Prognostic significance of APACHE II score and plasma suPAR in Chinese patients with sepsis: a prospective observational study.
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ABSTRACT: Timely risk stratification is the key strategy to improve prognosis of patients with sepsis. Previous study has proposed to develop a powerful risk assessment rule by the combination of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score and plasma soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR). That reaffirmation of suPAR as a prognostic marker in Chinese patients with severe sepsis is the aim of the study.A total of 137 consecutive Chinese patients with sepsis were enrolled in a prospective study cohort. Demographic and clinical characteristics, conventional risk factors and important laboratory data were prospectively recorded. Sequential plasma suPAR concentrations were measured by an enzymeimmunoabsorbent assay on days 1, 3, and 7 after admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Cox regression analysis were used to examine the performance of suPAR in developing a rule for risk stratification.The results showed that plasma suPAR concentrations remained relatively stable within survivors and non-survivors during the first week of disease course. Regression analysis indicated that APACHE II ≥15 and suPAR ≥10.82 ng/mL were independently associated with unfavorable outcome. With the above cutoffs of APACHE II and suPAR, strata of disease severity were determined. The mortality of each stratum differed significantly from the others.Combination of APACHE II score and suPAR may supply the powerful prognostic utility for the mortality of sepsis.
Project description:BackgroundErythropoietin (EPO), a glycoprotein hormone primarily produced in the kidneys, plays pleiotropic roles in hematopoietic and non-hematopoietic system. However, the clinical relevance of circulating EPO in sepsis progression and outcomes remains contentious and requires further elucidation.MethodsParticipants were categorized into three groups on the basis of EPO tertiles. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality. Multivariate Cox proportional regression analysis and restricted cubic spline regression were employed to evaluate the association between EPO levels and 28-day mortality in sepsis patients. Subgroup analyses were also conducted. Causal mediation analysis was conducted to explore the potential mediating role of EPO in the relationship between lactate and 28-day mortality.ResultsA total of 267 patients (65.17% male) were included in the study. The 28-day and hospital mortality rates were 23.22 and 31.20%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression revealed significantly higher 28-day and hospital mortality in the highest EPO tertile compared to the lowest (HR 2.93, 95% CI 1.20-7.22; HR 2.47, 95% CI 1.05-5.81, respectively). Restricted cubic spline analysis demonstrated a progressively increasing mortality risk with elevated EPO levels. Subgroup analyses confirmed the consistency and stability of the effect size and direction across different subgroups. Moreover, causal intermediary analysis revealed that the association between lactate and 28-day mortality was partially mediated by EPO, with a mediation ratio of 12.59%.ConclusionsElevated EPO levels in patients with sepsis are correlated with unfavorable prognoses and may function as a prognostic biomarker for adverse outcomes.
Project description:The purpose of this study was to take samples of bone marrow and blood to learn more about monoclonal gammopathy or myeloma without symptoms. Specifically, the researchers want to understand more about genetic changes in the tumor and about the response of immune systems to a tumor.
Project description:Sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE) contributes to mortality and neurocognitive impairment of sepsis patients. Neurofilament (Nf) light (NfL) and heavy (NfH) chain levels as biomarkers for neuroaxonal injury were not evaluated in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and plasma of patients with sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE) before. We conducted a prospective, pilot observational study including 20 patients with septic shock and five patients without sepsis serving as controls. The assessment of SAE comprised a neuropsychiatric examination, electroencephalography (EEG), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and delirium screening methods including the confusion assessment method for the ICU (CAM-ICU) and the intensive care delirium screening checklist (ICDSC). CSF Nf measurements in sepsis patients and longitudinal plasma Nf measurements in all participants were performed on days 1, 3 and 7 after study inclusion. Plasma NfL levels increased in sepsis patients over time (p = 0.0063) and remained stable in patients without sepsis. Plasma NfL values were significantly higher in patients with SAE (p = 0.011), significantly correlated with the severity of SAE represented by ICDSC values (R = 0.534, p = 0.022) and correlated with a poorer functional outcome after 100 days (R = -0.535, p = 0.0003). High levels of CSF Nf were measured in SAE patients. CSF NfL levels were higher in non-survivors (p = 0.012) compared with survivors and correlated with days until death (R = -0.932, p<0.0001) and functional outcome after 100 days (R = -0.749, p<0.0001). The present study showed for the first time that Nf levels provide complementary prognostic information in SAE patients indicating a higher chance of death and poorer functional/cognitive outcome in survivors.
