delta) strains. Seroprevalence and cumulative prior infections were weighted and adjusted for assay performance and seroreversion. Binary classification machine learning methods and pseudovirus neutralising correlates of protection were used to estimate 50% and 80% protection against symptomatic infection.

Findings

Between 30 Jun and 12 Oct 2021 we enrolled 6683 individuals from 3832 households. We estimate that 85.0% (CI 82.1-88.0) of the ≥5 years population had been immunologically exposed and 77.5% (CI 71.3-83) had been previously infected. Protective immunity sufficient to provide at least 50% protection against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection was estimated in 78.1% (CI 74.3-82) and 66.3% (CI 62.8-70) of the population for the ancestral and Delta strains respectively. Younger (5-14 years, OR 0.47 [CI 0.36-0.61]) and older (≥75-years, 0.40 [CI 0.28-0.56]) age, working outdoors (0.53 [0.39-0.73]), smoking (0.66 [0.52-0.84]), urban setting (1.30 [1.14-1.49]), and three vs no vaccine doses (18.41 [10.69-35.04]) were associated with 50% protection against the ancestral strain.

Interpretation

Cumulative infections substantially exceeded prior estimates and overall immunological exposure was high. After controlling for confounders, markedly lower immunological protection was observed to the ancestral and Delta strains across certain subgroups, findings that can guide public health interventions and may be generalisable to other settings and viral strains.

Funding

This study was funded by the US CDC.

SUBMITTER: Nilles EJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC9642112 | biostudies-literature | 2022 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence, cumulative infections, and immunity to symptomatic infection - A multistage national household survey and modelling study, Dominican Republic, June-October 2021.

Nilles Eric J EJ   Paulino Cecilia Then CT   de St Aubin Michael M   Restrepo Angela Cadavid AC   Mayfield Helen H   Dumas Devan D   Finch Emilie E   Garnier Salome S   Etienne Marie Caroline MC   Iselin Louisa L   Duke William W   Jarolim Petr P   Oasan Timothy T   Yu Jingyou J   Wan Huahua H   Peña Farah F   Iihoshi Naomi N   Abdalla Gabriela G   Lopez Beatriz B   Cruz Lucia de la L   Henríquez Bernarda B   Espinosa-Bode Andres A   Puello Yosanly Cornelio YC   Durski Kara K   Baldwin Margaret M   Baez Amado Alejandro AA   Merchant Roland C RC   Barouch Dan H DH   Skewes-Ramm Ronald R   Gutiérrez Emily Zielinski EZ   Kucharski Adam A   Lau Colleen L CL  

Lancet regional health. Americas 20221108


<h4>Background</h4>Population-level SARS-CoV-2 immunological protection is poorly understood but can guide vaccination and non-pharmaceutical intervention priorities. Our objective was to characterise cumulative infections and immunological protection in the Dominican Republic.<h4>Methods</h4>Household members ≥5 years were enrolled in a three-stage national household cluster serosurvey in the Dominican Republic. We measured pan-immunoglobulin antibodies against the SARS-CoV-2 spike (anti-S) and  ...[more]

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