Project description:BackgroundEquations to estimate glomerular filtration rate (GFR) are routinely used to assess kidney function. Current equations have limited precision and systematically underestimate measured GFR at higher values.ObjectiveTo develop a new estimating equation for GFR: the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation.DesignCross-sectional analysis with separate pooled data sets for equation development and validation and a representative sample of the U.S. population for prevalence estimates.SettingResearch studies and clinical populations ("studies") with measured GFR and NHANES (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey), 1999 to 2006.Participants8254 participants in 10 studies (equation development data set) and 3896 participants in 16 studies (validation data set). Prevalence estimates were based on 16,032 participants in NHANES.MeasurementsGFR, measured as the clearance of exogenous filtration markers (iothalamate in the development data set; iothalamate and other markers in the validation data set), and linear regression to estimate the logarithm of measured GFR from standardized creatinine levels, sex, race, and age.ResultsIn the validation data set, the CKD-EPI equation performed better than the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Study equation, especially at higher GFR (P < 0.001 for all subsequent comparisons), with less bias (median difference between measured and estimated GFR, 2.5 vs. 5.5 mL/min per 1.73 m(2)), improved precision (interquartile range [IQR] of the differences, 16.6 vs. 18.3 mL/min per 1.73 m(2)), and greater accuracy (percentage of estimated GFR within 30% of measured GFR, 84.1% vs. 80.6%). In NHANES, the median estimated GFR was 94.5 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) (IQR, 79.7 to 108.1) vs. 85.0 (IQR, 72.9 to 98.5) mL/min per 1.73 m(2), and the prevalence of chronic kidney disease was 11.5% (95% CI, 10.6% to 12.4%) versus 13.1% (CI, 12.1% to 14.0%).LimitationThe sample contained a limited number of elderly people and racial and ethnic minorities with measured GFR.ConclusionThe CKD-EPI creatinine equation is more accurate than the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Study equation and could replace it for routine clinical use.Primary funding sourceNational Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

Project description:ObjectiveTo compare the performance of a newly developed race-free kidney recipient specific glomerular filtration rate (GFR) equation with the three current main equations for measuring GFR in kidney transplant recipients.DesignDevelopment and validation study SETTING: 17 cohorts in Europe, the United States, and Australia (14 transplant centres, three clinical trials).Participants15 489 adults (3622 in development cohort (Necker, Saint Louis, and Toulouse hospitals, France), 11 867 in multiple external validation cohorts) who received kidney transplants between 1 January 2000 and 1 January 2021.Main outcome measureThe main outcome measure was GFR, measured according to local practice. Performance of the GFR equations was assessed using P30 (proportion of estimated GFR (eGFR) within 30% of measured GFR (mGFR)) and correct classification (agreement between eGFR and mGFR according to GFR stages). The race-free equation, based on creatinine level, age, and sex, was developed using additive and multiplicative linear regressions, and its performance was compared with the three current main GFR equations: Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equation, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) 2009 equation, and race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation.ResultsThe study included 15 489 participants, with 50 464 mGFR and eGFR values. The mean GFR was 53.18 mL/min/1.73m2 (SD 17.23) in the development cohort and 55.90 mL/min/1.73m2 (19.69) in the external validation cohorts. Among the current GFR equations, the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation showed the lowest performance compared with the MDRD and CKD-EPI 2009 equations. When race was included in the kidney recipient specific GFR equation, performance did not increase. The race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation showed significantly improved performance compared with the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation and performed well in the external validation cohorts (P30 ranging from 73.0% to 91.3%). The race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation performed well in several subpopulations of kidney transplant recipients stratified by race (P30 73.0-91.3%), sex (72.7-91.4%), age (70.3-92.0%), body mass index (64.5-100%), donor type (58.5-92.9%), donor age (68.3-94.3%), treatment (78.5-85.2%), creatinine level (72.8-91.3%), GFR measurement method (73.0-91.3%), and timing of GFR measurement post-transplant (72.9-95.5%). An online application was developed that estimates GFR based on recipient's creatinine level, age, and sex (https://transplant-prediction-system.shinyapps.io/eGFR_equation_KTX/).ConclusionA new race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation was developed and validated using multiple, large, international cohorts of kidney transplant recipients. The equation showed high accuracy and outperformed the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation that was developed in individuals with native kidneys.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov NCT05229939.