Project description:Monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 (MCP-1) is an initiating cytokine of the inflammatory cascade. Extracellular MCP-1 exhibits pro-inflammatory characteristic and plays a central pathogenic role in critical illness. The purpose of the study was to identify the association between plasma MCP-1 levels and the development of sepsis after severe trauma.The plasma levels of MCP-1 in severe trauma patients were measured by a quantitative enzyme-linked immune sorbent assay and the dynamic release patterns were recorded at three time points during seven days post-trauma. The related factors of prognosis were compared between sepsis and non-sepsis groups and analyzed using multivariate logistic regression analysis. We also used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves to assess the values of different variables in predicting sepsis.A total of 72 patients who met criteria indicative of severe trauma (72.22% of male; mean age, 49.40 ± 14.29 years) were enrolled. Plasma MCP-1 concentrations significantly increased on post-trauma day 1 and that this increase was significantly correlated with the Injury Severity Score (ISS) and interleukin-6 (IL-6). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that early MCP-1, ISS, and IL-6 were independent risk factors for sepsis in severe trauma patients. Incorporation of the early MCP-1 into the ISS can increase the discriminative performance for predicting development of sepsis.Early plasma MCP-1 concentrations can be used to assess the severity of trauma and is correlated with the development of sepsis after severe trauma. The addition of the early MCP-1 levels to the ISS significantly improves its ability to predict development of sepsis.
Project description:BackgroundThe combination of plasma fibrinogen and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (F-NLR) score is a novel inflammatory marker constituted by peripheral blood fibrinogen concentration and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio. In the current study, we aim to explore the relationship between admission F-NLR score and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and assess its prognostic predictive ability in ICH patients.MethodsThe original cohort was consecutively recruited from August 2014 to September 2017, and the validation cohort was consecutively recruited between October 2018 and March 2020. The primary outcomes were 3-month functional outcome and 1-month mortality. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS and R software.ResultsA total of 431 and 251 ICH patients were included in original cohort and validation cohort, respectively. In the original cohort, F-NLR score could independently predict the 3-month functional outcome (adjusted OR 2.013, 95% CI 1.316-3.078, p = 0.001) and 1-month mortality (adjusted OR 3.036, 95% CI 1.965-4.693, p < 0.001). Receiver operation characteristic (ROC) analyses and predictive model comparison indicated that F-NLR score had a stronger predictive ability in the 3-month outcome and 1-month mortality. Validation cohort verified the results.ConclusionF-NLR score was an independent indicator for both the 3-month functional outcome and 1-month mortality, and its prognostic predictive ability was superior to fibrinogen and NLR in both the original and the validation cohort.
Project description:BackgroundEnrichment strategies improve therapeutic targeting and trial efficiency, but enrichment factors for sepsis trials are lacking. We determined whether concentrations of soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor-1 (sTNFR1), interleukin-8 (IL8), and angiopoietin-2 (Ang2) could identify sepsis patients at higher mortality risk and serve as prognostic enrichment factors.MethodsIn a multicenter prospective cohort study of 400 critically ill septic patients, we derived and validated thresholds for each marker and expressed prognostic enrichment using risk differences (RD) of 30-day mortality as predictive values. We then used decision curve analysis to simulate the prognostic enrichment of each marker and compare different prognostic enrichment strategies.Measurements and main resultsAn admission sTNFR1 concentration > 8861 pg/ml identified patients with increased mortality in both the derivation (RD 21.6%) and validation (RD 17.8%) populations. Among immunocompetent patients, an IL8 concentration > 94 pg/ml identified patients with increased mortality in both the derivation (RD 17.7%) and validation (RD 27.0%) populations. An Ang2 level > 9761 pg/ml identified patients at 21.3% and 12.3% increased risk of mortality in the derivation and validation populations, respectively. Using sTNFR1 or IL8 to select high-risk patients improved clinical trial power and efficiency compared to selecting patients with septic shock. Ang2 did not outperform septic shock as an enrichment factor.ConclusionsThresholds for sTNFR1 and IL8 consistently identified sepsis patients with higher mortality risk and may have utility for prognostic enrichment in sepsis trials.