Project description:Rationale & objectiveEquations for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) have previously included a coefficient for African American race. We evaluated and compared risk of incident stroke and dementia between old and new equations of eGFR for African American and non-African American participants.Study designProspective observational study.Setting & participantsBaseline values were collected from 6,814 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort between 2000 and 2002. Participants were followed up until 2018. The analytic sample consisted of 6,646 participants (mean [SD] age 62 [10] years; 53% female; 39% White, 27% African American, 12% Chinese American, and 22% Hispanic/Latino).ExposureeGFR equation from 2021 based on serum creatinine and cystatin C levels without race.OutcomeIncident stroke and dementia.Analytical approachCox proportional regression adjusting for demographic, lifestyle, and clinical variables was performed to estimate associations between different eGFR measures and risk of incident stroke and dementia.ResultsDuring a median follow-up period of 17 years, 349 (5.3%) participants experienced an incident stroke event, and 574 (8.6%) participants experienced incident dementia. In the fully adjusted model, overall participants with eGFR <60 compared with those >90 mL/min/1.73 m2 were at significantly increased risk of dementia (HR, 95% CI: 1.73, 1.21-2.45). A lower eGFR was not significantly associated with incident stroke (1.30, 0.75-2.24). African American participants tended to be reclassified to a lower group of eGFR in the new equations, whereas non-African American participants were reclassified to a higher group of eGFR. When comparing older versus newer equations of eGFR in African American and non-African American participants in association with incident stroke and dementia, differences were minimal.LimitationsIncident dementia was ascertained through International Classification of Diseases (Ninth and Tenth Revisions) codes.ConclusionsOur findings illustrate participants with 2021 eGFR < 60 compared with those with eGFR > 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 have higher risk of dementia in both African American and non-African American participants, but not of stroke.

Project description:BackgroundGlomerular filtration rate (GFR) is accepted as the best indicator of kidney function and is commonly estimated from serum creatinine (SCr)-based equations. Separate equations have been developed for children (Schwartz equation), younger and middle-age adults [Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation] and older adults [Berlin Initiative Study 1 (BIS1) equation], and these equations lack continuity with ageing. We developed and validated an equation for estimating the glomerular filtration rate that can be used across the full age spectrum (FAS).MethodsThe new FAS equation is based on normalized serum creatinine (SCr/Q), where Q is the median SCr from healthy populations to account for age and sex. Coefficients for the equation are mathematically obtained by requiring continuity during the paediatric-adult and adult-elderly transition. Research studies containing a total of 6870 healthy and kidney-diseased white individuals, including 735 children, <18 years of age, 4371 adults, between 18 and 70 years of age, and 1764 older adults, ≥70 years of age with measured GFR (inulin, iohexol and iothalamate clearance) and isotope dilution mass spectrometry-equivalent SCr, were used for the validation. Bias, precision and accuracy (P30) were evaluated.ResultsThe FAS equation was less biased [-1.7 (95% CI -3.4, -0.2) versus 6.0 (4.5, 7.5)] and more accurate [87.5% (85.1, 89.9) versus 83.8% (81.1, 86.5)] than the Schwartz equation for children and adolescents; less biased [5.0 (4.5, 5.5) versus 6.3 (5.9, 6.8)] and as accurate [81.6% (80.4, 82.7) versus 81.9% (80.7, 83.0)] as the CKD-EPI equation for young and middle-age adults; and less biased [-1.1 (-1.6, -0.6) versus 5.6 (5.1, 6.2)] and more accurate [86.1% (84.4, 87.7) versus 81.8% (79.7, 84.0)] than CKD-EPI for older adults.ConclusionsThe FAS equation has improved validity and continuity across the full age-spectrum and overcomes the problem of implausible eGFR changes in patients which would otherwise occur when switching between more age-specific equations.

Project description:Chronic kidney disease (CKD) has become a worldwide public health problem and accurate assessment of renal function in CKD patients is important for the treatment. Although the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) can accurately evaluate the renal function, the procedure of measurement is complicated. Therefore, endogenous markers are often chosen to estimate GFR indirectly. However, the accuracy of the equations for estimating GFR is not optimistic. To estimate GFR more precisely, we constructed a classification decision tree model to select the most befitting GFR estimation equation for CKD patients. By searching the HIS system of the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medicine University for all CKD patients who visited the hospital from December 1, 2018 to December 1, 2021 and underwent Gate's method of 99mTc-DTPA renal dynamic imaging to detect GFR, we eventually collected 518 eligible subjects, who were randomly divided into a training set (70%, 362) and a test set (30%, 156). Then, we used the training set data to build a classification decision tree model that would choose the most accurate equation from the four equations of BIS-2, CKD-EPI(CysC), CKD-EPI(Cr-CysC) and Ruijin, and the equation was selected by the model to estimate GFR. Next, we utilized the test set data to verify our tree model, and compared the GFR estimated by the tree model with other 13 equations. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Bland-Altman plot were used to evaluate the accuracy of the estimates by different methods. A classification decision tree model, including BSA, BMI, 24-hour Urine protein quantity, diabetic nephropathy, age and RASi, was eventually retrieved. In the test set, the RMSE and MAE of GFR estimated by the classification decision tree model were 12.2 and 8.5 respectively, which were lower than other GFR estimation equations. According to Bland-Altman plot of patients in the test set, the eGFR was calculated based on this model and had the smallest degree of variation. We applied the classification decision tree model to select an appropriate GFR estimation equation for CKD patients, and the final GFR estimation was based on the model selection results, which provided us with greater accuracy in GFR estimation.