Project description:BACKGROUND:The aim of the study was to detect differences in the conjunctival microcirculation between septic patients and healthy subjects and to evaluate the course of conjunctival and retinal microvasculature in survivors and non-survivors over a 24-h period of time. METHODS:This single-center prospective observational study was performed in mixed ICU in a tertiary teaching hospital. We included patients with sepsis or septic shock within the first 24 h after ICU admission. Conjunctival imaging, using an IDF video microscope, and retinal imaging, using portable digital fundus camera, as well as systemic hemodynamic measurements, were performed at three time points: at baseline, 6 h and 24 h. Baseline conjunctival microcirculatory parameters were compared with healthy controls. RESULTS:A total of 48 patients were included in the final assessment and analysis. Median APACHE II and SOFA scores were 16[12-21] and 10[7-12], respectively. Forty-four (92%) patients were in septic shock, 48 (100%) required mechanical ventilation. 19 (40%) patients were discharged alive from the intensive care unit. We found significant reductions in all microcirculatory parameters in the conjunctiva when comparing septic and healthy subjects. In addition, we observed a significant lower microvascular flow index (MFI) of small conjunctival vessels during all three time points in non-survivors compared with survivors. However, retinal arteriolar vessels were not different between survivors and non-survivors. CONCLUSIONS:Conjunctival microvascular blood flow was altered in septic patients. In the 24-h observation period conjunctival small vessels had a significantly higher MFI, but no difference in retinal arteriolar diameter in survivors in comparison with non-survivors. Trial registration NCT04214743, https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Date of registration: 31 December 2019 - Retrospectively registered, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04214743.
Project description:BackgroundIn patients with sepsis, timely risk stratification is important to improve prognosis. Although several clinical scoring systems are currently being used to predict the outcome of sepsis, but they all have certain limitations. The objective of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) in patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) with sepsis or septic shock.MethodsThis single-center, prospective observational study, included 100 patients admitted to the ICU with sepsis or septic shock. Informed consent, blood samples, and co-morbidity data were obtained from the patients on admission, and the severity of sepsis was recorded. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality and multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to adjust for confounding factors to determine the significant prognostic factor.ResultsThe in-hospital mortality was 47%. The ePVS was correlated with the amount of total fluids administered 24 hours before the ICU admission. The mean ePVS in patients who died was higher than in those who survived (7.7 ± 2.1 dL/g vs. 6.6 ± 1.6 dL/g, P = 0.003). To evaluate the utility of ePVS in predicting in-hospital mortality, a receiver operating characteristic curve was produced. Sensitivity and specificity were optimal at a cut-off point of 7.09 dL/g, with an area under the curve of 0.655. In the multivariate analysis, higher ePVS was significantly associated with higher in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 1.39; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.85, P = 0.028). The Kaplan-Meier curve showed that an ePVS value above 7.09 was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality compared with the rest of the population (P = 0.004).ConclusionThe ePVS was correlated with the amount of intravenous fluid resuscitation and may be used as a simple and novel prognostic factor in patients with sepsis or septic shock who are admitted to the ICU.
Project description:Physiological, anatomical, and clinical laboratory analytic scoring systems (APACHE, Injury Severity Score (ISS)) have been utilized, with limited success, to predict outcome following injury. We hypothesized that a peripheral blood leukocyte gene expression score could predict outcome, including multiple organ failure, following severe blunt trauma. Contributor: The Inflammation and the Host Response to Injury Large Scale Collaborative Research Program Keywords: expression profiles
Project description:Physiological, anatomical, and clinical laboratory analytic scoring systems (APACHE, Injury Severity Score (ISS)) have been utilized, with limited success, to predict outcome following injury. We hypothesized that a peripheral blood leukocyte gene expression score could predict outcome, including multiple organ failure, following severe blunt trauma. Contributor: The Inflammation and the Host Response to Injury Large Scale Collaborative Research Program Keywords: expression profiles cRNA derived from whole blood leukocytes obtained within 12 hours of hospital admission provided gene expression data for the entire genome that were used to create a gene expression score for each patient. Expression profiles from healthy volunteers were averaged to create a reference gene expression profile which was used to compute a difference from reference (DFR) score for each patient. This score described the overall genomic response of patients within the first 12 hours following severe blunt trauma. Regression models were used to compare the association of the DFR, APACHE and ISS scores with outcome.