Project description:BackgroundWe aimed to investigate the accuracy of different equations in evaluating estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in a Chinese population with different BMI levels.MethodsA total of 837 Chinese patients were enrolled, and the eGFRs were calculated by three Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations, three full-age spectrum (FAS) equations and two Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equations. Results of measured GFR (mGFR) by the 99Tcm-diathylenetriamine pentaacetic acid (99Tcm-DTPA) renal dynamic imaging method were the reference standards. According to BMI distribution, the patients were divided into three intervals: below 25th(BMIP25), 25th to 75th(BMIP25-75) and over 75th percentiles (BMIP75).ResultsThe medium BMI of the three BMI intervals were 20.9, 24.8 and 28.9 kg/m2, respectively. All deviations from mGFR (eGFR) were correlated with BMI (p < 0.05). The percentage of cases in which eGFR was within mGFR ±30% (P30) was used to represent the accuracy of each equation. Overall, eGFRFAS_Cr_CysC and eGFREPI_Cr_2009 performed similarly, showing the best agreement with mGFR among the eight equations in Bland-Altman analysis (biases: 4.1 and - 4.2 mL/min/1.73m2, respectively). In BMIP25 interval, eGFRFAS_Cr got - 0.7 of the biases with 74.2% of P30, the kappa value was 0.422 in classification of CKD stages and the AUC60 was 0.928 in predicting renal insufficiency, and eGFREPI_Cr_2009 got 2.3 of the biases with 71.8% of P30, the kappa value was 0.418 in classification of CKD stages and the AUC60 was 0.920 in predicting renal insufficiency. In BMIP25-75 interval, the bias of eGFRFAS_Cr_CysC was 4.0 with 85.0% of P30, the kappa value was 0.501 and the AUC60 was 0.941, and eGFRFAS_Cr_CysC showed balanced recognition ability of each stage of CKD (62.3, 63.7, 68.0, 71.4 and 83.3% respectively). In BMIP75 interval, the bias of eGFREPI_Cr_CysC_2012 was 3.8 with 78.9% of P30, the kappa value was 0.484 the AUC60 was 0.919, and eGFREPI_Cr_CysC_2012 equation showed balanced and accurate recognition ability of each stage (60.5, 60.0, 71.4, 57.1 and 100% respectively). In BMIP75 interval, the bias of eGFRFAS_Cr_CysC was - 1.8 with 78.5% of P30, the kappa value was 0.485, the AUC60 was 0.922. However, the recognition ability of each stage of eGFRFAS_Cr_CysC eq. (71.1, 61.2, 70.0, 42.9 and 50.0% respectively) was not as good as GFREPI_Cr_CysC_2012 equation.ConclusionFor a Chinese population, we tend to recommend choosing eGFRFAS_Cr and eGFREPI_Cr_2009 when BMI was around 20.9, eGFRFAS_Cr_CysC when BMI was near 24.8, and eGFREPI_Cr_CysC_2012 when BMI was about 28.9.

Project description:BackgroundNew estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) equations removed race adjustment, but the impact of its removal on prediction of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) is unknown.ObjectiveTo compare the ESKD prediction performance of different eGFR equations.DesignObservational, prospective cohort study.Setting7 U.S. clinical centers.Participants3873 participants with chronic kidney disease (CKD) from the CRIC (Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort) Study contributing 13 902 two-year risk periods.MeasurementsESKD was defined as initiation of dialysis or transplantation. eGFR was calculated using 5 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations based on serum creatinine and/or cystatin C, with or without race adjustment. The predicted 2-year risk for ESKD was calculated using the 4-variable Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE). We evaluated the prediction performance of eGFR equations and the KFRE score using discrimination and calibration analyses.ResultsDuring a maximum 16 years of follow-up, 856 participants developed ESKD. Across all eGFR equations, the KFRE score was superior for predicting 2-year incidence of ESKD compared with eGFR alone (area under the curve ranges, 0.945 to 0.954 vs. 0.900 to 0.927). Prediction performance of KFRE scores using different eGFR equations was similar, but the creatinine equation without race adjustment improved calibration among Black participants. Among all participants, compared with an eGFR less than 20 mL/min/1.73 m2, a KFRE score greater than 20% had similar specificity for predicting 2-year ESKD risk (ranges, 0.94 to 0.97 vs. 0.95 to 0.98) but higher sensitivity (ranges, 0.68 to 0.78 vs. 0.42 to 0.66).LimitationData are solely from the United States.ConclusionThe KFRE score better predicts 2-year risk for ESKD compared with eGFR alone, regardless of race adjustment. The creatinine equation with age and sex may improve calibration among Black patients. A KFRE score greater than 20% showed high specificity and sensitivity for predicting 2-year risk for ESKD.Primary funding sourceNational Institutes of Health.

Dataset Information

Updated US Prevalence Estimates for Chronic Kidney Disease Stage and Complications Using the New Race-Free Equation to Estimate Glomerular Filtration Rate.

Publications

Updated US Prevalence Estimates for Chronic Kidney Disease Stage and Complications Using the New Race-Free Equation to Estimate Glomerular Filtration Rate.

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